Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 215

May 26, 20167 counties in Iowa; 19 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 26, 2016, 1:53 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 19 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2016, 1:53 PM CDT (18:53 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2016, 9:59 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Logan County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

76 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Webster31 min
May 26, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXOtoe31 min
May 26, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline, Seward30 min
May 26, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Saline, Seward26 min
May 26, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page25 min
May 26, 2:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls24 min
May 26, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore28 min
May 26, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page21 min
May 26, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline, Seward33 min
May 26, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline36 min
May 26, 3:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXLancaster5 hr
May 26, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne47 min
May 26, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Lancaster, Saline32 min
May 26, 3:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXSaline, Seward3 hr
May 26, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne52 min
May 26, 3:39 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXGage, Lancaster25 min
May 26, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Saline33 min
May 26, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell47 min
May 26, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer33 min
May 26, 3:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXGage, Lancaster, Saline3 hr
May 26, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Otoe25 min
May 26, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Lancaster27 min
May 26, 4:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCass, Otoe3 hr
May 26, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith45 min
May 26, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Otoe33 min
May 26, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer12 min
May 26, 4:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXPottawattamie3 hr
May 26, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith42 min
May 26, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe35 min
May 26, 4:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Otoe3 hr
May 26, 4:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXFremont, Mills3 hr
May 26, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith40 min
May 26, 4:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDClay, Fillmore6 hr
May 26, 5:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXOtoe3 hr
May 26, 5:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXNemaha, Otoe23 min
May 26, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan48 min
May 26, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHarlan22 min
May 26, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDKearney, Phelps39 min
May 26, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy47 min
May 26, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman43 min
May 26, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley40 min
May 26, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDGreeley25 min
May 26, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins44 min
May 26, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman40 min
May 26, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins64 min
May 26, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman63 min
May 26, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDLogan, Wichita37 min
May 26, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy34 min
May 26, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman, Wallace32 min
May 26, 7:13 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne47 min
May 26, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman52 min
May 26, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRed Willow48 min
May 26, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley, Wallace44 min
May 26, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRawlins53 min
May 26, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRawlins34 min
May 26, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy34 min
May 26, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Thomas51 min
May 26, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDWichita46 min
May 26, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins42 min
May 26, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Sheridan52 min
May 26, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman51 min
May 26, 8:14 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDHitchcock, Red Willow46 min
May 26, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy, Hitchcock48 min
May 26, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Graham, Norton51 min
May 26, 8:41 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRawlins34 min
May 26, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins27 min
May 26, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Sheridan52 min
May 26, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDHitchcock, Red Willow49 min
May 26, 9:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGLDDundy3 hr
May 26, 9:02 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDDecatur, Rawlins43 min
May 26, 9:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins3 hr
May 26, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy, Hitchcock49 min
May 26, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips52 min
May 26, 9:23 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRed Willow27 min
May 26, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Graham, Norton48 min
May 26, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRed Willow30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2016-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -107 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1783 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

563 
WWUS20 KWNS 261851
SEL5  
SPC WW 261851
IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-270300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST IOWA
  NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST KANSAS
  SOUTHERN NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING ALONG A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING ROUGHLY ALONG THE KS/NEB BORDER.  THESE STORMS MAY BECOME
SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. 
STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GOODLAND KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 213...WW 214...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCherokee, Ida, Monona, O'Brien, Plymouth, Sioux and 1 more5 hr
May 25, 11:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay and 20 more86 min
May 26, 10:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page, Taylor57 min
May 26, 2:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 10 more8 hr
May 26, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page, Taylor63 min
May 25, 7:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 28 more115 min
May 25, 10:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 23 more83 min
May 25, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Clay, Coffey, Dickinson and 18 more5 hr
May 25, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDouglas, Franklin, Osage, Shawnee5 hr
May 26, 1:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 28 more2 hr
May 26, 1:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman and 3 more2 hr
May 26, 1:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Barber, Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase and 51 more10 hr
May 26, 3:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Greeley, Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace and 1 more2 hr
May 26, 4:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWyandotte94 min
May 26, 5:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clark and 25 more95 min
May 26, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Logan, Rawlins, Sheridan, Sherman and 2 more59 min
May 26, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Madrid, Pemiscot2 hr
May 26, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole and 15 more6 hr
May 25, 7:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawson, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper, Hayes, Hitchcock and 3 more97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.