Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Goodland, KS

292 
WWUS53 KGLD 270058
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
658 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

NEC057-270115-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-160527T0115Z/
DUNDY NE-
658 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT
FOR WESTERN DUNDY COUNTY...

AT 658 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CHAMPION...OR 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF IMPERIAL...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAIGLER AND PARKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4035 10163 4005 10158 4001 10199 4035 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 157DEG 15KT 4028 10184 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

EP

257 
WWUS53 KGLD 270107
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
707 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

NEC057-270116-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-160527T0115Z/
DUNDY NE-
707 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN DUNDY COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 715 PM MDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4035 10163 4005 10158 4001 10199 4035 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 157DEG 10KT 4028 10184 

$$

EP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
527 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 148 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

Across the Tri State region this afternoon...a mix of psunny to
msunny skies as the region lies west of a warm front currently over
the central portion of Kansas. Temps are ranging in the lower to mid
70s w/ dewpts ranging from the 45f to 50f west to the lower to mid
60s east due to the proximity to a warm front. To our west...a slow
moving upper low over the 4-corners region of the country will make
its way towards the Tri State region overnight.

Do expect areal coverage of trw to increase as the afternoon/evening
hours progress...which will be in tandem to the approach of the
upper low to our southwest. Strong shear...current sb cape values
approaching 1500-3000 j/kg especially in locales closest to the warm
front...could produce severe storms with tornadoes. The area could
also see 1-2" hail...winds 60-70mph or higher with any storms.
Training of thunderstorms could also bring heavy rainfall and
potential flooding to some areas.

The combination of these these factors has put the area into mainly
an enhanced to moderate risk for severe wx...which has resulted in a
tornado watch for the cwa until 01z-03z.

Going into Friday with the upper low will begin to move over the
cwa...model dynamics for severe wx will shift east of the
cwa...but do expect trw/rw thru the day due to the slow mvmnt of
the system.

For temps...overnight lows tonight and daytime highs Friday will be
highly dependent on areal coverage of clouds/precip over the area.
Looking for lows to range in the lower to mid 50s and highs Friday
to range from the mid 60s west to the mid 70s east.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 110 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

Upper low will be moving over the area Friday night which result
in widespread showers and thunderstorms through the evening hours
then gradually pulling out to the northeast after midnight. Some
light precipitation may linger in the far northeast counties
around McCook through Saturday morning before ending. There will
be a limited severe threat early Friday evening but as the surface
cold front sweeps through the severe threat will end relatively
early Friday night.

Storms on Saturday afternoon will be isolated and tied to surface
heating in the higher terrain of eastern Colorado/Palmer Divide.
Upper forcing will be quite weak with only a hint of a shortwave
trough in the zonal flow. Surface instability will also be weak so
do not think there will be much of a severe threat. An increase in
activity is expected on Sunday as the upper flow becomes southwest
with a weak embedded shortwave trough. Moderate instability is
forecast but deep layer shear of only 20-30kts will probably
keep any severe threat on the low end.

The unsettled pattern continues into early next week with a cut
off low over the northern plains resulting in general troughiness
across the central plains. However by the middle of the week that
system will lift into central Canada with shortwave ridging trying
to build over the central Rockies and adjacent plains. As a result
expect precipitation chances to decrease and temperatures increase
during that time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 449 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

VFR to MVFR conditions are expected with widespread thunderstorms
producing strong gusty winds and possibly hail through about 07Z.
Conditions will transition to IFR between 06Z-08Z with isolated to
scattered showers continuing through the remainder of the TAF
period. expect conditions to transition back up through MVFR
between 17Z-20Z and VFR conditions after 22Z.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...LOCKHART

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1031 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271645-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1031 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016 /1131 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL GREATER THAN 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER AND STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. EVEN THOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...
A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE FROM FRIDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
552 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     HAIL             14 NNW HORACE           38.67N 101.85W
05/26/2016  E1.50 INCH       GREELEY            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
612 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TORNADO          2 W BURLINGTON          39.31N 102.31W
05/26/2016                   KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
615 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S BURLINGTON          39.29N 102.27W
05/26/2016  M74 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   ASOS

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
617 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     HAIL             3 W LEOTI               38.48N 101.41W
05/26/2016  M1.75 INCH       WICHITA            KS   PUBLIC

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
633 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 W GOODLAND            39.35N 101.80W
05/26/2016  M91 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
641 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TORNADO          2 E BURLINGTON          39.31N 102.23W
05/26/2016                   KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH