Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 232

March 1, 201734 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 1, 2017, 12:16 AM CST for 34 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2017, 12:16 AM CST (06:16 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2017, 1:45 AM CST
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1117 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 341 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1117 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
931 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
315 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
8.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

606 
ACUS11 KWNS 010616
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010616 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-010745-

Mesoscale Discussion 0232
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1216 AM CST Wed Mar 01 2017

Areas affected...Portions of southwestern and central Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 47...

Valid 010616Z - 010745Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 47 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will progress eastward across Watch
47 through the overnight hours, with a continuing threat for
damaging winds and a couple tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...The composite cold front/outflow boundary has begun to
accelerate east/southeast across northern portions of Tornado Watch
47 early this morning. While several updrafts have become rooted
over top of the cold pool, a few cells remain rooted along/near the
surface boundary. KSGF VWP data recently sampled southwesterly flow
around 60-70 kts at 1 km above ground level, with a fairly
uni-directional wind profile at low/mid levels. In turn, small
bowing structures should continue advancing east/northeastward
across Watch 47, with an attendant threat for damaging winds with
any near-surface-based parcels. Additionally, strong 0-1-km shear
could still favor a tornado or two within any embedded supercell
structures as storms advance to the east.

..Picca.. 03/01/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   37129488 37669414 38559288 38659176 38809083 38569042
            37879032 37249080 36859161 36809296 36829470 37129488

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 6:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 39 more115 min
Feb 28, 6:23 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Bates, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Cooper and 15 more5 hr
Feb 28, 7:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Madison and 10 more119 min
Feb 28, 8:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Lewis84 min
Feb 28, 8:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi and 7 more12 hr
Feb 28, 9:04 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barry, Barton, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 54 more7 hr
Feb 28, 10:01 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 14 more119 min
Feb 28, 10:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry66 min
Mar 1, 2:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Madison and 9 more2 hr
Mar 1, 3:03 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi and 7 more5 hr
Mar 1, 4:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.