Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Goodland, KS

824 
WWUS53 KGLD 270026
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSC181-199-270045-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160527T0045Z/
WALLACE KS-SHERMAN KS-
626 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHERN SHERMAN COUNTIES...

AT 626 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTH OF
SHARON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHERN SHERMAN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3901 10169 3904 10194 3927 10195 3923 10149
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 188DEG 26KT 3912 10178 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

EP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
527 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 148 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

Across the Tri State region this afternoon...a mix of psunny to
msunny skies as the region lies west of a warm front currently over
the central portion of Kansas. Temps are ranging in the lower to mid
70s w/ dewpts ranging from the 45f to 50f west to the lower to mid
60s east due to the proximity to a warm front. To our west...a slow
moving upper low over the 4-corners region of the country will make
its way towards the Tri State region overnight.

Do expect areal coverage of trw to increase as the afternoon/evening
hours progress...which will be in tandem to the approach of the
upper low to our southwest. Strong shear...current sb cape values
approaching 1500-3000 j/kg especially in locales closest to the warm
front...could produce severe storms with tornadoes. The area could
also see 1-2" hail...winds 60-70mph or higher with any storms.
Training of thunderstorms could also bring heavy rainfall and
potential flooding to some areas.

The combination of these these factors has put the area into mainly
an enhanced to moderate risk for severe wx...which has resulted in a
tornado watch for the cwa until 01z-03z.

Going into Friday with the upper low will begin to move over the
cwa...model dynamics for severe wx will shift east of the
cwa...but do expect trw/rw thru the day due to the slow mvmnt of
the system.

For temps...overnight lows tonight and daytime highs Friday will be
highly dependent on areal coverage of clouds/precip over the area.
Looking for lows to range in the lower to mid 50s and highs Friday
to range from the mid 60s west to the mid 70s east.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 110 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

Upper low will be moving over the area Friday night which result
in widespread showers and thunderstorms through the evening hours
then gradually pulling out to the northeast after midnight. Some
light precipitation may linger in the far northeast counties
around McCook through Saturday morning before ending. There will
be a limited severe threat early Friday evening but as the surface
cold front sweeps through the severe threat will end relatively
early Friday night.

Storms on Saturday afternoon will be isolated and tied to surface
heating in the higher terrain of eastern Colorado/Palmer Divide.
Upper forcing will be quite weak with only a hint of a shortwave
trough in the zonal flow. Surface instability will also be weak so
do not think there will be much of a severe threat. An increase in
activity is expected on Sunday as the upper flow becomes southwest
with a weak embedded shortwave trough. Moderate instability is
forecast but deep layer shear of only 20-30kts will probably
keep any severe threat on the low end.

The unsettled pattern continues into early next week with a cut
off low over the northern plains resulting in general troughiness
across the central plains. However by the middle of the week that
system will lift into central Canada with shortwave ridging trying
to build over the central Rockies and adjacent plains. As a result
expect precipitation chances to decrease and temperatures increase
during that time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 449 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

VFR to MVFR conditions are expected with widespread thunderstorms
producing strong gusty winds and possibly hail through about 07Z.
Conditions will transition to IFR between 06Z-08Z with isolated to
scattered showers continuing through the remainder of the TAF
period. expect conditions to transition back up through MVFR
between 17Z-20Z and VFR conditions after 22Z.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...LOCKHART

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1031 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271645-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1031 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016 /1131 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL GREATER THAN 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER AND STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. EVEN THOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...
A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE FROM FRIDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
453 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

COZ091-262315-
KIT CARSON COUNTY CO-
453 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY
UNTIL 515 PM MDT...

AT 453 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF BURLINGTON...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURLINGTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO NEAR MILE MARKER 437...AND BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 440 AND 447.
 HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 206...AND NEAR MILE MARKER
211.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3957 10211 3933 10206 3928 10229 3957 10243
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 165DEG 17KT 3938 10220

DR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
506 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 PM     HAIL             5 S TRIBUNE             38.40N 101.75W
05/26/2016  E1.50 INCH       GREELEY            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UP TO PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL

&&

HILL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
549 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     HAIL             14 NNW HORACE           38.67N 101.85W
05/26/2016  E1.50 INCH       GREELEY            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
551 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     10 S WHEELER            39.62N 101.70W
05/26/2016                   CHEYENNE           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
552 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     HAIL             14 NNW HORACE           38.67N 101.85W
05/26/2016  E1.50 INCH       GREELEY            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
612 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TORNADO          2 W BURLINGTON          39.31N 102.31W
05/26/2016                   KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

&&

TLYNCH