Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 256

June 4, 2015Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 16 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 4, 2015, 6:06 PM MDT for Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 16 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2015, 6:06 PM MDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 4, 2015, 11:27 PM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Chase County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCLane, Ness, Trego45 min
Jun 4, 6:30 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDRawlins30 min
Jun 4, 6:59 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDDecatur, Rawlins20 min
Jun 4, 6:59 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDGove31 min
Jun 4, 7:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove67 min
Jun 4, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove19 min
Jun 4, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham, Norton60 min
Jun 4, 8:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur28 min
Jun 4, 8:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove65 min
Jun 4, 8:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Sheridan68 min
Jun 4, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove33 min
Jun 4, 8:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips25 min
Jun 4, 8:40 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDGraham, Norton6 hr
Jun 4, 8:56 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDSheridan49 min
Jun 4, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham, Norton60 min
Jun 4, 9:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Sheridan62 min
Jun 4, 9:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDGove3 hr
Jun 4, 10:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Norton59 min
Jun 4, 10:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSheridan44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2015-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1814 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2015-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1814 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
754 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

303 
WWUS20 KWNS 050004
SEL6  
SPC WW 050004
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-050700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 256
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
  SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
    POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SEVERE-THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS INCREASING AS STORMS DEVELOP
AND INTENSIFY OVER THIS REGION DURING THE REMAINING AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING HOURS.  DAMAGING HAIL AND SPORADIC SEVERE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE...AND A SUPERCELL OR TWO MAY SUSTAIN ITSELF LONG ENOUGH IN
AT LEAST A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SOME TORNADO RISK.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HILL
CITY KANSAS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 255...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34010.


...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 7:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Crowley, El Paso, Otero, Prowers, Pueblo2 hr
Jun 4, 8:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 2 more115 min
Jun 5, 12:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Broomfield, Crowley, Denver and 14 more86 min
Jun 5, 1:09 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Boulder, Broomfield and 18 more6 hr
Jun 5, 4:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Yuma53 min
Jun 5, 4:44 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma7 hr
Jun 5, 5:59 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson61 min
Jun 4, 7:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 13 more65 min
Jun 4, 10:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Norton, Osborne and 5 more61 min
Jun 5, 12:22 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 31 more113 min
Jun 5, 12:42 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 18 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.