Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County
Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2018
97 weather alerts in 2018, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Polk County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 97
- Warnings
- 33
- Watches
- 11
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- June18 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 24, 20189 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 2 tornado warnings covering Polk County in 2018 had a tornado report inside them.
Polk County, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 20 | 10 | 50% | 10 | 90% | 16 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 5 | 3 | 40% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings | 45 | 6 | 87% | 13 | 77% | 9 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings | 406 | 187 | 54% | 377 | 84% | 21 min |
| NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings | 139 | 53 | 62% | 109 | 94% | 89 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 1:13 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jan 21, 3:05 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jan 21, 6:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jan 21, 9:20 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 40 min |
| Jan 21, 9:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jan 21, 9:59 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 21, 6:53 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Feb 21, 5:53 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Feb 23, 1:58 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Feb 23, 7:39 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Feb 23, 8:08 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Feb 23, 1:17 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 18 hr |
| Feb 24, 10:26 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Feb 24, 10:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | 27 min |
| Feb 24, 11:01 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Feb 24, 12:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Feb 24, 12:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 34 min |
| Feb 24, 1:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| Feb 24, 1:39 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 9:36 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 4 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:06 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 12 hr |
| Mar 10, 3:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 3:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 10, 5:57 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 10, 8:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Mar 19, 4:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 3, 12:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 3, 1:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 3, 2:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Apr 3, 2:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 40 min |
| Apr 3, 3:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 35 min |
| Apr 3, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| Apr 3, 3:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Apr 13, 12:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 13, 1:50 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 13, 5:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Apr 13, 6:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| Apr 13, 7:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| May 3, 12:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| May 16, 11:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 20, 1:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 24, 3:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 25 min |
| May 24, 4:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 41 min |
| May 24, 5:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 37 min |
| May 24, 5:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 61 min |
| Jun 2, 1:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 2, 2:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 10 hr |
| Jun 2, 3:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 42 min |
| Jun 2, 3:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 13, 5:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 51 min |
| Jun 22, 11:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 22, 11:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 23, 1:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Jun 23, 3:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 52 min |
| Jun 24, 5:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 79 min |
| Jun 24, 5:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jun 24, 7:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 48 min |
| Jun 24, 7:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 24, 7:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 33 min |
| Jun 24, 8:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 21 min |
| Jun 24, 4:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 24, 4:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 3:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 29 min |
| Jul 2, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 28 min |
| Jul 3, 3:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 35 min |
| Jul 6, 6:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 47 min |
| Jul 10, 4:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 5:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 24 min |
| Jul 11, 5:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 25 min |
| Jul 11, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 29 min |
| Jul 11, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 35 min |
| Jul 11, 6:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 6:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 27 min |
| Jul 11, 6:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 50 min |
| Jul 11, 6:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 33 min |
| Jul 12, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 36 min |
| Jul 16, 3:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SHV | 30 min |
| Jul 28, 5:22 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 38 min |
| Jul 28, 5:39 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 36 min |
| Aug 13, 8:37 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 38 min |
| Aug 13, 9:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 50 min |
| Aug 17, 2:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 23 min |
| Aug 17, 2:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 31 min |
| Aug 17, 2:32 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Aug 30, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 47 min |
| Sep 21, 12:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SHV | 26 min |
| Oct 31, 2:32 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | 28 min |
| Oct 31, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 43 min |
| Oct 31, 4:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | 3 hr |
| Oct 31, 7:26 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LZK | 6 hr |
| Nov 30, 3:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Nov 30, 6:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Nov 30, 6:40 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Nov 30, 9:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Nov 30, 11:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Nov 30, 11:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | 46 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 20 |
| Tornado Warning | 2 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 5 |
| Tornado Watch | 6 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 27 |
| Special Weather Statement | 26 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 6 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 5 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.