Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 4

February 24, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2018, 11:01 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2018, 11:01 AM CST (17:01 UTC)
Expired
Feb 24, 2018, 7:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 72 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Delta County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 155 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 11:58 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVMcCurtain4 hr
Feb 24, 12:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain52 min
Feb 24, 12:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Polk, Scott52 min
Feb 24, 12:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk34 min
Feb 24, 12:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Little River, Sevier62 min
Feb 24, 1:13 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKLogan, Yell8 min
Feb 24, 1:13 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVHoward, Little River, Sevier4 hr
Feb 24, 1:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Pope, Scott, Yell51 min
Feb 24, 1:27 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus, Upshur and 1 more4 hr
Feb 24, 1:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott, Yell43 min
Feb 24, 2:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Pike and 2 more39 min
Feb 24, 2:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Van Buren, Yell50 min
Feb 24, 2:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone44 min
Feb 24, 2:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring and 6 more48 min
Feb 24, 2:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone and 1 more49 min
Feb 24, 2:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren47 min
Feb 24, 3:04 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke and 5 more5 hr
Feb 24, 3:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Saline and 5 more5 hr
Feb 24, 3:22 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Izard, Stone, Van Buren23 min
Feb 24, 3:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Grant, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski and 2 more50 min
Feb 24, 3:26 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring and 1 more5 hr
Feb 24, 3:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring42 min
Feb 24, 3:37 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 5 more4 hr
Feb 24, 3:42 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff5 hr
Feb 24, 3:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, White47 min
Feb 24, 3:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion54 min
Feb 24, 4:01 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita6 hr
Feb 24, 4:07 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Drew and 6 more6 hr
Feb 24, 4:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski46 min
Feb 24, 4:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Jackson, Sharp, Stone, White and 1 more46 min
Feb 24, 4:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo, Webster62 min
Feb 24, 4:44 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe6 hr
Feb 24, 4:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff31 min
Feb 24, 5:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie38 min
Feb 24, 6:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union44 min
Feb 24, 6:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln, Monroe38 min
Feb 24, 6:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Drew37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 659 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 220 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
659 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
273 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

344 
WWUS20 KWNS 241659
SEL4  
SPC WW 241659
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-250000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and Southern Arkansas
  Northwest Louisiana
  Southeast Oklahoma
  Northeast Texas

* Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1100 AM until
  600 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify over northeast Texas,
spreading into parts of LA and AR this afternoon.  Supercells
capable of tornadoes and damaging winds are possible throughout the
watch area.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles south southwest of Paris TX
to 55 miles northeast of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 10:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more64 min
Feb 24, 1:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 31 more2 hr
Feb 24, 2:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi62 min
Feb 24, 3:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 6 more8 hr
Feb 24, 5:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 3 more91 min
Feb 24, 6:17 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Caddo, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche and 13 more118 min
Feb 24, 4:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Comanche and 18 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Tornado Watches in Texas, 2018Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.