Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1433

July 15, 2015Baca County, Prowers County, Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas; Cimarron County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 15, 2015, 3:36 PM MDT for Baca County, Prowers County, Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas; Cimarron County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2015, 3:36 PM MDT (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2015, 4:30 PM MDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 25 counties

Baca County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Cimarron County, OK

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1897 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers, Yuma2 hr
Jul 15, 4:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Garfield, Mesa, Moffat, Montrose, Rio Blanco and 2 more65 min
Jul 15, 2:37 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary, Lincoln and 12 more83 min
Jul 15, 4:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Douglas, Geary, Jackson, Jefferson and 14 more58 min
Jul 15, 5:09 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Douglas, Franklin, Geary and 13 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.