Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 11, 2021, 11:50 AM EDT for 24 counties in Indiana; 20 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 11, 2021, 11:50 AM EDT (15:50 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 11, 2021, 3:46 PM EDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 52 counties
Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 12:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko, Marshall | 29 min |
| Aug 11, 12:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 12:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Ottawa | 28 min |
| Aug 11, 12:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Cass, Fulton, Kosciusko, Miami, Pulaski, Wabash | 36 min |
| Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, Kosciusko, Miami and 3 more | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 1:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | LaGrange, Steuben | 36 min |
| Aug 11, 1:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Adams, Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, Jay, Wells | 27 min |
| Aug 11, 1:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun | 38 min |
| Aug 11, 2:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | DeKalb, Steuben | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 2:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Blackford, Grant, Huntington, Jay, Wells | 55 min |
| Aug 11, 2:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Jackson | 58 min |
| Aug 11, 2:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Clinton, Gratiot, Ionia, Montcalm | 49 min |
| Aug 11, 2:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Adams, Allen, DeKalb, Huntington, Jay, Wells | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 2:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Ingham | 34 min |
| Aug 11, 2:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Hillsdale | 46 min |
| Aug 11, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen, Defiance, Henry, Putnam, Van Wert | 57 min |
| Aug 11, 3:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Jay | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 106 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -290 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1220 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 169 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
959
WWUS20 KWNS 111546
SEL3
SPC WW 111546
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LMZ000-112100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 423
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Indiana
Southwest Lower Michigan
Extreme northwest Ohio
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
until 500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A storm cluster with a history of severe gusts across
northeast Illinois is expected to continue moving eastward and
likely expand northward this afternoon across northern Indiana into
southwest Lower Michigan. Damaging winds up to 75 mph will be the
main threat, though isolated large hail of 1 to 1.5 inch diameter
will be possible with the strongest storms, and a tornado or two may
also occur with embedded circulations.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Grand
Rapids MI to 35 miles southwest of Fort Wayne IN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 422...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 8:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | DeKalb, Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake, LaPorte and 6 more | 63 min |
| Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 10 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Jasper and 8 more | 93 min |
| Aug 11, 2:20 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Warren | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 9:34 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter | 86 min |
| Aug 11, 9:52 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter | 4 hr |
| Aug 11, 10:52 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 20 more | 83 min |
| Aug 11, 1:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, Kosciusko and 7 more | 94 min |
| Aug 11, 12:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Menominee | 117 min |
| Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Delta, Menominee | 8 hr |
| Aug 11, 2:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more | 93 min |
| Aug 11, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more | 4 hr |
| Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 7:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more | 90 min |
| Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford and 19 more | 89 min |
| Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Trumbull | 115 min |
| Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Athens, Belmont, Carroll, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton and 31 more | 96 min |
| Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.