Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 24

February 27, 2011Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 34 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 27, 2011, 7:24 PM CST for Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 34 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2011, 7:24 PM CST (01:24 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2011, 2:01 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 8:05 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford40 min
Feb 27, 8:39 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford51 min
Feb 27, 9:14 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFBarton, Cedar, Dade46 min
Feb 27, 9:19 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFMiller, Morgan26 min
Feb 27, 9:33 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFCherokee42 min
Feb 27, 9:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Maries, Miller, Pulaski39 min
Feb 27, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCrawford47 min
Feb 27, 9:44 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFPolk46 min
Feb 27, 9:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade51 min
Feb 27, 10:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Newton42 min
Feb 27, 10:07 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Polk38 min
Feb 27, 10:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHickory, Polk45 min
Feb 27, 10:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Lawrence38 min
Feb 27, 10:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Hickory, Laclede52 min
Feb 27, 10:39 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas51 min
Feb 27, 10:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene17 min
Feb 27, 11:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Maries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski and 3 more45 min
Feb 27, 11:31 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDent, Phelps17 min
Feb 27, 11:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Phelps, Shannon, Texas45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 626 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 369 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
626 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1011 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
472 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
7.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

769 
WWUS20 KWNS 280123
SEL4
SPC WW 280123
KSZ000-MOZ000-280900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 24
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       A SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH  CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 725 PM UNTIL
300 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF JOPLIN
MISSOURI TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VICHY MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20...WW 21...WW 23...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS ARE TRACKING EASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS THIS EVENING...AND WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST MO
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES AND THE LOW
LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS.  STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES.  STRONG TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE A THREAT WITH ANY LONG-LIVED CIRCULATIONS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 7:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Crawford87 min
Feb 27, 8:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Jefferson, Madison, Perry, Saint Charles and 5 more65 min
Feb 27, 9:40 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cole and 22 more6 hr
Feb 27, 10:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson, Madison and 8 more94 min
Feb 28, 1:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Scott, Stoddard25 min
Feb 28, 1:33 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot7 hr
Feb 27, 8:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 25 more53 min
Feb 27, 10:04 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware and 11 more6 hr
Feb 27, 11:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha and 1 more86 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.