Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 541

October 27, 202112 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 27, 2021, 10:08 AM CDT for 12 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2021, 10:08 AM CDT (15:08 UTC)
Expired
Oct 27, 2021, 3:13 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Panola County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 10:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo46 min
Oct 27, 11:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo, De Soto, Red River, Sabine39 min
Oct 27, 11:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo45 min
Oct 27, 11:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River and 2 more65 min
Oct 27, 12:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn61 min
Oct 27, 1:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn66 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 395 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 233 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
395 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
557 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

750 
WWUS20 KWNS 271504
SEL1  
SPC WW 271504
LAZ000-TXZ000-272100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 541
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern Louisiana
  Extreme northeast Texas

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1005 AM
  until 400 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A squall line is expected to intensify some through early
afternoon while moving eastward from Texas into Louisiana.  The
storm environment is favorable for embedded circulations in the
line, with an attendant threat for occasional damaging outflow gusts
and a couple of mesovortex tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Shreveport
LA to 30 miles south southwest of Natchitoches LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 540...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia, Jefferson Davis and 4 more84 min
Oct 27, 7:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 13 more9 hr
Oct 27, 9:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more2 hr
Oct 27, 10:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Vernon91 min
Oct 27, 12:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 24 more85 min
Oct 27, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 7 more83 min
Oct 27, 1:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana and 18 more8 hr
Oct 27, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 13 more95 min
Oct 27, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr
Oct 26, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 45 more8 hr
Oct 26, 9:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 26 more83 min
Oct 27, 1:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 48 more6 hr
Oct 27, 1:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Grayson and 8 more91 min
Oct 27, 5:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 22 more2 hr
Oct 27, 9:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.