Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 29

February 28, 20115 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2011, 1:33 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2011, 1:33 AM CST (07:33 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2011, 9:00 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 120 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 2:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHenderson22 min
Feb 28, 2:09 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Harrison, Orange, Perry, Washington51 min
Feb 28, 2:21 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKDubois24 min
Feb 28, 2:31 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Orange, Washington29 min
Feb 28, 3:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay30 min
Feb 28, 3:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Scott, Washington30 min
Feb 28, 3:17 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKClark, Floyd28 min
Feb 28, 3:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd35 min
Feb 28, 3:31 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKClark29 min
Feb 28, 3:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay46 min
Feb 28, 3:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison43 min
Feb 28, 3:47 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKHenry, Oldham30 min
Feb 28, 3:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hancock, Hardin, Ohio37 min
Feb 28, 3:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin, Henry, Scott, Shelby49 min
Feb 28, 4:20 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKFranklin, Scott25 min
Feb 28, 4:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Larue, Meade, Nelson37 min
Feb 28, 4:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Harrison, Nicholas53 min
Feb 28, 4:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBourbon, Clark, Fayette, Scott, Woodford32 min
Feb 28, 5:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Lincoln, Marion, Mercer and 2 more39 min
Feb 28, 5:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Boyle, Casey, Edmonson, Green, Hart and 4 more50 min
Feb 28, 5:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Jessamine, Mercer, Woodford33 min
Feb 28, 5:18 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHCalloway, Christian, Todd, Trigg4 hr
Feb 28, 5:29 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson3 hr
Feb 28, 5:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Garrard, Madison41 min
Feb 28, 5:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Edmonson, Green, Hart and 4 more22 min
Feb 28, 5:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Garrard, Jessamine, Lincoln, Mercer31 min
Feb 28, 5:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark30 min
Feb 28, 5:48 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKGarrard, Lincoln27 min
Feb 28, 5:55 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKAdair, Barren, Green, Hart, Metcalfe9 min
Feb 28, 5:55 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXBenton, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart3 hr
Feb 28, 6:00 AM CSTTornado WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Lincoln, Russell, Taylor30 min
Feb 28, 6:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Cumberland, Green and 6 more28 min
Feb 28, 6:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBenton, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys35 min
Feb 28, 6:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe and 2 more33 min
Feb 28, 6:35 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGDecatur, Henderson25 min
Feb 28, 6:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery25 min
Feb 28, 6:52 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXBenton, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys and 4 more5 hr
Feb 28, 6:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClinton, Cumberland, Monroe, Russell32 min
Feb 28, 7:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson30 min
Feb 28, 7:33 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXBenton, Cheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Lewis and 3 more6 hr
Feb 28, 7:57 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Sumner, Williamson6 hr
Feb 28, 8:31 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson117 min
Feb 28, 8:43 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXBenton, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 184 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 245 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
184 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1385 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
304 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

928 
WWUS20 KWNS 280737
SEL9
SPC WW 280737
ARZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-281500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 29
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
       FAR SOUTHERN INDIANA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       WESTERN AND PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 15 MILES WEST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...WW 26...WW
27...WW 28...

DISCUSSION...A MULTI-MODAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE WW AREA...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
STRUCTURES.  A VERY STRONG /50-70+ KT/ SWLY LLJ IS SERVING TO
ENHANCE THE FLUX OF A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS NWD THROUGH THE
LOWER/MID MS VALLEY.  WHEN COUPLED WITH THE EXTREME VERTICAL
SHEAR...EXPECT THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND CORRIDORS OF DAMAGING
WINDS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 8:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Howard, Little River, Logan, Madison and 7 more53 min
Feb 27, 10:04 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 41 more6 hr
Feb 27, 11:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead and 20 more86 min
Feb 28, 1:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 2 more25 min
Feb 28, 5:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Phillips62 min
Feb 28, 5:59 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCLee, Phillips7 hr
Feb 27, 8:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 39 more65 min
Feb 27, 8:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 10 more6 hr
Feb 27, 9:40 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Edwards, Fayette and 27 more6 hr
Feb 27, 10:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Jersey and 9 more94 min
Feb 27, 11:46 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more5 hr
Feb 28, 12:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more32 min
Feb 28, 12:40 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more6 hr
Feb 28, 2:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 14 more58 min
Feb 28, 3:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Floyd, Harrison, Perry65 min
Feb 28, 4:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 31 more29 min
Feb 28, 4:47 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more5 hr
Feb 27, 7:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 17 more87 min
Feb 27, 7:24 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more7 hr
Feb 28, 5:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon, Cheatham and 54 more28 min
Feb 28, 11:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell and 58 more95 min
Feb 28, 12:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Carter, Cocke, Coffee and 29 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.