Alert archive / Arkansas / Polk County

Weather alerts in Polk County, Arkansas, 2018

97 weather alerts in 2018, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Polk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
97
Warnings
33
Watches
11
Advisories
0
Busiest month
June18 alerts
Busiest day
June 24, 20189 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

1 of 2 tornado warnings covering Polk County in 2018 had a tornado report inside them.

Polk County, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings2150%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings201050%1090%16 min
Flash flood warnings5340%0

Each office's whole area, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings45687%1377%9 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings40618754%37784%21 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings1395362%10994%89 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 21, 1:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jan 21, 3:05 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Jan 21, 6:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jan 21, 9:20 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZK40 min
Jan 21, 9:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jan 21, 9:59 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Feb 21, 6:53 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Feb 21, 5:53 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZK6 hr
Feb 23, 1:58 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZK6 hr
Feb 23, 7:39 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZK6 hr
Feb 23, 8:08 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Feb 23, 1:17 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZK18 hr
Feb 24, 10:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Feb 24, 10:48 AM CSTTornado WarningLZK27 min
Feb 24, 11:01 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Feb 24, 12:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK52 min
Feb 24, 12:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK34 min
Feb 24, 1:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK43 min
Feb 24, 1:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Feb 28, 9:36 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZK4 hr
Mar 1, 2:06 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZK12 hr
Mar 10, 3:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Mar 10, 3:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Mar 10, 5:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Mar 10, 8:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Mar 19, 4:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 3, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 3, 1:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 3, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Apr 3, 2:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK40 min
Apr 3, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK35 min
Apr 3, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
Apr 3, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Apr 13, 12:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 13, 1:50 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPC8 hr
Apr 13, 5:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Apr 13, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
Apr 13, 7:47 PM CDTTornado WarningLZK43 min
May 3, 12:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
May 16, 11:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 20, 1:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 24, 3:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK25 min
May 24, 4:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK41 min
May 24, 5:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK37 min
May 24, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK61 min
Jun 2, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 2, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr
Jun 2, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK42 min
Jun 2, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 13, 5:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK51 min
Jun 22, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 22, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 23, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jun 23, 3:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK52 min
Jun 24, 5:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC79 min
Jun 24, 5:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jun 24, 7:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK48 min
Jun 24, 7:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jun 24, 7:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK33 min
Jun 24, 8:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK21 min
Jun 24, 4:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 24, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 24, 5:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK46 min
Jul 2, 3:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK29 min
Jul 2, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Jul 3, 3:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK35 min
Jul 6, 6:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK47 min
Jul 10, 4:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK48 min
Jul 11, 5:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK24 min
Jul 11, 5:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK25 min
Jul 11, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK29 min
Jul 11, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK35 min
Jul 11, 6:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK39 min
Jul 11, 6:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK27 min
Jul 11, 6:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK50 min
Jul 11, 6:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK33 min
Jul 12, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK36 min
Jul 16, 3:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSHV30 min
Jul 28, 5:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK38 min
Jul 28, 5:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK36 min
Aug 13, 8:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK38 min
Aug 13, 9:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK50 min
Aug 17, 2:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK23 min
Aug 17, 2:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK31 min
Aug 17, 2:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Aug 30, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
Sep 21, 12:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSHV26 min
Oct 31, 2:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZK28 min
Oct 31, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK43 min
Oct 31, 4:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
Oct 31, 7:26 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZK6 hr
Nov 30, 3:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Nov 30, 6:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Nov 30, 6:40 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Nov 30, 9:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Nov 30, 11:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Nov 30, 11:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK46 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.