Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 862

June 24, 201812 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 24, 2018, 4:18 PM CDT for 12 counties in Arkansas; 5 counties in Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2018, 4:18 PM CDT (21:18 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2018, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Garland County, AR, Howard County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Delta County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Red River County, TX, Titus County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1497 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -54 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1497 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
663 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

454 
ACUS11 KWNS 242119
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242118 
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-242315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0862
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0418 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

Areas affected...+Southeastern Oklahoma...parts of southwestern
Arkansas...portion of northeast Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 212...

Valid 242118Z - 242315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 212
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms have intensified across southeast Oklahoma over the
past few hours. At least a narrow area of favorable shear and
instability overlap exists over parts of southwestern Arkansas. An
additional WW is likely in the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Areas of southeast Oklahoma have been able to
destabilize over the course of the day and storms that have moved
into the area have increased in intensity over the last few hours.
Areas downstream of these storms remain moderately unstable with
MLCAPE from 2000-2500 J/kg. KSRX VAD profiles indicate 35-40 kts of
0-6 km shear, however shear decreases with southward extent. With at
least a corridor of favorable overlap between shear and instability
in southwestern Arkansas, a continued threat for severe wind gusts
will remain possible for the next few hours. An additional WW is
likely in the next hour.

..Wendt.. 06/24/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   35439395 35189293 34629278 33929350 33439414 33149515
            33139628 33439692 34289622 34799523 35439395

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleburne, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Independence, Jackson and 11 more87 min
Jun 24, 5:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Montgomery, Perry and 6 more79 min
Jun 24, 5:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead and 17 more4 hr
Jun 24, 7:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 47 more113 min
Jun 24, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 22 more6 hr
Jun 24, 6:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Cross, Greene, Independence and 6 more2 hr
Jun 23, 7:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 24 more55 min
Jun 23, 9:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Dewey and 16 more118 min
Jun 23, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 13 more7 hr
Jun 24, 1:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Blaine, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek and 25 more95 min
Jun 24, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCanadian, Cherokee, Creek, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer and 19 more6 hr
Jun 24, 7:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian and 14 more118 min
Jun 24, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 15 more93 min
Jun 24, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 15 more5 hr
Jun 24, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron86 min
Jun 23, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Fisher, Haskell, Jones, Mitchell, Nolan and 4 more117 min
Jun 24, 1:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Comanche, Dallas, Eastland, Ellis, Erath and 12 more67 min
Jun 24, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFisher, Glasscock, Howard, Kent, Mitchell, Reagan and 4 more115 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.