Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 435

May 16, 201838 counties in Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Red River County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 16, 2018, 11:21 AM CDT for 38 counties in Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Red River County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2018, 11:21 AM CDT (16:21 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2018, 1:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 53 counties

Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Red River County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1078 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1078 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
668 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 8:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron85 min
May 16, 2:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron, Texas2 hr
May 16, 2:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Crockett, Edwards, Glasscock, Howard and 9 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.