Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 252
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 3, 2015, 6:33 PM CDT for 40 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 3, 2015, 6:33 PM CDT (23:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 4, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 57 counties
Barton County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Geary County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Saline County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush | 43 min |
| Jun 3, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Edwards, Hodgeman, Pawnee | 62 min |
| Jun 3, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Rooks | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 34 min |
| Jun 3, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Hodgeman | 64 min |
| Jun 3, 8:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Osborne, Rooks | 34 min |
| Jun 3, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 30 min |
| Jun 3, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne | 37 min |
| Jun 3, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Russell | 49 min |
| Jun 3, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith | 28 min |
| Jun 3, 8:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Hodgeman, Pawnee | 3 hr |
| Jun 3, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 30 min |
| Jun 3, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith | 34 min |
| Jun 3, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ford, Hodgeman | 23 min |
| Jun 3, 9:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell | 39 min |
| Jun 3, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Rooks | 52 min |
| Jun 3, 10:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne | 41 min |
| Jun 3, 10:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne | 30 min |
| Jun 3, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Rooks | 24 min |
| Jun 3, 10:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Mitchell | 34 min |
| Jun 3, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 11:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Graham | 26 min |
| Jun 3, 11:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 11:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 11:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne | 4 hr |
| Jun 3, 11:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls, Thayer | 52 min |
| Jun 3, 11:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay, Fillmore | 51 min |
| Jun 3, 11:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips | 36 min |
| Jun 4, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Harlan | 26 min |
| Jun 4, 12:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, York | 24 min |
| Jun 4, 12:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pawnee | 34 min |
| Jun 4, 1:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Buffalo, Kearney | 30 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 899 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -454 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1624 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 100 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
802
WWUS20 KWNS 032331
SEL2
SPC WW 032331
KSZ000-NEZ000-040700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN KANSAS
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY-MID EVENING...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS.
ISOLATED VERY LARGE AND DAMAGING HAIL IS POSSIBLE AMIDST BROADER
THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL FROM SEVERAL STORMS. RISKS FOR DAMAGING GUSTS
AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ALSO EXIST.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HILL
CITY KANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEATRICE NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 251...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
...EDWARDSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 3:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson and 10 more | 90 min |
| Jun 3, 4:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Gove and 20 more | 115 min |
| Jun 2, 9:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer and 17 more | 89 min |
| Jun 2, 9:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo, Custer, Dawson and 14 more | 5 hr |
| Jun 2, 11:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Custer, Garfield, Greeley and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 3, 1:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Buffalo, Clay, Dawson, Fillmore, Greeley and 11 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 3, 3:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Boyd and 66 more | 89 min |
| Jun 3, 1:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Banner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff | 86 min |
| Jun 3, 3:03 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Banner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff, Sioux | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.