Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 540

October 27, 202119 parishes in Louisiana; 22 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 27, 2021, 7:55 AM CDT for 19 parishes in Louisiana; 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2021, 7:55 AM CDT (12:55 UTC)
Expired
Oct 27, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 8:06 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Montgomery24 min
Oct 27, 8:13 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson32 min
Oct 27, 8:16 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris29 min
Oct 27, 8:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris37 min
Oct 27, 8:42 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson, Orange33 min
Oct 27, 8:48 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery27 min
Oct 27, 8:55 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty35 min
Oct 27, 9:10 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHJasper, Newton, Orange24 min
Oct 27, 9:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris29 min
Oct 27, 9:21 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu24 min
Oct 27, 9:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXChambers, Harris, Liberty37 min
Oct 27, 9:41 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu34 min
Oct 27, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXChambers, Liberty32 min
Oct 27, 10:09 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu36 min
Oct 27, 10:24 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHJefferson, Orange3 hr
Oct 27, 10:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJefferson, Orange55 min
Oct 27, 10:39 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLCHBeauregard36 min
Oct 27, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange51 min
Oct 27, 11:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu26 min
Oct 27, 11:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine39 min
Oct 27, 11:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCameron31 min
Oct 27, 11:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides26 min
Oct 27, 11:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLCHAcadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 3 more60 min
Oct 27, 11:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River and 2 more65 min
Oct 27, 11:46 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu17 min
Oct 27, 11:53 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu37 min
Oct 27, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron35 min
Oct 27, 12:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLCHAcadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 4 more63 min
Oct 27, 12:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn61 min
Oct 27, 12:31 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard, Vernon17 min
Oct 27, 12:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Evangeline, Rapides, Vernon34 min
Oct 27, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides, Saint Landry34 min
Oct 27, 1:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Lafayette, Saint Landry and 3 more60 min
Oct 27, 1:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn66 min
Oct 27, 2:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHCameron, Vermilion10 min
Oct 27, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHIberia, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin, Vermilion66 min
Oct 27, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHIberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary, Vermilion60 min
Oct 27, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHIberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 34 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1422 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1422 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
604 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

372 
WWUS20 KWNS 271253
SEL0  
SPC WW 271253
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-272100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 540
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
755 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern and central Louisiana
  Southeast Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 755 AM
  until 400 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue eastward initially across
east/southeast Texas this morning, with other storms increasing
ahead of it from far southeast Texas into southern/central Louisiana
this morning. Damaging winds will be a common concern with the
strongest storms, and the tornado potential is expected to increase
into late morning and afternoon. A couple of strong tornadoes are
possible, especially by late morning and early/mid-afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Lafayette
LA to 50 miles west of Houston TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia, Jefferson Davis and 4 more84 min
Oct 27, 9:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more2 hr
Oct 27, 10:08 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 6 more5 hr
Oct 27, 10:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Vernon91 min
Oct 27, 12:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 24 more85 min
Oct 27, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more83 min
Oct 27, 1:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana and 18 more8 hr
Oct 27, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 13 more95 min
Oct 27, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr
Oct 26, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 45 more8 hr
Oct 26, 9:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 26 more83 min
Oct 27, 1:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 48 more6 hr
Oct 27, 1:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Grayson and 8 more91 min
Oct 27, 5:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 22 more2 hr
Oct 27, 9:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.