Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 28, 2021, 6:20 PM CDT for 38 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 28, 2021, 6:20 PM CDT (23:20 UTC)
- Expired
- May 28, 2021, 11:49 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie | 66 min |
| May 28, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Lee, Travis, Williamson | 59 min |
| May 28, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 57 min |
| May 28, 7:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Burleson | 83 min |
| May 28, 7:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Fayette | 31 min |
| May 28, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Real | 56 min |
| May 28, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Lee | 64 min |
| May 28, 8:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Travis | 3 hr |
| May 28, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays | 30 min |
| May 28, 8:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Fayette | 32 min |
| May 28, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Fayette, Lavaca, Lee | 52 min |
| May 28, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Kendall, Kerr and 3 more | 61 min |
| May 28, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Colorado, Washington | 43 min |
| May 28, 9:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Hays and 2 more | 56 min |
| May 28, 9:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe | 3 hr |
| May 28, 10:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bastrop, Caldwell, DeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales and 5 more | 21 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3148 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -194 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 844 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 224 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 3.1
The text
As transmitted.
530
WWUS20 KWNS 282317
SEL1
SPC WW 282317
TXZ000-290700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 221
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
620 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Texas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 620 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Sporadic severe thunderstorms -- including a few
supercells with very large hail -- will move southward to
southeastward through the watch area the remainder of the afternoon
and evening. Convective cold-pool surges with severe wind, as well
as a localized tornado threat, also are possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 15 miles south of Del Rio
TX to 80 miles east of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 218...WW 219...WW 220...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...EdwardsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 10:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Knox and 7 more | 96 min |
| May 28, 2:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Denton, Hunt, Rockwall, Wise | 117 min |
| May 28, 5:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cottle, Floyd, Foard and 7 more | 2 hr |
| May 28, 11:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Brown, Burleson, Coleman and 19 more | 89 min |
| May 28, 12:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet, Comanche and 22 more | 7 hr |
| May 28, 12:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell | 86 min |
| May 28, 1:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bailey, Borden, Cochran, Dawson, Ector and 11 more | 57 min |
| May 28, 2:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 35 more | 117 min |
| May 28, 2:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brewster, Culberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos, Reeves and 3 more | 9 hr |
| May 28, 3:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 20 more | 8 hr |
| May 28, 3:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Brazos, Brown, Burleson, Burnet, Comanche and 12 more | 93 min |
| May 28, 5:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco and 29 more | 96 min |
| May 28, 6:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Deaf Smith, Parmer | 86 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.