Alert archive / Kansas / Ellis County
Weather alerts in Ellis County, Kansas, 2015
125 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Ellis County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 125
- Warnings
- 31
- Watches
- 19
- Advisories
- 17
- Busiest month
- April29 alerts
- Busiest day
- April 3, 20158 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
2 of 4 tornado warnings covering Ellis County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them; 5 of 5 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 16 minutes after it went out.
Ellis County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 4 | 2 | 50% | 5 | 100% | 16 min |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 20 | 11 | 45% | 9 | 100% | 14 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Dodge City, KS: tornado warnings | 64 | 34 | 47% | 104 | 77% | 17 min |
| NWS Dodge City, KS: severe thunderstorm warnings | 301 | 182 | 40% | 392 | 78% | 20 min |
| NWS Dodge City, KS: flash flood warnings | 19 | 4 | 79% | 10 | 50% | 104 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2:34 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 46 hr |
| Jan 3, 2:52 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | DDC | 18 hr |
| Feb 27, 1:33 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 37 hr |
| Mar 14, 3:07 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DDC | 29 hr |
| Mar 15, 2:56 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DDC | 24 hr |
| Mar 15, 9:46 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DDC | 23 hr |
| Mar 22, 2:21 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DDC | 25 hr |
| Mar 23, 5:03 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DDC | 38 hr |
| Apr 2, 7:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 2, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 54 min |
| Apr 2, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 2, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 55 min |
| Apr 2, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 55 min |
| Apr 2, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 43 min |
| Apr 3, 3:49 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | DDC | 10 hr |
| Apr 3, 2:00 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | DDC | 30 hr |
| Apr 12, 3:19 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 56 min |
| Apr 12, 5:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Apr 16, 12:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Apr 16, 3:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 17, 5:37 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 17, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 17, 8:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Apr 17, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 43 min |
| Apr 18, 2:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 18, 5:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Apr 18, 8:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Apr 19, 2:19 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | DDC | 18 hr |
| Apr 24, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Apr 24, 3:41 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 24, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 53 min |
| Apr 24, 4:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | 29 min |
| Apr 24, 4:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 44 min |
| Apr 24, 4:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | 27 min |
| Apr 24, 5:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 13 min |
| Apr 24, 6:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 22 min |
| Apr 24, 7:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| May 4, 2:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 4, 6:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| May 6, 1:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 6, 1:41 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 6, 2:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 59 min |
| May 6, 3:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 7, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 19 min |
| May 7, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 52 min |
| May 7, 7:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 44 min |
| May 9, 8:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| May 11, 2:19 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | DDC | 30 hr |
| May 15, 1:09 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 36 min |
| May 15, 1:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 48 min |
| May 15, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 28 min |
| May 16, 12:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| May 16, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| May 28, 5:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 3, 4:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jun 3, 6:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 3, 8:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jun 4, 3:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jun 4, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 4, 11:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 50 min |
| Jun 4, 11:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Jun 17, 3:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 51 min |
| Jul 2, 7:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 5:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 5:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 1:08 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DDC | 55 hr |
| Jul 12, 11:02 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | DDC | 33 hr |
| Jul 12, 4:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jul 15, 1:07 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 68 min |
| Jul 15, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 54 min |
| Jul 15, 4:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Jul 17, 6:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 1:03 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Jul 19, 2:56 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 49 min |
| Jul 19, 2:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DDC | 12 hr |
| Jul 19, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jul 19, 10:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 48 min |
| Jul 23, 1:59 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DDC | 30 hr |
| Jul 25, 3:10 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | DDC | 29 hr |
| Jul 25, 3:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 25, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 29 min |
| Jul 25, 6:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jul 25, 9:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jul 26, 11:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 70 min |
| Aug 2, 9:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 46 min |
| Aug 4, 11:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 1:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 4, 3:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Aug 5, 2:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 22 min |
| Aug 5, 3:26 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | DDC | 7 hr |
| Aug 8, 3:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 8, 8:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 46 min |
| Aug 8, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 24 min |
| Aug 27, 5:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Aug 30, 1:22 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | DDC | 8 hr |
| Sep 6, 6:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Sep 10, 1:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Sep 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Sep 10, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Sep 10, 6:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 47 min |
| Sep 10, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 35 min |
| Oct 20, 6:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 59 min |
| Oct 24, 2:27 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | DDC | 31 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:56 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | DDC | 29 hr |
| Nov 4, 6:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 9, 12:16 PM CST | High Wind Watch | DDC | 39 hr |
| Nov 10, 6:52 PM CST | High Wind Warning | DDC | 21 hr |
| Nov 16, 1:00 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 6:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DDC | 48 min |
| Nov 16, 7:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DDC | 26 min |
| Nov 16, 8:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 36 min |
| Nov 16, 8:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 10:22 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | DDC | 68 min |
| Nov 16, 10:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | 28 min |
| Nov 24, 3:35 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 71 hr |
| Nov 26, 7:04 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Nov 27, 2:54 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 43 hr |
| Nov 28, 12:35 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 46 hr |
| Dec 11, 2:00 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | DDC | 23 hr |
| Dec 12, 4:51 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | DDC | 43 hr |
| Dec 12, 1:10 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | 35 hr |
| Dec 13, 9:18 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Dec 15, 2:11 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | DDC | 5 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 20 |
| Tornado Warning | 4 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 6 |
| Tornado Watch | 7 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 40 |
| Special Weather Statement | 18 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Watch | 1 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 1 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 6 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 4 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 3 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 1 |
| Wind and dust | |
| High Wind Warning | 1 |
| High Wind Watch | 1 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 4 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 3 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.