Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Dodge City, KS

368 
WWUS53 KDDC 050748
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
248 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

KSC051-165-050815-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-150805T0815Z/
RUSH KS-ELLIS KS-
248 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN RUSH AND SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTIES...

AT 247 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PFEIFER...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PFEIFER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3879 9904 3870 9904 3870 9903 3854 9903
      3866 9914 3868 9916 3871 9917 3872 9918
      3874 9918 3875 9916
TIME...MOT...LOC 0747Z 295DEG 25KT 3871 9911 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

981 
WWUS53 KDDC 050803
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
303 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

KSC051-165-050813-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-150805T0815Z/
RUSH KS-ELLIS KS-
303 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RUSH AND
SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3879 9904 3870 9904 3870 9903 3854 9903
      3866 9914 3868 9916 3871 9917 3872 9918
      3874 9918 3875 9916
TIME...MOT...LOC 0802Z 290DEG 30KT 3866 9895 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
220 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

...Updated for Short Term...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 218 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

The main forecast challenge for today is areas of dense fog early
this morning and how far west and south into southwestern Kansas.
RAP model in good agreement with NAM supporting areas of dense fog
and low stratus into around 14-15Z this morning from Scott City to
Medicine Lodge and east including Dodge City. Higher dewpoints are
forecast to come into the area as east to northeasterly winds
develop as surface low pressure moves into the Texas Panhandle area.
Will probably need to issue a Dense Fog Advisory shortly. After
areas of dense fog and stratus burns off by mid morning, skies
should be mostly sunny with easterly winds around 8 to 15 mph. Highs
today will range from the mid 90s far west near Liberal to Syracuse
and west, with low 90s to upper 80s elsewhere. The coolest in parts
of north central Kansas.

For tonight, moist easterly upslope winds continue at around 10 mph
with possibly more areas of dense fog or stratus developing after
midnight into the early morning. Lows will be in the upper 60s to
around 70 at Medicine Lodge.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday NIGHT THROUGH Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

There is an outside chance for thunderstorms across central Kansas
late Thursday as medium range models indicate an upper level
shortwave tracks eastward across the northern plains early in the
time period. Although the flow aloft will remain fairly weak above
much of southwest and south central Kansas, all models show a
modest upper level jet core streaming eastward eastward across
Nebraska and clipping portions of northern Kansas. As low/mid
level lapse rates steepen in conjunction with the arrival of a
cold front attendant to the shortwave to our north, a few isolated
thunderstorms could develop across central Kansas in the vicinity
of the I-70 corridor during the late Thursday afternoon/early
evening time frame. Otherwise, drier conditions are likely across
central and southwest Kansas through Friday as upper level ridging
across the desert southwest and southern Rockies moves east into
the Western High Plains. Chances for precip may return Friday
night as the GFS and ECMWF both show a weak upper level shortwave
ejecting out of the Colorado Rockies into the high plains of
northeast Colorado, southwest Nebraska, and northwest Kansas.
Plenty of uncertainty remains as to the track and timing of this
system but the best chance for thunderstorms looks to be across
more northern portions of the forecast area, to include west
central and central Kansas, if at all.

Seasonal temperatures can be expected Thursday as a low level
southerly flow re-establishes itself across western Kansas ahead of
an approaching cold front. Widespread 90s(F) are expected for highs
Thursday afternoon. Highs Friday will be dependent on how far south
the frontal boundary mentioned earlier reaches before stalling out.
Regardless, highs should reach the 90s(F) for the most part,
especially further south along the Oklahoma border. Highs could
reach near 100F in some locations Saturday as the aforementioned
upper level ridging moves into the Western High Plains to finish
out the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z Wednesday NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

As a surface low pressure trough in eastern Colorado moves south,
light southeast moist upslope winds become light easterly to
light and variable by dawn. Some stratus and light fog may develop
especially at KHYS after 09z, and is possible in the KDDC and KGCK
areas also, but not confident enough to add to TAF forecast attm.
Expect VFR conditions with some IFR/MVFR cigs/vis at KHYS through
16z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  93  68  97  70 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  93  68  98  69 /   0   0   0  10
EHA  96  68 100  69 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  97  69  99  70 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  88  67  95  68 /  10   0  10  10
P28  93  70  98  73 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...Kruse

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
413 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-051000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
413 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015 /313 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FROM NEAR WAKEENEY, AND NESS CITY, TO HAYS
AND THE LA CROSSE AREAS AFTER 4 PM AND INTO THE EVENING. LARGE
HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE, STRONG WINDS OVER 60 MPH, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO
MONDAY MAINLY NORTH OF THE DODGE CITY AREA.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
847 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             3 SE ALEXANDER          38.44N 99.52W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       RUSH               KS   PUBLIC

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
921 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     HAIL             4 S MINNEOLA            37.39N 100.02W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
949 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 PM     HAIL             ALEXANDER               38.47N 99.55W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       RUSH               KS   PUBLIC

0555 PM     HAIL             3 E DIGHTON             38.48N 100.41W
08/04/2015  E2.00 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

0550 PM     HAIL             2 NNE DIGHTON           38.51N 100.45W
08/04/2015  E1.75 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

0918 PM     HAIL             4 S MINNEOLA            37.39N 100.02W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0635 PM     HAIL             2 N AMY                 38.49N 100.59W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

0710 PM     HAIL             4 SW TREGO CENTER       38.84N 99.95W
08/04/2015  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

0719 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 NNW KALVESTA          38.16N 100.32W
08/04/2015  E65 MPH          FINNEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0732 PM     HAIL             8 WSW CEDAR BLUFF       38.74N 99.86W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

0740 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WNW KALVESTA          38.06N 100.30W
08/04/2015  E75 MPH          FINNEY             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

0733 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW KALVESTA          38.06N 100.30W
08/04/2015                   FINNEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PART OF ROOF IS OFF OF KALVESTA IMPLEMENT
            CO.

0820 PM     HAIL             1 N HOWELL              37.80N 100.18W
08/04/2015  E1.25 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

0835 PM     HAIL             4 SW DODGE CITY         37.73N 100.07W
08/04/2015  E1.25 INCH       FORD               KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

0825 PM     HAIL             3 SE ALEXANDER          38.44N 99.52W
08/04/2015  E1.00 INCH       RUSH               KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
224 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

KSZ031-046-050815-
ELLIS KS-RUSH KS-
224 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN RUSH AND
SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

AT 224 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MUNJOR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAYS...SCHOENCHEN...ANTONINO...MUNJOR...LORETTA...PFEIFER AND TOULON.

LAT...LON 3878 9904 3870 9904 3870 9903 3854 9903
      3874 9945 3886 9932
TIME...MOT...LOC 0724Z 297DEG 27KT 3879 9932