Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 7

March 10, 201836 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 10, 2018, 3:43 PM CST for 36 counties in Arkansas; 6 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2018, 3:43 PM CST (21:43 UTC)
Expired
Mar 10, 2018, 10:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 3:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford27 min
Mar 10, 4:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford33 min
Mar 10, 4:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian33 min
Mar 10, 5:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin42 min
Mar 10, 5:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan41 min
Mar 10, 5:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin36 min
Mar 10, 5:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford28 min
Mar 10, 5:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell49 min
Mar 10, 5:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian11 min
Mar 10, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope51 min
Mar 10, 6:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Garland, Perry, Saline, Yell43 min
Mar 10, 6:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry49 min
Mar 10, 6:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline53 min
Mar 10, 6:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Wagoner32 min
Mar 10, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski and 1 more51 min
Mar 10, 7:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee35 min
Mar 10, 7:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski, Saline37 min
Mar 10, 7:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee33 min
Mar 10, 8:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Lincoln45 min
Mar 10, 8:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lincoln44 min
Mar 10, 8:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski32 min
Mar 10, 8:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha45 min
Mar 10, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Desha, Drew, Grant, Jefferson, Lincoln48 min
Mar 10, 8:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew46 min
Mar 10, 9:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Drew, Lincoln50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1807 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 3:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleveland, Conway, Crawford, Dallas, Faulkner and 20 more3 hr
Mar 10, 5:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland and 34 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.