Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 27

April 3, 20186 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 3, 2018, 1:33 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2018, 1:33 PM CDT (18:33 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2018, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 159 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

94 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Yell49 min
Apr 3, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington40 min
Apr 3, 2:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott52 min
Apr 3, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope45 min
Apr 3, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent25 min
Apr 3, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Washington38 min
Apr 3, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott28 min
Apr 3, 2:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk40 min
Apr 3, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington39 min
Apr 3, 2:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Newton, Searcy, Stone38 min
Apr 3, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell31 min
Apr 3, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon15 min
Apr 3, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell14 min
Apr 3, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds47 min
Apr 3, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois46 min
Apr 3, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren29 min
Apr 3, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair39 min
Apr 3, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott35 min
Apr 3, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph49 min
Apr 3, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone32 min
Apr 3, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk47 min
Apr 3, 3:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Stone35 min
Apr 3, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon34 min
Apr 3, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope, Van Buren32 min
Apr 3, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds49 min
Apr 3, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPerry, Saline25 min
Apr 3, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Wayne65 min
Apr 3, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois25 min
Apr 3, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley47 min
Apr 3, 4:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKStone, Van Buren28 min
Apr 3, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Sharp24 min
Apr 3, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Van Buren32 min
Apr 3, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike32 min
Apr 3, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXColes, Moultrie, Shelby31 min
Apr 3, 4:20 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren25 min
Apr 3, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence51 min
Apr 3, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring21 min
Apr 3, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Sharp33 min
Apr 3, 4:33 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHRipley27 min
Apr 3, 4:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXColes, Douglas, Edgar26 min
Apr 3, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Stone25 min
Apr 3, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski19 min
Apr 3, 4:41 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHButler34 min
Apr 3, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Montgomery48 min
Apr 3, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White31 min
Apr 3, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Perry31 min
Apr 3, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPulaski, Saline45 min
Apr 3, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningILXEffingham, Jasper13 min
Apr 3, 4:53 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott37 min
Apr 3, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke36 min
Apr 3, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Stone36 min
Apr 3, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring28 min
Apr 3, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Wayne39 min
Apr 3, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence50 min
Apr 3, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, White34 min
Apr 3, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson32 min
Apr 3, 5:13 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHButler, Stoddard32 min
Apr 3, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie27 min
Apr 3, 5:20 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence25 min
Apr 3, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClay, Crawford, Jasper, Richland25 min
Apr 3, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Jackson, White37 min
Apr 3, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski37 min
Apr 3, 5:25 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Williamson35 min
Apr 3, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJackson19 min
Apr 3, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett45 min
Apr 3, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi37 min
Apr 3, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard47 min
Apr 3, 5:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White, Woodruff30 min
Apr 3, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff29 min
Apr 3, 5:49 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson41 min
Apr 3, 5:50 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHNew Madrid, Scott, Stoddard25 min
Apr 3, 5:52 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHHopkins, Muhlenberg38 min
Apr 3, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHJohnson33 min
Apr 3, 5:58 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff32 min
Apr 3, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMississippi52 min
Apr 3, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett49 min
Apr 3, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett49 min
Apr 3, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Lincoln, Monroe14 min
Apr 3, 6:13 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid32 min
Apr 3, 6:18 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHGallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White27 min
Apr 3, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pope, Pulaski41 min
Apr 3, 6:22 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHJohnson, Massac, Pope38 min
Apr 3, 6:29 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMassac31 min
Apr 3, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, Phillips42 min
Apr 3, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi41 min
Apr 3, 6:38 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHGallatin, White20 min
Apr 3, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi45 min
Apr 3, 6:49 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHPope26 min
Apr 3, 7:01 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCrittenden16 min
Apr 3, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCarlisle, Hickman20 min
Apr 3, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Madison10 min
Apr 3, 7:36 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHGraves24 min
Apr 3, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White25 min
Apr 3, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg18 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 494 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 256 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
494 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
639 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

898 
WWUS20 KWNS 031831
SEL7  
SPC WW 031831
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-040100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 27
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM CDT Tue Apr 3 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Much of Arkansas
  Southern and East-Central Illinois
  Southwest Indiana
  Western Kentucky
  Southeast Missouri
  Northwest Mississippi
  Western Tennessee

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to rapidly form along a cold
front this afternoon and track across the watch area.  Very strong
wind fields and instability suggest the potential for fast-moving
severe storms capable of large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. 
Strong tornadoes will be possible with the most intense storms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 105 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest of Hot Springs
AR to 65 miles north of Evansville IN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 25...WW 26...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 10:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more8 hr
Apr 3, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 39 more2 hr
Apr 3, 1:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River95 min
Apr 3, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 39 more86 min
Apr 3, 4:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Union57 min
Apr 3, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Union5 hr
Apr 2, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Effingham, Fayette and 21 more119 min
Apr 3, 11:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford and 46 more3 hr
Apr 3, 12:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford and 48 more6 hr
Apr 3, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more117 min
Apr 3, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford and 41 more5 hr
Apr 3, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Boyd, Carter, Clark, Elliott and 12 more2 hr
Apr 3, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence6 hr
Apr 3, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 40 more114 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2018Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.