Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221

May 28, 202138 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 28, 2021, 6:20 PM CDT for 38 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2021, 6:20 PM CDT (23:20 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2021, 11:49 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie66 min
May 28, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Lee, Travis, Williamson59 min
May 28, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real57 min
May 28, 7:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBurleson83 min
May 28, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette31 min
May 28, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Real56 min
May 28, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Lee64 min
May 28, 8:24 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBastrop, Travis3 hr
May 28, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXCaldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays30 min
May 28, 8:28 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFayette32 min
May 28, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFayette, Lavaca, Lee52 min
May 28, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Kendall, Kerr and 3 more61 min
May 28, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Colorado, Washington43 min
May 28, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Caldwell, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Hays and 2 more56 min
May 28, 9:42 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBexar, Comal, Guadalupe3 hr
May 28, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, DeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales and 5 more21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3148 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3148 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-194 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
844 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

530 
WWUS20 KWNS 282317
SEL1  
SPC WW 282317
TXZ000-290700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 221
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
620 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 620 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Sporadic severe thunderstorms -- including a few
supercells with very large hail -- will move southward to
southeastward through the watch area the remainder of the afternoon
and evening.  Convective cold-pool surges with severe wind, as well
as a localized tornado threat, also are possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 15 miles south of Del Rio
TX to 80 miles east of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 218...WW 219...WW 220...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30025.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 10:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Knox and 7 more96 min
May 28, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Denton, Hunt, Rockwall, Wise117 min
May 28, 5:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBriscoe, Castro, Childress, Cottle, Floyd, Foard and 7 more2 hr
May 28, 11:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Brazos, Brown, Burleson, Coleman and 19 more89 min
May 28, 12:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet, Comanche and 22 more7 hr
May 28, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell86 min
May 28, 1:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Borden, Cochran, Dawson, Ector and 11 more57 min
May 28, 2:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 35 more117 min
May 28, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Culberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos, Reeves and 3 more9 hr
May 28, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 20 more8 hr
May 28, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Brazos, Brown, Burleson, Burnet, Comanche and 12 more93 min
May 28, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco and 29 more96 min
May 28, 6:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Deaf Smith, Parmer86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.