Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Wilmington, OH

777 
WGUS51 KILN 011237
FFWILN
KYC023-135-161-201-OHC001-015-145-011545-
/O.EXT.KILN.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170301T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
737 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Mason County in northern Kentucky...
  Robertson County in northern Kentucky...
  Northern Lewis County in northeastern Kentucky...
  Southern Bracken County in northern Kentucky...
  Southeastern Brown County in southwestern Ohio...
  Southern Adams County in southwestern Ohio...
  Southwestern Scioto County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 1045 AM EST.

* At 736 AM EST, radar indicated that thunderstorms had produced 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to 3 inches of rain have 
  already fallen. Additional thunderstorms heading through the area 
  will drop another 1 to 2 inches. Runoff from this excessive 
  rainfall will cause flash flooding to occur.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Maysville, Washington, Manchester, Aberdeen, Vanceburg, Lewisburg,
  Rome, Tollesboro, Blue Creek, Mount Olivet, Sardis, Concord,
  Trinity, Saint Paul, Burika, Stonewall, Mays Lick, Rectorville,
  Ribolt and Charters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

To report flash flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3843 8400 3846 8410 3848 8413 3848 8417
      3850 8416 3850 8418 3856 8416 3856 8422
      3859 8420 3885 8309 3864 8305 3861 8308
      3849 8357 3848 8359 3849 8360 3852 8364
      3846 8386 3849 8393 3842 8400

$$

JDR

984 
WGUS71 KILN 011520
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1020 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC023-135-161-201-OHC001-015-145-011528-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170301T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Mason KY-Robertson KY-Lewis KY-Bracken KY-Brown OH-Adams OH-
Scioto OH-
1020 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR Mason...Robertson...northern Lewis...
southern Bracken...southeastern Brown...southern Adams and
southwestern Scioto Counties IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended and while rapid rise flooding is no longer 
expected, very high water along numerous roads remains a problem. A 
flood warning for lingering flood hazards remains in effect 
until 115 PM EST.

Please report previous flash flooding to the National Weather Service
by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting your report
via social media.

LAT...LON 3843 8400 3846 8410 3848 8413 3848 8417
      3850 8416 3850 8418 3856 8416 3856 8422
      3859 8420 3885 8309 3864 8305 3861 8308
      3849 8357 3848 8359 3849 8360 3852 8364
      3846 8386 3849 8393 3842 8400

$$

JDR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
430 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms will continue through the first part of the day
as a cold front pushes southeast across the area. Behind the
front, a cooler airmass will settle into the region through the
end of the work week. An upper level disturbance will bring a
chance of rain and snow showers to the region Thursday night.
&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Thunderstorms are continuing to train northeast across southern
portions of our area early this morning. This is in an area of
good low level convergence along the nose of a 50 knot 925 mb
jet that will shift off to the east through mid morning. Weak
instabilities are also in place across our area with mucapes or
around 500 j/kg or so. We have been slowly eroding away the cin
across the area this morning and these storms have become more
surface based in the last couple of hours. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is pushing
east across central Indiana and into northwest Ohio. Hi res
cams are in decent agreement pushing this line through our area
fairly quickly this morning and have trended the forecast
accordingly. The severe threat will continue across our area
until this line moves through. Behind the front, the pressure
gradient will increase through the afternoon hours with winds
increasing and becoming gusty. We may approach wind advisory
criteria across our northern areas but will hold off on anything
at this point as it looks marginal. A few instability showers
may also develop through this afternoon, mainly across the
north and will cover this with just some lower chance pops later
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A few showers may linger across our north into this evening and
with the gradient remaining fairly tight, winds will likely stay
up for awhile into tonight. A clipper type system will drop down
from the northwest Thursday into Thursday night. This will lead
to an increasing chance of showers heading into Thursday
evening, especially across norther portions of our fa. Low
level thermal fields suggest that any pcpn will start off as
rain Thursday afternoon before transitioning to snow from north
to south Thursday evening. There could be some light snow
accumulations with this, mainly across northern portions of our
area where maybe an inch or so will be possible across our far
north. The pcpn should taper off later Thursday night with dry
weather on Friday as high pressure builds in.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Models continue to hint at a very weak short wave dropping down
into our area from the northwest Friday night into Saturday,
but vary in there timing and placement. With it being weak and
with some uncertainty, will just bring in some slight chance
pops across the area with this. Ptype looks to be mostly snow
but if it hangs around long enough into the day on Saturday, we
will warm up enough for any lingering pcpn to mix with some
rain.

Brief mid level ridging will work east across the area on
Sunday before the flow becomes more amplified as a trough
approaches from the west. This will eventually help push a cold
front east across our area Monday night into Tuesday. Some WAA
pcpn will develop ahead of this Sunday night with more
widespread pcpn spreading in ahead of the front Monday into
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Cluster of thunderstorms has overspread southwest Ohio and
should continue to work its way northeastward over the next
couple of hours. This will lead to fairly persistent
thunderstorms through the predawn hours, especially at the
southern TAF sites. This will result in MVFR to IFR cigs and
vsbys through the first part of the TAF period. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is sagging down
across central Illinois into northwest Indiana, and this should spread
across the TAF sites through mid morning. Given the good
dynamics in place across the region, gusty winds in excess of 40
knots will be possible with some of the thunderstorms through
the morning hours. The cold front will push southeast late this
morning and into early afternoon with pcpn tapering off behind
it. The gradient winds will increase behind the front with gusts
in excess of 30 knots possible into tonight.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible
Thursday night into Friday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for OHZ053>056-
     060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for INZ050-058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1158 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

KYZ099-100-OHZ073-074-079>082-088-011700-
Mason-Lewis-Ross-Hocking-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
1158 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Kentucky, Northern
Kentucky, Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to a heavy rain and flash flood threat, the threat for
severe thunderstorms will increase overnight...mainly after 1 A.M.
Several waves of thunderstorms will cross the area later tonight.
These storms will have a damaging wind and large hail threat first
and foremost, and also a chance for an isolated tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Thunderstorms will continue to cross the area Wednesday
morning...ending around noon. In addition to a heavy rain and flash
flood threat, these storms may also have a damaging wind and large
hail threat. A tornado cannot be ruled out during the morning hours
as well.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible Wednesday afternoon
behind the surface cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later tonight and through the
morning on Wednesday.

OHZ026-034-035-043>046-052>056-062>065-072-011700-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Champaign-
Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Clinton-
1158 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

In addition to a heavy rain and localized flood threat that
accompanies any showers and thunderstorms, the threat for severe
thunderstorms will increase overnight...mainly after 1 A.M. Several
waves of thunderstorms will cross the area later tonight. These
storms will have a damaging wind and large hail threat first and
foremost, and also a chance for an isolated tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms will continue to cross the area Wednesday
morning...ending around noon. In addition to a heavy rain and flash
flood threat, these storms may also have a damaging wind and large
hail threat. A tornado cannot be ruled out during the morning hours
as well.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible Wednesday afternoon
behind the surface cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later tonight and Wednesday morning.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ042-051-060-061-070-071-011700-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Darke-Miami-Preble-Montgomery-
Butler-Warren-
1158 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Several waves of showers and thunderstorms will overspread the area
tonight. Severe thunderstorms appear likely...with the primary
threat being damaging winds and large hail. A few tornadoes will also
be possible. In addition, heavy rain will also be possible, leading
to the potential for localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms will continue to cross the area Wednesday
morning...ending by noon. In addition to a heavy rain and localized
flood threat, these storms may also have a damaging wind and large
hail threat. The tornado threat will continue into the morning hours
as well.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible Wednesday afternoon
behind the surface cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed later tonight into Wednesday
morning.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>098-OHZ077-078-011700-
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Hamilton-Clermont-
1158 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northern
Kentucky and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will contain a localized
heavy rain and flash flooding threat, as well as small hail.

More widespread thunderstorm activity is expected after midnight
tonight, and some of these storms will likely be severe. The primary
threats will be large hail and damaging winds, though a few tornadoes
will be possible as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Wednesday morning showers and thunderstorms will continue across the
area, ending by noon. The threat for severe weather will continue on
Wednesday morning with damaging wind and large hail being the primary
threats. A tornado or two will remain possible through the morning
hours on Wednesday.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible Wednesday afternoon
behind the surface cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed later tonight and Wednesday
morning.

Binau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
424 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHZ026-045-046-011000-
Delaware OH-Hardin OH-Union OH-
424 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN
CENTRAL OHIO...EASTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 500 AM EST...

At 423 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Kenton,
moving east at 45 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Nickel size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Kenton, Richwood, Dunkirk, Blanchard, Mount Victory, Hepburn, Grant,
Mentzer, Essex and Pfeiffer.

Residents in these areas should remain alert. If this storm becomes
stronger, then a warning may be needed.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4076 8350 4070 8350 4070 8344 4069 8344
      4069 8342 4051 8342 4051 8326 4050 8325
      4044 8325 4044 8314 4035 8321 4065 8374
      4081 8362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0923Z 280DEG 39KT 4071 8360

Binau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
424 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHZ026-035-011000-
Auglaize OH-Hardin OH-
424 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN AUGLAIZE AND HARDIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM EST...

At 424 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Ada, moving
east at 45 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Nickel size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Kenton, Dunkirk, Alger, Waynesfield, Blanchard, Roundhead, Mount
Victory, Mcguffey, Ridgeway, Grant, Silver Creek, Jumbo,
Huntersville, Pfeiffer, Walton, Hepburn, Mentzer, New Hampshire and
State Route 195 at State Route 235.

Residents in these areas should remain alert. If this storm becomes
stronger, then a warning may be needed.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4076 8350 4070 8350 4070 8344 4069 8344
      4069 8342 4051 8342 4053 8388 4054 8388
      4054 8399 4061 8405 4064 8398 4065 8388
      4069 8388 4081 8362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0924Z 280DEG 39KT 4073 8376

Binau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
430 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHZ073-080-082-011000-
Pike OH-Highland OH-Ross OH-
430 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN PIKE...EASTERN
HIGHLAND AND ROSS COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM EST...

At 430 AM EST, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Highland
Holiday, moving east at 60 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Chillicothe, Greenfield, Waverly, Piketon, Leesburg, Marshall,
Bainbridge, Pike Lake, Kincaid Springs, Rocky Fork Point, Highland
Holiday, Cynthiana, North Folk Village, Frankfort, South Salem,
Sinking Spring, Pike County Airport, Knockemstiff, Massieville and
Lake White.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3907 8296 3906 8348 3933 8356 3947 8300
      3936 8285
TIME...MOT...LOC 0930Z 250DEG 54KT 3922 8340

Hatzos

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
431 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHZ026-042>046-051>053-061-011015-
Champaign OH-Montgomery OH-Darke OH-Delaware OH-Logan OH-Shelby OH-
Hardin OH-Union OH-Clark OH-Miami OH-
431 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN SHELBY...
CHAMPAIGN...LOGAN AND SOUTHEASTERN DARKE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWESTERN
CLARK...NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHERN HARDIN COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN UNION COUNTY IN CENTRAL OHIO AND MIAMI
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 515 AM EST...

At 431 AM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a line
extending from near Belle Center to near New Madison, moving east at
45 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Huber Heights, Troy, Sidney, Piqua, Vandalia, Englewood,
Bellefontaine, Greenville, Urbana, Tipp City, New Carlisle, West
Milton, Covington, Richwood, Arcanum, St. Paris, Bradford, West
Liberty and North Lewisburg.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 28 and 40.
 I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 58 and 98.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when thunderstorms approach.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4055 8342 4050 8341 4051 8326 4050 8325
      4044 8325 4044 8311 3980 8418 4003 8469
      4054 8390 4054 8389 4055 8388 4062 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 0931Z 289DEG 41KT 4056 8377 4001 8466

Binau

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
441 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0424 AM     TSTM WND GST     KFGX FLEMING-MASON APT  38.54N 83.74W
03/01/2017  M51 MPH          MASON              KY   AWOS

&&

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
445 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 AM     TSTM WND GST     KFGX FLEMING-MASON APT  38.54N 83.74W
03/01/2017  M59 MPH          MASON              KY   AWOS

&&

BINAU