Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 167

February 28, 20114 counties in Indiana; 34 counties in Kentucky; Adams County, Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 28, 2011, 4:25 AM EST for 4 counties in Indiana; 34 counties in Kentucky; Adams County, Ohio. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2011, 4:25 AM EST (09:25 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2011, 5:30 AM EST
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 39 counties

Clark County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Perry County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Mason County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 3 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 184 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 245 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
184 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1385 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
245 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
304 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

008 
ACUS11 KWNS 280926
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280925
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-281030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN/SRN IND INTO NRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 28...29...

VALID 280925Z - 281030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 28...29...CONTINUES.

GREATEST THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NRN EXTENT WW 29...SPREADING FROM SRN IND INTO NRN KY.  PARTS OF
WW/S 28 AND 29 WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO NRN KY BY
0930Z...GIVEN FASTING MOVING LINE OF STORMS EXPECTED TO EXIT WW 29
BY 10Z.

AT 09Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A FAST MOVING /55-60 KT/ LINE
OF STORMS EXTENDING NNE-SSW FROM WASHINGTON INTO HARRISON COUNTIES
IN EXTREME SRN IND.  THIS LINE...WITH BOWING TENDENCIES AT
TIMES...HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGE ACROSS SWRN IND /REFERENCE LOCAL
STORM REPORTS FROM WFO PAH FOR GIBSON COUNTY/.  AIR MASS IMMEDIATELY
DOWNSTREAM OF THESE FAST MOVING STORMS REMAINS UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
MOIST...WITH NO INHIBITION.  THUS...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST EWD INTO NRN KY EARLY THIS MORNING.

FARTHER SW...RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THE GUST FRONT HAS MOVED EWD JUST
AHEAD OF THE TSTMS EXTENDING INTO WRN KY...THOUGH A THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE SHORT TERM...GIVEN STRENGTH OF
LOW LEVEL WINDS /60 KT/ PER AREA VWPS.

..PETERS.. 02/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...PAH...

LAT...LON   37488800 38218653 38808527 38858324 38278401 37688498
            37478646 37448729 37488800

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 9:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Brown, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, Dubois and 25 more65 min
Feb 28, 12:46 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clay, Daviess, Decatur and 29 more5 hr
Feb 28, 1:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more32 min
Feb 28, 1:40 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more6 hr
Feb 28, 2:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Spencer and 3 more25 min
Feb 28, 2:33 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson and 4 more7 hr
Feb 28, 3:32 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin and 14 more58 min
Feb 28, 5:31 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 31 more29 min
Feb 28, 5:47 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.