Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 424

August 11, 2021Allamakee County, Clayton County, Iowa; Delta County, Menominee County, Michigan; 44 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 11, 2021, 12:17 PM CDT for Allamakee County, Clayton County, Iowa; Delta County, Menominee County, Michigan; 44 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 11, 2021, 12:17 PM CDT (17:17 UTC)
Expired
Aug 11, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 48 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delta County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Door County, WI, Florence County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Forest County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTaylor42 min
Aug 11, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLincoln, Marathon42 min
Aug 11, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Portage, Wood52 min
Aug 11, 12:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBFlorence, Forest, Marinette37 min
Aug 11, 12:57 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBLanglade, Lincoln, Marathon33 min
Aug 11, 1:01 PM CDTTornado WarningARXClark17 min
Aug 11, 1:04 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBMarathon41 min
Aug 11, 1:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXLa Crosse, Monroe38 min
Aug 11, 1:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLanglade, Lincoln, Marathon, Menominee, Shawano40 min
Aug 11, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Menominee, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca51 min
Aug 11, 1:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOconto, Shawano, Waupaca44 min
Aug 11, 1:40 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBMarathon20 min
Aug 11, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXJuneau, Monroe64 min
Aug 11, 1:48 PM CDTTornado WarningARXJuneau, Monroe42 min
Aug 11, 1:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBPortage, Wood51 min
Aug 11, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXLa Crosse, Monroe39 min
Aug 11, 2:07 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBBrown, Oconto, Shawano23 min
Aug 11, 2:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGRBMarathon51 min
Aug 11, 2:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGRBMarathon5 hr
Aug 11, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXLa Crosse, Monroe, Vernon42 min
Aug 11, 2:20 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatARXAdams, Juneau, Monroe55 min
Aug 11, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Oconto35 min
Aug 11, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXMonroe28 min
Aug 11, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen Lake, Marquette59 min
Aug 11, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaushara43 min
Aug 11, 2:47 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBMarathon43 min
Aug 11, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Door, Kewaunee39 min
Aug 11, 3:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXRichland, Vernon54 min
Aug 11, 3:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGRBMarathon4 hr
Aug 11, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOutagamie, Shawano, Waupaca38 min
Aug 11, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGRBWaushara18 min
Aug 11, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Door, Kewaunee, Oconto, Outagamie, Shawano60 min
Aug 11, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa53 min
Aug 11, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXGrant22 min
Aug 11, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa50 min
Aug 11, 6:04 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXIowa41 min
Aug 11, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXDane15 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1499 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 156 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1499 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
678 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

968 
WWUS20 KWNS 111715
SEL4  
SPC WW 111715
IAZ000-MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-120100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Wed Aug 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Extreme northeast Iowa
  The south central Upper Peninsula of Michigan
  Extreme southeast Minnesota
  Much of central Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
  until 800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is expected this afternoon
along and ahead of a cold front moving toward central Wisconsin. 
The storm environment is favorable for several tornadoes and very
large hail near the size of baseballs with the initial supercells. 
Some clustering of storms could occur later this afternoon, which
would support an increasing threat for damaging wind swaths, some of
which could be significant (near 75 mph).

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of Iron Mountain MI
to 35 miles south of Lonerock WI. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 422...WW 423...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 28030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 6:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Lee2 hr
Aug 11, 11:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee117 min
Aug 11, 3:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Davis and 21 more3 hr
Aug 11, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque, Iowa and 5 more95 min
Aug 10, 7:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 25 more63 min
Aug 10, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Benzie, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun and 31 more5 hr
Aug 10, 9:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Barry, Bay and 44 more93 min
Aug 11, 9:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Hillsdale, Jackson and 3 more83 min
Aug 11, 10:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 14 more4 hr
Aug 11, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Hillsdale, Kalamazoo, Saint Joseph94 min
Aug 11, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more93 min
Aug 11, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more4 hr
Aug 11, 3:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 13 more115 min
Aug 11, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 17 more3 hr
Aug 11, 6:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 15 more90 min
Aug 11, 7:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Buffalo, Burnett, Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire and 8 more2 hr
Aug 11, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Crawford, Dodge and 20 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.