Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423

August 11, 202124 counties in Indiana; 20 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 11:50 AM EDT for 24 counties in Indiana; 20 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 11:50 AM EDT (15:50 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 3:46 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 52 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 12:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXKosciusko, Marshall29 min
Aug 11, 12:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph43 min
Aug 11, 12:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Ottawa28 min
Aug 11, 12:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Fulton, Kosciusko, Miami, Pulaski, Wabash36 min
Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, Kosciusko, Miami and 3 more43 min
Aug 11, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaGrange, Steuben36 min
Aug 11, 1:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, Jay, Wells27 min
Aug 11, 1:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun38 min
Aug 11, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb, Steuben43 min
Aug 11, 2:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant, Huntington, Jay, Wells55 min
Aug 11, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRJackson58 min
Aug 11, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClinton, Gratiot, Ionia, Montcalm49 min
Aug 11, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, Jay, Wells46 min
Aug 11, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham34 min
Aug 11, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale46 min
Aug 11, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, Defiance, Henry, Putnam, Van Wert57 min
Aug 11, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXJay29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 169 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-290 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

959 
WWUS20 KWNS 111546
SEL3  
SPC WW 111546
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-112100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 423
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Indiana
  Southwest Lower Michigan
  Extreme northwest Ohio
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
  until 500 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A storm cluster with a history of severe gusts across
northeast Illinois is expected to continue moving eastward and
likely expand northward this afternoon across northern Indiana into
southwest Lower Michigan.  Damaging winds up to 75 mph will be the
main threat, though isolated large hail of 1 to 1.5 inch diameter
will be possible with the strongest storms, and a tornado or two may
also occur with embedded circulations.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Grand
Rapids MI to 35 miles southwest of Fort Wayne IN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 422...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 8:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake, LaPorte and 6 more63 min
Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 10 more5 hr
Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Jasper and 8 more93 min
Aug 11, 2:20 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Warren115 min
Aug 11, 9:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter86 min
Aug 11, 9:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJasper, Lake, Newton, Porter4 hr
Aug 11, 10:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 20 more83 min
Aug 11, 1:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, Kosciusko and 7 more94 min
Aug 11, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMenominee117 min
Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDelta, Menominee8 hr
Aug 11, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more93 min
Aug 11, 2:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more4 hr
Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more115 min
Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more3 hr
Aug 11, 7:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more90 min
Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford and 19 more89 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Trumbull115 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton and 31 more96 min
Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.