Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 426

August 11, 202117 counties in Michigan; 34 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 2:32 PM EDT for 17 counties in Michigan; 34 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 2:32 PM EDT (18:32 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 6:52 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Bay County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Huron County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Madison County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston63 min
Aug 11, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHancock, Lucas, Wood57 min
Aug 11, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe, Wayne76 min
Aug 11, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland66 min
Aug 11, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAuglaize, Darke, Logan, Mercer, Shelby65 min
Aug 11, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee, Shiawassee59 min
Aug 11, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNHardin, Logan56 min
Aug 11, 3:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCLECrawford, Hancock, Marion, Seneca, Wyandot55 min
Aug 11, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLapeer, Macomb, Saint Clair, Sanilac69 min
Aug 11, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood53 min
Aug 11, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDarke, Miami, Shelby41 min
Aug 11, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEErie, Ottawa52 min
Aug 11, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCLECrawford, Erie, Huron, Richland, Seneca61 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDelaware, Logan, Union37 min
Aug 11, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Crawford, Knox, Marion, Morrow, Richland60 min
Aug 11, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCLEAshland, Cuyahoga, Erie, Huron, Lorain, Medina66 min
Aug 11, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Morrow, Richland61 min
Aug 11, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDelaware, Franklin, Madison, Union42 min
Aug 11, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Holmes, Knox, Wayne60 min
Aug 11, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCLECuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Portage, Summit58 min
Aug 11, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Knox30 min
Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLicking41 min
Aug 11, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatCLEMahoning, Medina, Portage, Stark, Summit, Wayne69 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 169 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-290 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

185 
WWUS20 KWNS 111828
SEL6  
SPC WW 111828
MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-120000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 426
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Lower Michigan
  Much of northwest and north central Ohio
  Lake Erie
  Lake Huron

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM
  until 800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue to move eastward from
Indiana into Ohio, with some northward expansion of storms across
southeast Lower Michigan through the afternoon.  Damaging winds will
be the main threat, though marginally severe hail could occur with
the strongest updrafts, and a brief tornado or two may also occur
with embedded circulations in line segments.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles north northwest
of Bad Axe MI to 25 miles west of Columbus OH. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...WW 425...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 8:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 25 more63 min
Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Benzie, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun and 31 more5 hr
Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Barry, Bay and 44 more93 min
Aug 11, 10:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Hillsdale, Jackson and 3 more83 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 14 more4 hr
Aug 11, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMenominee117 min
Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDelta, Menominee8 hr
Aug 11, 1:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Hillsdale, Kalamazoo, Saint Joseph94 min
Aug 11, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more93 min
Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more115 min
Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more3 hr
Aug 11, 7:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more90 min
Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford and 19 more89 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Trumbull115 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton and 31 more96 min
Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.