Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1480

August 11, 202113 counties in Indiana; 4 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 11, 2021, 1:26 PM EDT for 13 counties in Indiana; 4 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 1:26 PM EDT (17:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 423
All 25 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 106 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 169 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-290 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

670 
ACUS11 KWNS 111727
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111726 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-111900-

Mesoscale Discussion 1480
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1226 PM CDT Wed Aug 11 2021

Areas affected...northern Indiana...southern Michigan and northwest
Ohio

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423...

Valid 111726Z - 111900Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 423
continues.

SUMMARY...A more organized severe weather threat is developing
across northern Indiana.

DISCUSSION...The earlier cluster of storms has now congealed into
more of a bowing segment across northern Indiana. Recently,
estimated 60 mph winds were reported in Kosciusko county and radar
estimated winds in excess of 60 knots are being measured by the KIWX
radar at 700 feet to the northwest of the radar. In addition,
periodic, weak circulations have been observed along this line, to
the south of the apex of the bow. The downstream airmass downstream
of this bowing segment is very unstable with MLCAPE around 2500
J/kg. Therefore, expect maintenance and potential strengthening as
this MCS moves east across northern Indiana and eventually into
northwest Ohio.

..Bentley/Thompson.. 08/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   41988597 42268555 42178431 41478397 40828397 40548472
            40548571 40638617 41058616 41988597

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 8:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Lake, LaPorte and 6 more63 min
Aug 10, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Jasper, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 10 more5 hr
Aug 10, 10:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington, Jasper and 8 more93 min
Aug 11, 2:20 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Warren115 min
Aug 11, 9:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter86 min
Aug 11, 9:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJasper, Lake, Newton, Porter4 hr
Aug 11, 10:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 20 more83 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 18 more4 hr
Aug 11, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMenominee117 min
Aug 11, 1:17 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDelta, Menominee8 hr
Aug 11, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more93 min
Aug 11, 2:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more4 hr
Aug 11, 4:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more115 min
Aug 11, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more3 hr
Aug 11, 7:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more90 min
Aug 11, 9:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford and 19 more89 min
Aug 11, 11:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Trumbull115 min
Aug 11, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton and 31 more96 min
Aug 11, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 13 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.