Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 29
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2011, 1:33 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2011, 1:33 AM CST (07:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2011, 9:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 120 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Henderson | 22 min |
| Feb 28, 2:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Dubois, Harrison, Orange, Perry, Washington | 51 min |
| Feb 28, 2:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Dubois | 24 min |
| Feb 28, 2:31 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Crawford, Harrison, Orange, Washington | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 3:00 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 3:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Scott, Washington | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 3:17 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Clark, Floyd | 28 min |
| Feb 28, 3:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Floyd | 35 min |
| Feb 28, 3:31 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Clark | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 3:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 46 min |
| Feb 28, 3:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison | 43 min |
| Feb 28, 3:47 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Henry, Oldham | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 3:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock, Hardin, Ohio | 37 min |
| Feb 28, 3:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Franklin, Henry, Scott, Shelby | 49 min |
| Feb 28, 4:20 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Franklin, Scott | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 4:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Meade, Nelson | 37 min |
| Feb 28, 4:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas | 53 min |
| Feb 28, 4:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Scott, Woodford | 32 min |
| Feb 28, 5:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Lincoln, Marion, Mercer and 2 more | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 5:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Boyle, Casey, Edmonson, Green, Hart and 4 more | 50 min |
| Feb 28, 5:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Fayette, Jessamine, Mercer, Woodford | 33 min |
| Feb 28, 5:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Calloway, Christian, Todd, Trigg | 4 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:29 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:34 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark, Fayette, Garrard, Madison | 41 min |
| Feb 28, 5:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Allen, Barren, Edmonson, Green, Hart and 4 more | 22 min |
| Feb 28, 5:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Jessamine, Lincoln, Mercer | 31 min |
| Feb 28, 5:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clark | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 5:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Garrard, Lincoln | 27 min |
| Feb 28, 5:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Barren, Green, Hart, Metcalfe | 9 min |
| Feb 28, 5:55 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Benton, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:00 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Lincoln, Russell, Taylor | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 6:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Cumberland, Green and 6 more | 28 min |
| Feb 28, 6:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Benton, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys | 35 min |
| Feb 28, 6:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Allen, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe and 2 more | 33 min |
| Feb 28, 6:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Decatur, Henderson | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 6:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 6:52 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Benton, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys and 4 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clinton, Cumberland, Monroe, Russell | 32 min |
| Feb 28, 7:00 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 7:33 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Benton, Cheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Lewis and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:57 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Sumner, Williamson | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 8:31 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson | 117 min |
| Feb 28, 8:43 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Benton, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 184 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -38 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1385 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 245 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 304 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
928
WWUS20 KWNS 280737
SEL9
SPC WW 280737
ARZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-281500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 29
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
WESTERN AND PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 15 MILES WEST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...WW 26...WW
27...WW 28...
DISCUSSION...A MULTI-MODAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE WW AREA...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
STRUCTURES. A VERY STRONG /50-70+ KT/ SWLY LLJ IS SERVING TO
ENHANCE THE FLUX OF A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS NWD THROUGH THE
LOWER/MID MS VALLEY. WHEN COUPLED WITH THE EXTREME VERTICAL
SHEAR...EXPECT THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND CORRIDORS OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 8:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Little River, Logan, Madison and 7 more | 53 min |
| Feb 27, 10:04 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 41 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 27, 11:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead and 20 more | 86 min |
| Feb 28, 1:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 2 more | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 5:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Phillips | 62 min |
| Feb 28, 5:59 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Lee, Phillips | 7 hr |
| Feb 27, 8:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 39 more | 65 min |
| Feb 27, 8:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 27, 9:40 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Edwards, Fayette and 27 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 27, 10:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Clinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Jersey and 9 more | 94 min |
| Feb 27, 11:46 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 12:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more | 32 min |
| Feb 28, 12:40 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 14 more | 58 min |
| Feb 28, 3:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Floyd, Harrison, Perry | 65 min |
| Feb 28, 4:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 31 more | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 4:47 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 27, 7:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 17 more | 87 min |
| Feb 27, 7:24 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon, Cheatham and 54 more | 28 min |
| Feb 28, 11:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell and 58 more | 95 min |
| Feb 28, 12:29 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Carter, Cocke, Coffee and 29 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.