Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 5

February 24, 20185 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2018, 3:16 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2018, 3:16 PM CST (21:16 UTC)
Expired
Feb 24, 2018, 11:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 80 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

66 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 3:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne5 hr
Feb 24, 3:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHAlexander, Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Perry, Pulaski and 2 more5 hr
Feb 24, 4:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler20 min
Feb 24, 4:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHUnion43 min
Feb 24, 4:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett4 hr
Feb 24, 4:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph42 min
Feb 24, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Williamson34 min
Feb 24, 4:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Randolph39 min
Feb 24, 5:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett43 min
Feb 24, 5:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph40 min
Feb 24, 5:06 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGClay, Randolph24 min
Feb 24, 5:14 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene, Randolph46 min
Feb 24, 5:15 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence24 min
Feb 24, 5:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett42 min
Feb 24, 5:19 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGPemiscot6 hr
Feb 24, 5:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Pope, Saline and 3 more5 hr
Feb 24, 5:29 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett10 min
Feb 24, 5:31 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler29 min
Feb 24, 5:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis41 min
Feb 24, 5:40 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGLee, St. Francis5 hr
Feb 24, 5:42 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGMississippi6 hr
Feb 24, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett48 min
Feb 24, 5:56 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGClay23 min
Feb 24, 6:06 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGMississippi27 min
Feb 24, 6:09 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHMassac5 hr
Feb 24, 6:13 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis6 hr
Feb 24, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, St. Francis45 min
Feb 24, 6:19 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHNew Madrid26 min
Feb 24, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi38 min
Feb 24, 6:25 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Stoddard35 min
Feb 24, 6:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHDaviess, Henderson, Union6 hr
Feb 24, 6:30 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGPemiscot45 min
Feb 24, 6:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi28 min
Feb 24, 6:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHaywood, Lauderdale, Tipton48 min
Feb 24, 6:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Obion and 1 more45 min
Feb 24, 6:49 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGPhillips6 hr
Feb 24, 6:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi, St. Francis50 min
Feb 24, 7:03 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGObion, Weakley42 min
Feb 24, 7:07 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHFulton, Graves, Hickman23 min
Feb 24, 7:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Haywood, Madison, Tipton52 min
Feb 24, 7:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrockett, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Madison4 hr
Feb 24, 7:17 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley6 hr
Feb 24, 7:20 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Weakley40 min
Feb 24, 7:23 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHCaldwell, Calloway, Crittenden, Hopkins, Livingston, Lyon and 3 more6 hr
Feb 24, 7:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton34 min
Feb 24, 7:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Crockett, Decatur, Gibson, Henderson and 3 more48 min
Feb 24, 7:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Graves30 min
Feb 24, 7:30 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedMEGHenry, Weakley30 min
Feb 24, 7:35 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCalloway, Graves10 min
Feb 24, 7:39 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCarroll, Henderson, Madison51 min
Feb 24, 7:40 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHMcCracken20 min
Feb 24, 7:43 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley47 min
Feb 24, 7:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman6 hr
Feb 24, 7:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway23 min
Feb 24, 7:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Crockett, Haywood, Madison48 min
Feb 24, 8:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart29 min
Feb 24, 8:03 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy3 hr
Feb 24, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHTrigg37 min
Feb 24, 8:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry30 min
Feb 24, 8:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys, Stewart50 min
Feb 24, 8:17 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXHouston, Stewart43 min
Feb 24, 8:29 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Stewart46 min
Feb 24, 8:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian29 min
Feb 24, 8:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd26 min
Feb 24, 8:57 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatOHXMontgomery, Robertson33 min
Feb 24, 9:36 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGMcNairy39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 42 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 176 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
42 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
568 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

071 
WWUS20 KWNS 242114
SEL5  
SPC WW 242114
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 5
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Arkansas
  Southern Illinois
  Western Kentucky
  Southeast Missouri
  Northwest Mississippi
  West Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
  900 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A line of intense thunderstorms over central AR will track
rapidly eastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening. 
Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are the main threats.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles west southwest of Walnut
Ridge AR to 30 miles northeast of Fort Campbell KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 4...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 10:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more64 min
Feb 24, 11:01 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 43 more8 hr
Feb 24, 1:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 31 more2 hr
Feb 24, 2:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi62 min
Feb 24, 5:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 3 more91 min
Feb 24, 4:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Breathitt, Butler and 33 more116 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2018Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2018Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.