River Flood Warning 15, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

389 
WGUS82 KGSP 180954
FLSGSP

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
554 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  French Broad River At Asheville affecting Buncombe County.

.The middle French Broad River and Swannanoa River tributary 
experienced rainfall of 3-7" inches due to Tropical Storm Fred.  
This has caused extensive flooding of the French Broad and Swannanoa 
River valleys and flood conditions continue as river levels crest 
and gradually recede.  Nuisance to Minor flooding is expected to 
continue through Wednesday, impacting farmland, low-lying industrial 
areas, boat-access areas, greenways, and low-water crossings 
adjacent to the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Flooding is occurring. Most flood related deaths occur in 
automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges, dips, or 
low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream, even a 
small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route over 
higher ground.

For detailed information including observed and forecast stages, 
flood impacts, flood history, FEMA Flood Hazard Layers, and more, 
please visit: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

&&


NCC021-190000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210819T0246Z/
/AVLN7.1.ER.210818T0016Z.210818T0545Z.210818T1446Z.NO/
554 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the French Broad River At Asheville.
* Until late this evening.
* At 4:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 10.9 feet and falling 
  steadily.
* Minor Flood Stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The French Broad River at Asheville crested at 
  11.3 feet at 1:45 AM EDT Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below Minor Flood Stage 
  by Wednesday afternoon and below Action/Advisory stage by Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet, Minor Flood Stage.  The French Broad River 
  is flooding areas between Riverside Dr., and Lyman St. on the 
  right bank and Riverview Dr., Craven St. and Emma Rd. on the left 
  bank, including railroad and industrial property.  Parts of Emma 
  Rd. between Pearson Bridge Rd. and Craven St. may be flooding.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet, Minor Flooding continues.  French Broad 
  River floodwaters may be approaching industrial buildings on the 
  right bank between Woodfin and Pearson Bridge Rd.  Floodwaters may 
  also be approaching industrial buildings between Haywood Rd. and 
  Amboy Rd.


&&

LAT...LON 3550 8262 3560 8261 3569 8265 3570 8257
      3558 8255 3550 8254

$$

JMP

498 
WGUS82 KGSP 181316
FLSGSP

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
916 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the French Broad River At 
Asheville affecting Buncombe County...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

For detailed information including observed and forecast stages, 
flood impacts, flood history, FEMA Flood Hazard Layers, and more, 
please visit: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

&&


NCC021-191600-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210819T1600Z/
/AVLN7.1.ER.210818T0016Z.210818T0545Z.210818T1446Z.NO/
916 AM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the French Broad River At Asheville.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 4:45 AM EDT Wednesday was 11.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage today, 
  but will take several days to return to within it's banks.
* Impact...by 7.5 feet, Floodwaters continue to flood Woodfin 
  Riverside Park, the floodplain adjacent to Craggy Dam Reservoir, 
  Carrier Park, and French Broad River Park as well as other 
  low-lying areas within the flood plain.  Floodwaters may be near 
  Amboy Rd. and Lyman St.  Local small tributaries including Smith 
  Mill Creek near Emma Rd. may be exceeding bankfull levels.
* Impact...by 8.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas near Pearson 
  Bridge Rd. continues.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet, The river is flooding areas between 
  Riverside Dr. and Lyman St. on the right bank and Riverview Dr., 
  Craven St. and Emma Rd. on the left bank, including railroad and 
  industrial property.  Parts of Emma Rd. between Pearson Bridge Rd. 
  and Craven St. may be flooding.


&&

LAT...LON 3550 8262 3560 8261 3569 8265 3570 8257
      3558 8255 3550 8254

$$

CSH

503 
WGUS82 KGSP 182331
FLSGSP

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
731 PM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  French Broad River At Asheville affecting Buncombe County.

NCC021-190045-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210818T2331Z/
/AVLN7.1.ER.210818T0016Z.210818T0545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
731 PM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021

...The Flood Warning for the French Broad River At Asheville has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the French Broad River At Asheville.
* At 5:45 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is in action stage and is expected to fall 
  below action stage by 1:00 AM EDT Thursday.


&&

LAT...LON 3550 8262 3560 8261 3569 8265 3570 8257
      3558 8255 3550 8254

$$

MPR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
321 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
The remnants of tropical cyclone Fred will generate heavy rainfall
across the forecast area into tonight. Expect temperatures to warm
closer to normal for the rest of the week as the remnants of Fred
moves away.  Abundant moisture will continue across the region into
the last half of the week leading to periods of mainly afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 3pm EDT Tuesday:  Weather in the near term will largely be
determined by the passage of T.D./remnants of Fred.  Flash flooding
is still the main concern as Fred releases high levels of
precipitable water.  Some tornadoes will also continue to be an
issue as wind profile is favorable for rotating storm elements in
the stronger updrafts, and instability as marginal but relatively
high for a tropical system. High-res models show rotational updrafts
through the overnight period, moving eastward as main band of
precipitation progresses.  Current tornado watch is a good match,
and may be extended eastward, or have a new watch for the eastern
counties not in a watch.

Once Fred moves east of the area Wednesday morning, conditions will
improve.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Tuesday...The remnants of Fred are expected to be
well north of the Carolinas pushing into New England towards the
beginning of the forecast period. This should allow PoPs to decrease
Wednesday evening. Meanwhile, a ridge of high pressure will continue
to build into the Southeastern US while an area of low pressure near
the Great Lakes Region gradually tracks east towards New England.
This will act to suppress the ridge to the south Thursday evening
into Friday as the upper-level trough tracks across the western
Carolinas and northeast Georgia. This upper-level trough will
increase diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Thursday and
Friday, especially for the western zones where PoPs are likely.
Westerly flow will be in place Thursday and Friday allowing high
temps to climb a few degrees above Climo.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Tuesday...High pressure will remain in place across
the southern US throughout the extended forecast period. The area of
low pressure will continue tracking towards New England at the start
of the extended forecast period. Short waves will continue to ride
along this trough Saturday keeping a chance for showers and
thunderstorms around. PWATs climb back near 2.00 inches on Saturday
so heavy downpours could be a concern. This low should lift to the
north and east late this weekend into early Monday. As the low lifts
away from the region, high pressure will nudge back into the western
Carolinas and northeast Georgia Sunday into Monday. With high
pressure in place and no real upper-level forcing present, shower
and thunderstorm chances will be diurnally driven. Capped PoPs at
chance Sunday and Monday. Tuesday models are in good agreement
regarding the ridge retreating westward. This could allow heights to
lower along the East Coast towards the end of the forecast period.
For now decided to cap PoPs to a slight chance to chance. High temps
during the extended should remain a few degrees above climo.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere:  Passage of T.D. Fred will dictate weather
through Wednesday morning.  Winds will veer from easterly to
southeasterly as the circulation passes to the northwest. As this
circulation passes, periods of rain and some thunderstorms will be
prevalent. Main period of heavy rain and thunder likely ends upon
passage of current line slowly moving eastward, which is expected to
exit past KCLT by midnight or so.  Continued saturated airmass will
also continue heavy cloudiness through the forecast, with some fog
possible in the morning, and reduced ceilings generally.  Some gusts
are also anticipated for locations close to the center of the Fred
circulation, primarily KAVL, KHKY, and KCLT. Once Fred passes,
conditions will begin to improve Wednesday morning.

Outlook: A gradual downward trend in diurnal convection is expected
Wednesday in the wake of Fred's remnants, then continuing during
the latter half of the week. Widespread low stratus and areas of
fog are expected each morning through at least late-week.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High  91%     Med   79%     High  86%     High  91%
KGSP       Med   63%     Low   55%     Med   67%     High  86%
KAVL       Med   66%     Med   69%     Med   68%     High  81%
KHKY       Low   42%     Low   54%     Low   54%     Med   76%
KGMU       Med   67%     Low   40%     Med   74%     High  84%
KAND       Med   63%     Low   38%     Med   69%     Med   74%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables are available at
the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for GAZ010-017-018-
     026-028-029.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>065-501>510.
SC...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for SCZ001>007-
     010>012-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...WJM
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...WJM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

GAZ010-NCZ048>050-052-053-059-062>065-503>510-SCZ001>007-010>012-019-
181500-
Rabun-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-Buncombe-Northern Jackson-
Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Burke Mountains-
Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Greenwood-
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, western
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are likely today into
tonight as the remnants of Fred track across the southern
Appalachians. Cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, heavy rainfall, and
isolated tornadoes are the main impacts. Heavy rainfall will likely
lead to flash flooding, especially along the Blue Ridge Escarpment
and areas that receive multiple rounds of heavy rainfall. Isolated
tornadoes are possible this afternoon and evening across the North
Carolina Piedmont, South Carolina Upstate, and Northeast Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Flash Flood Watch through early Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

NCZ068-SCZ008-013-181500-
Cleveland-Cherokee-Union SC-
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...TORNADO WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina and
upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

Deep tropical moisture from the remnants of Tropical Depression Fred
will produce periodic heavy rainfall with embedded thunderstorms
today into tonight. The main impacts are cloud-to-ground lightning,
isolated tornadoes, and heavy rainfall leading to the potential for
isolated flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

NCZ035>037-056-057-069>072-082-SCZ009-014-181500-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-
Cabarrus-Union NC-York-Chester-
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina and
upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Deep tropical moisture from the remnants of Tropical Depression Fred
will produce periodic heavy rainfall with embedded thunderstorms
today into tonight. The main impacts are cloud-to-ground lightning,
isolated tornadoes, and heavy rainfall leading to the potential for
isolated flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

NCZ033-051-058-501-502-181500-
Avery-Swain-Graham-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are likely today into
tonight as the remnants of Fred track across the southern
Appalachians. Cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, heavy rainfall, and
isolated tornadoes are the main impacts. Heavy rainfall will likely
lead to flash flooding, especially along the Blue Ridge Escarpment
and areas that receive multiple rounds of heavy rainfall. Isolated
tornadoes are possible this afternoon and evening across the North
Carolina Piedmont, South Carolina Upstate, and Northeast Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Flash Flood Watch through early Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-181500-
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-
1055 AM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 443 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

Isolated tornadoes are possible this afternoon into this evening.
Excessive rainfall from Fred's remnants could lead to flash flooding
today into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Flash Flood Watch in effect until early Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
330 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     FLOOD            4 NNW CANTON            35.60N 82.86W
08/17/2021                   HAYWOOD            NC   PUBLIC

            LOCALIZED FLOODING, DAMAGE TO SMALL TREES

&&

MPR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
343 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     TORNADO          MAULDIN                 34.79N 82.30W
08/17/2021                   GREENVILLE         SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
            BUILDINGS IN AND NEAR MAULDIN.

&&

STEPHEN.WILKINSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
434 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

SCZ002-003-005-006-010-011-172100-
Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-Anderson SC-Abbeville SC-
Greenville Mountains SC-Greater Greenville SC-
434 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Greenville,
eastern Anderson, central Abbeville and eastern Pickens Counties
through 500 PM EDT...

At 434 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles north of Pickens to 10 miles west of
Abbeville. Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Anderson, Easley, Abbeville, Pickens, Berea, Welcome, Powdersville,
Piedmont, Belton and Williamston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EDT for western North
Carolina...and Upstate South Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3504 8277 3508 8275 3510 8269 3513 8268
      3512 8266 3516 8255 3516 8251 3419 8233
      3407 8247 3408 8248 3407 8253 3403 8257
      3403 8258
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 215DEG 16KT 3503 8271 3413 8254

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TDP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW SANDY SPRINGS     34.56N 82.78W
08/17/2021                   ANDERSON           SC   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN ALONG CENTERVILLE RD. NEAR I-85

&&

MPR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 WSW STATESVILLE       35.75N 80.98W
08/17/2021                   IREDELL            NC   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD OBSERVED OFF OLD MTN ROAD

&&

MPR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
543 PM EDT TUE AUG 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 WNW HARMONY           35.97N 80.82W
08/17/2021                   IREDELL            NC   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR SPEAKS ROAD IN OLIN

&&

MPR