Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Wilmington, OH

515 
WWUS51 KILN 011210
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
710 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC023-037-081-187-191-OHC015-025-061-011245-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170301T1245Z/
Bracken KY-Campbell KY-Grant KY-Owen KY-Pendleton KY-Hamilton OH-
Clermont OH-Brown OH-
710 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM EST
FOR BRACKEN...SOUTHERN CAMPBELL...GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN OWEN...
PENDLETON...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...SOUTHERN CLERMONT AND
NORTHWESTERN BROWN COUNTIES...

At 709 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Melbourne to 9 miles southeast of Owenton, moving east
at 60 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Cincinnati, Alexandria, Williamstown, Falmouth, Forestville,
Claryville, Amelia, Crittenden, Mount Orab, Bethel, New Richmond,
Williamsburg, Dry Ridge, Batavia, Augusta, Silver Grove, Felicity,
Brooksville, Butler and Melbourne.

This includes I-75 in Kentucky between mile markers 144 and 166.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 3838 8490 3879 8461 3880 8440 3910 8440
      3908 8409 3923 8387 3902 8387 3859 8406
      3860 8406 3861 8408 3855 8414 3855 8421
      3858 8421 3853 8444 3854 8447 3851 8449
      3849 8456 3835 8475 3834 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 1209Z 274DEG 52KT 3901 8434 3841 8475 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Hatzos

391 
WWUS51 KILN 011225
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
725 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC037-081-187-OHC061-011235-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170301T1245Z/
Campbell KY-Grant KY-Owen KY-Hamilton OH-
725 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CAMPBELL...GRANT...
SOUTHEASTERN OWEN AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 3877 8424 3909 8420 3908 8409 3923 8387
      3902 8387 3859 8406 3860 8406 3861 8408
      3855 8414 3858 8421 3855 8433 3865 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1225Z 266DEG 55KT 3905 8404 3860 8417 

$$

KYC023-191-OHC015-025-011245-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170301T1245Z/
Bracken KY-Pendleton KY-Clermont OH-Brown OH-
725 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM EST
FOR BRACKEN...SOUTHEASTERN PENDLETON...SOUTHEASTERN CLERMONT AND
NORTHWESTERN BROWN COUNTIES...

At 725 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Williamsburg to 7 miles southwest of Brooksville,
moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Falmouth, Amelia, Mount Orab, Bethel, Williamsburg, Batavia, Augusta,
Felicity, Brooksville, Higginsport, Hamersville, Fayetteville,
Moscow, St. Martin, Neville, Chilo, Browning Corner, Chasetown,
Bradford and Willow Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 3877 8424 3909 8420 3908 8409 3923 8387
      3902 8387 3859 8406 3860 8406 3861 8408
      3855 8414 3858 8421 3855 8433 3865 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1225Z 266DEG 55KT 3905 8404 3860 8417 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Hatzos

134 
WWUS51 KILN 011236
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
736 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

KYC023-191-OHC015-025-011245-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170301T1245Z/
Bracken KY-Pendleton KY-Clermont OH-Brown OH-
736 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BRACKEN...SOUTHEASTERN
PENDLETON...SOUTHEASTERN CLERMONT AND NORTHWESTERN BROWN COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM EST...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. However, an 
additional severe thunderstorm warning remains in effect for 
portions of Brown and Bracken counties until 815 AM.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 AM EST for northern
Kentucky...and southwestern Ohio.

Please report previous wind damage or hail to the National Weather
Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting
your report via social media.

LAT...LON 3877 8424 3909 8420 3908 8409 3923 8387
      3902 8387 3859 8406 3860 8406 3861 8408
      3855 8414 3858 8421 3855 8433 3865 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1235Z 265DEG 53KT 3906 8385 3861 8398 

$$

Hatzos

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
649 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms will continue through the first part of the day
as a cold front pushes southeast across the area. Behind the
front, a cooler airmass will settle into the region through the
end of the work week. An upper level disturbance will bring a
chance of rain and snow showers to the region Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Thunderstorms are continuing to train northeast across southern
portions of our area early this morning. This is in an area of
good low level convergence along the nose of a 50 knot 925 mb
jet that will shift off to the east through mid morning. Weak
instabilities are also in place across our area with mucapes or
around 500 j/kg or so. We have been slowly eroding away the cin
across the area this morning and these storms have become more
surface based in the last couple of hours. Meanwhile, the
convective line associated with the cold front is pushing
east across central Indiana and into northwest Ohio. Hi res
cams are in decent agreement pushing this line through our area
fairly quickly this morning and have trended the forecast
accordingly. The severe threat will continue across our area
until this line moves through. Behind the front, the pressure
gradient will increase through the afternoon hours with winds
increasing and becoming gusty. We may approach wind advisory
criteria across our northern areas but will hold off on anything
at this point as it looks marginal. A few instability showers
may also develop through this afternoon, mainly across the
north and will cover this with just some lower chance pops later
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A few showers may linger across our north into this evening and
with the gradient remaining fairly tight, winds will likely stay
up for awhile into tonight. A clipper type system will drop down
from the northwest Thursday into Thursday night. This will lead
to an increasing chance of showers heading into Thursday
evening, especially across norther portions of our fa. Low
level thermal fields suggest that any pcpn will start off as
rain Thursday afternoon before transitioning to snow from north
to south Thursday evening. There could be some light snow
accumulations with this, mainly across northern portions of our
area where maybe an inch or so will be possible across our far
north. The pcpn should taper off later Thursday night with dry
weather on Friday as high pressure builds in.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Models continue to hint at a very weak short wave dropping down
into our area from the northwest Friday night into Saturday,
but vary in there timing and placement. With it being weak and
with some uncertainty, will just bring in some slight chance
pops across the area with this. Ptype looks to be mostly snow
but if it hangs around long enough into the day on Saturday, we
will warm up enough for any lingering pcpn to mix with some
rain.

Brief mid level ridging will work east across the area on
Sunday before the flow becomes more amplified as a trough
approaches from the west. This will eventually help push a cold
front east across our area Monday night into Tuesday. Some WAA
pcpn will develop ahead of this Sunday night with more
widespread pcpn spreading in ahead of the front Monday into
Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Squall line pushing quickly east into western Ohio and across
northern Kentucky attm. This will affect the TAFs in the first
hour or so of the period with gusty winds likely, especially at
the southern TAF sites. More stratiform type pcpn will then
linger for a few hours behind this line before coming to an
end. Cigs will likely fluctuate between low VFR and MVFR through
much of the rest of the day with some spotty instability
showers developing later this afternoon. As the gradient
tightens through the afternoon hours, wind gusts in the 25 to 35
knot range will be possible, possibly lingering into this
evening.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible
Thursday night into Friday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for OHZ060>065-
     070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EST this afternoon for INZ058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ053>056-060>065-070>074-
077>082-088-021000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-
Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to a heavy rain and flash flood threat, severe
thunderstorms will remain possible this morning. The primary threat
will be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-021000-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-
456 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio and West Central
Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will taper off through mid morning. A few
storms may become severe. The primary threat will be damaging wind
and locally heavy rain.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible this afternoon into this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report severe and heavy rain reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
640 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 AM     TSTM WND GST     KYMESO CARROLLTON 2E    38.69N 85.14W
03/01/2017  M59.00 MPH       CARROLL            KY   MESONET

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
650 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 AM     HAIL             DENT                    39.19N  84.66W
03/01/2017  M1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILN1700326

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
653 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 AM     HAIL             2 ESE FAIRFIELD         39.32N  84.51W
03/01/2017  M0.88 INCH       BUTLER             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILN1700327

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
654 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 AM     HAIL             SPRINGDALE              39.29N  84.48W
03/01/2017  M0.75 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILN1700328

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
655 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 AM     HAIL             HAMILTON                39.40N  84.56W
03/01/2017  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILN1700329

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
656 AM EST WED MAR 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 AM     HAIL             FINNEYTOWN              39.22N  84.51W
03/01/2017  M1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILN1700330

JGIBSON