Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 426
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 2:32 PM EDT for 17 counties in Michigan; 34 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 11, 2021, 2:32 PM EDT (18:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 11, 2021, 6:52 PM EDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Bay County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Huron County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Madison County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Livingston | 63 min |
| Aug 11, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Hancock, Lucas, Wood | 57 min |
| Aug 11, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Monroe, Wayne | 76 min |
| Aug 11, 3:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Oakland | 66 min |
| Aug 11, 3:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Auglaize, Darke, Logan, Mercer, Shelby | 65 min |
| Aug 11, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Genesee, Shiawassee | 59 min |
| Aug 11, 3:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Hardin, Logan | 56 min |
| Aug 11, 3:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Hancock, Marion, Seneca, Wyandot | 55 min |
| Aug 11, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lapeer, Macomb, Saint Clair, Sanilac | 69 min |
| Aug 11, 3:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood | 53 min |
| Aug 11, 3:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Darke, Miami, Shelby | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Erie, Ottawa | 52 min |
| Aug 11, 4:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Erie, Huron, Richland, Seneca | 61 min |
| Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Delaware, Logan, Union | 37 min |
| Aug 11, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Crawford, Knox, Marion, Morrow, Richland | 60 min |
| Aug 11, 4:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Cuyahoga, Erie, Huron, Lorain, Medina | 66 min |
| Aug 11, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Morrow, Richland | 61 min |
| Aug 11, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Delaware, Franklin, Madison, Union | 42 min |
| Aug 11, 5:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Holmes, Knox, Wayne | 60 min |
| Aug 11, 5:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Portage, Summit | 58 min |
| Aug 11, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashland, Knox | 30 min |
| Aug 11, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Licking | 41 min |
| Aug 11, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Mahoning, Medina, Portage, Stark, Summit, Wayne | 69 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 106 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -290 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1220 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 169 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
185 WWUS20 KWNS 111828 SEL6 SPC WW 111828 MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-120000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 426 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Lower Michigan Much of northwest and north central Ohio Lake Erie Lake Huron * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue to move eastward from Indiana into Ohio, with some northward expansion of storms across southeast Lower Michigan through the afternoon. Damaging winds will be the main threat, though marginally severe hail could occur with the strongest updrafts, and a brief tornado or two may also occur with embedded circulations in line segments. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles north northwest of Bad Axe MI to 25 miles west of Columbus OH. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...WW 425... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27040. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 8:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 25 more | 63 min |
| Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegan, Barry, Benzie, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun and 31 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Barry, Bay and 44 more | 93 min |
| Aug 11, 10:52 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Hillsdale, Jackson and 3 more | 83 min |
| Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 14 more | 4 hr |
| Aug 11, 12:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Menominee | 117 min |
| Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Delta, Menominee | 8 hr |
| Aug 11, 1:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Branch, Hillsdale, Kalamazoo, Saint Joseph | 94 min |
| Aug 11, 2:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more | 93 min |
| Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 7:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more | 90 min |
| Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford and 19 more | 89 min |
| Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Trumbull | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Athens, Belmont, Carroll, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton and 31 more | 96 min |
| Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.