Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 539
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 27, 2021, 1:32 AM CDT for 54 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2021, 1:32 AM CDT (06:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 27, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 54 counties
Anderson County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Wise County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Palo Pinto, Parker, Wise | 61 min |
| Oct 27, 2:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton, Parker, Tarrant, Wise | 60 min |
| Oct 27, 2:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton | 37 min |
| Oct 27, 3:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Cooke, Denton, Grayson | 57 min |
| Oct 27, 4:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde | 40 min |
| Oct 27, 4:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 52 min |
| Oct 27, 4:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall | 55 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1353 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1163 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 323 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 4.2
The text
As transmitted.
957 WWUS20 KWNS 270629 SEL9 SPC WW 270629 TXZ000-271300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 539 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning from 130 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue generally eastward overnight across a large part of north/central Texas, including toward the I-35 corridor and Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. Damaging winds are the primary concern, but a brief tornado risk may also exist. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Sherman TX to 45 miles south southwest of Temple TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 537...WW 538... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27040. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke and 45 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 26, 9:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 26 more | 83 min |
| Oct 27, 1:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Grayson and 8 more | 91 min |
| Oct 27, 5:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 22 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 27, 7:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chambers, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange and 1 more | 84 min |
| Oct 27, 7:55 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin and 16 more | 9 hr |
| Oct 27, 9:08 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler | 97 min |
| Oct 27, 9:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Shelby | 2 hr |
| Oct 27, 10:08 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Harrison, Marion, Panola, Shelby | 5 hr |
| Oct 27, 10:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Newton | 91 min |
| Oct 27, 12:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Shelby | 83 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.