Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 542

October 27, 202124 parishes in Louisiana; 21 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 27, 2021, 1:53 PM CDT for 24 parishes in Louisiana; 21 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2021, 1:53 PM CDT (18:53 UTC)
Expired
Oct 27, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 2:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Tangipahoa42 min
Oct 27, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXIberville, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana59 min
Oct 27, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia75 min
Oct 27, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWilkinson58 min
Oct 27, 2:52 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANConcordia16 min
Oct 27, 3:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXWilkinson26 min
Oct 27, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge, West Feliciana50 min
Oct 27, 3:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXEast Feliciana, West Feliciana26 min
Oct 27, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson67 min
Oct 27, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Saint Helena, West Baton Rouge49 min
Oct 27, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Saint James and 1 more39 min
Oct 27, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLincoln45 min
Oct 27, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Lafourche, Livingston and 4 more44 min
Oct 27, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington26 min
Oct 27, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint Charles, Saint James and 2 more38 min
Oct 27, 5:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington3 hr
Oct 27, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 2 more49 min
Oct 27, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany50 min
Oct 27, 6:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington2 hr
Oct 27, 6:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche32 min
Oct 27, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard41 min
Oct 27, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River41 min
Oct 27, 6:52 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River12 min
Oct 27, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBPerry, Stone46 min
Oct 27, 7:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBStone4 hr
Oct 27, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone51 min
Oct 27, 9:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Stone4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 186 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1792 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

388 
WWUS20 KWNS 271850
SEL2  
SPC WW 271850
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-280300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 542
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeastern Louisiana
  Southern Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 155 PM
  until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A pre-frontal squall line will continue eastward across
southern Louisiana and Mississippi through the afternoon and
evening.  Additional warm sector supercell development is also
expected through the afternoon.  The strongest storms will be
capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes and damaging
winds.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Mc Comb MS to 45
miles west southwest of Boothville LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 540...WW 541...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia, Jefferson Davis and 4 more84 min
Oct 27, 7:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 13 more9 hr
Oct 27, 9:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more2 hr
Oct 27, 10:08 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 6 more5 hr
Oct 27, 10:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Vernon91 min
Oct 27, 12:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 24 more85 min
Oct 27, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more83 min
Oct 27, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 13 more95 min
Oct 27, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.