Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Goodland, KS

May 27, 2016Dundy County, Nebraska

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2016, 5:25 PM MDT for Dundy County, Nebraska. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2016, 5:25 PM MDT (23:25 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2016, 5:41 PM MDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Dundy County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 997 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 223 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 1:50 PM MDT, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 1:50 PM MDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
150 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 149 PM MDT Fri May 27 2016

Upper low will continue it's slow trek eastward through the
afternoon and into Saturday with PoPs remaining elevated through the
afternoon. There will be enough instability to spark off
thunderstorms through the afternoon. Severe storms across much of
the CWA will be limited for the most part to hail and wind. The
exception will be the far eastern portions of the CWA where a Theta-
E boundary is draped from north to south just east of the upper low.
In this area we could see stronger forcing which could lead to large
hail, damaging winds, and possibly an isolated tornado. Thunderstorm
activity will slowly move to the east overnight with very weak
shortwave high pressure building in briefly on Saturday. Drier air
will encompass the region on Saturday with PoPs increasing once more
as we head into the overnight hours into Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 149 PM MDT Fri May 27 2016

Weak upper ridge will gradually flatten on Sunday as flow becomes
nearly zonal across the CWA. A large longwave trough will move
slowly southward out of Canada as we head over the Monday through
Tuesday time frame. Slight chance to chance PoPs will remain
possible thanks to favorable instability in the region. CAPE values
during the afternoon Sunday through Tuesday will be in the 2000 J/Kg
to 3200 J/Kg range with only modest bulk shear values. Wave of low
pressure will rotate very slowly around the longwave trough through
Thursday with weather remaining largely unsettled through much of
next week. A ridge will build into the western U.S. as we head into
Friday. This ridge will gradually work its way into the region and
dry things out as we head into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1129 AM MDT Fri May 27 2016

A mix of vfr/mvfr conditions is expected for the forecast period
with ceilings ranging from bkn015 up to bkn060. 3-6sm -shra br thru
03z tonight with some vcts 19z-23z. Winds ne around 10kts
becoming nw by 00z tonight.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 3:15 PM MDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
315 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-282115-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
315 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016 /415 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
COLBY TO ATWOOD TO TRENTON. THE THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
GOLF BALL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. ON SUNDAY A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. ANY SEVERE
WEATHER REPORTS BY PHONE OR THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

JTL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 27, 5:04 PM MDT, 21 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 27, 5:08 PM MDT, 17 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 5:10 PM MDT, 15 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 5:12 PM MDT, 13 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 5:15 PM MDT, 10 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 5:22 PM MDT, 3 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 6:08 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Logan, Wichita	37 min
May 26, 6:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman, Wallace	32 min
May 26, 6:13 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	47 min
May 26, 6:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman	52 min
May 26, 6:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Greeley, Wallace	44 min
May 26, 6:37 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Rawlins	53 min
May 26, 6:41 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Rawlins	34 min
May 26, 6:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Logan, Thomas	51 min
May 26, 6:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Wichita	46 min
May 26, 7:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	42 min
May 26, 7:08 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Sheridan	52 min
May 26, 7:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman	51 min
May 26, 7:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Graham, Norton	51 min
May 26, 7:41 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Rawlins	34 min
May 26, 7:45 PM MDT	High Wind Warning	GLD	Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace	73 min
May 26, 7:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	27 min
May 26, 7:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Sheridan	52 min
May 26, 8:02 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Decatur, Rawlins	43 min
May 26, 8:05 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	3 hr
May 26, 8:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Graham, Norton	48 min
May 26, 9:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Rawlins, Sheridan and 2 more	45 min
May 26, 10:57 PM MDT	Areal Flood Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	12 hr
May 27, 2:26 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Greeley	34 min
May 27, 2:47 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley	43 min
May 27, 3:06 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley, Wichita	24 min
May 27, 3:21 PM MDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	GLD	Greeley	24 min
May 27, 3:26 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley, Wichita	34 min
May 27, 3:43 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley	32 min
May 27, 3:57 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley, Wichita	33 min
May 27, 4:15 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Greeley	15 min
May 27, 4:26 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Wichita	34 min
May 27, 4:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Greeley	15 min
May 27, 4:33 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	27 min
May 27, 4:47 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Greeley	3 hr
May 27, 4:47 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Wichita	28 min
May 27, 4:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Wichita	15 min
May 27, 4:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Greeley	35 min
May 27, 5:04 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	26 min
May 27, 5:10 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Wichita	20 min
May 27, 5:12 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Wallace	33 min
May 27, 5:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	15 min
May 27, 5:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Logan	23 min
May 27, 5:32 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	28 min
May 27, 5:50 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Wallace	10 min
May 26, 6:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson, Yuma	51 min
May 26, 7:57 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Yuma	3 hr
May 26, 10:52 PM MDT	Areal Flood Warning	GLD	Yuma	12 hr
May 27, 11:03 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	57 min
May 27, 11:54 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	20 min
May 27, 12:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Kit Carson	12 min
May 27, 12:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Kit Carson	27 min
May 27, 12:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	21 min
May 27, 1:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson	22 min
May 27, 2:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	26 min
May 27, 2:13 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Yuma	32 min
May 27, 2:25 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Yuma	35 min
May 27, 2:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Kit Carson	37 min
May 27, 3:00 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	30 min
May 27, 3:23 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	21 min
May 26, 6:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy	34 min
May 26, 6:27 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Red Willow	48 min
May 26, 6:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy	34 min
May 26, 7:14 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Hitchcock, Red Willow	46 min
May 26, 7:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy, Hitchcock	48 min
May 26, 7:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Hitchcock, Red Willow	49 min
May 26, 8:00 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Dundy	3 hr
May 26, 8:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy, Hitchcock	49 min
May 26, 8:23 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Red Willow	27 min
May 26, 8:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Red Willow	30 min
May 26, 10:54 PM MDT	Areal Flood Warning	GLD	Dundy	12 hr
May 27, 11:09 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Dundy	36 min
May 27, 12:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Dundy	26 min
May 27, 3:31 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Dundy	14 min
May 27, 4:45 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Dundy	30 min
May 27, 5:42 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Dundy	18 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.