Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 25

February 27, 201133 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 27, 2011, 9:40 PM CST for 33 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2011, 9:40 PM CST (03:40 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2011, 3:44 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 9:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Hamilton, Wayne28 min
Feb 27, 9:54 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXCole, Gasconade, Osage36 min
Feb 27, 10:19 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Warren41 min
Feb 27, 10:25 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade50 min
Feb 27, 10:47 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair43 min
Feb 27, 11:18 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXMadison, Monroe, Saint Clair42 min
Feb 27, 11:43 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Saint Clair, Washington47 min
Feb 27, 11:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford21 min
Feb 28, 12:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWashington39 min
Feb 28, 12:07 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Fayette, Marion, Washington38 min
Feb 28, 12:14 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHJefferson46 min
Feb 28, 12:18 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXIron, Reynolds42 min
Feb 28, 12:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph52 min
Feb 28, 12:38 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Jefferson, Perry37 min
Feb 28, 12:44 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXIron, Madison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois46 min
Feb 28, 12:46 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHHamilton, Wayne, White44 min
Feb 28, 12:53 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHWayne37 min
Feb 28, 1:02 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry43 min
Feb 28, 1:12 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash33 min
Feb 28, 1:32 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHJackson, Union43 min
Feb 28, 1:35 AM CSTTornado WarningPAHWabash40 min
Feb 28, 1:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley, Wayne34 min
Feb 28, 2:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Johnson, Union, Williamson28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 276 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 124 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-220 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

079 
WWUS20 KWNS 280341
SEL5
SPC WW 280341
ILZ000-MOZ000-281000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
       EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM UNTIL
400 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 45 MILES EAST OF MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24...

DISCUSSION...LINES/CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS ARE ORGANIZING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MO.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK
RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.  SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES /INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES/
ARE A CONCERN.  AN EVENTUAL EVOLUTION INTO BOWING SEGMENTS COULD
ALSO INCREASE THE RISK OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 8:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 39 more65 min
Feb 27, 8:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 10 more6 hr
Feb 27, 10:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Jersey and 9 more94 min
Feb 27, 11:46 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more5 hr
Feb 28, 1:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Massac, Pope, Pulaski25 min
Feb 28, 12:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 4 more32 min
Feb 28, 12:40 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 6 more6 hr
Feb 28, 1:33 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Bourbon and 65 more7 hr
Feb 28, 2:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Campbell, Kenton58 min
Feb 28, 3:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bourbon, Bracken, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Carroll and 28 more65 min
Feb 28, 4:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 31 more29 min
Feb 28, 4:47 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more5 hr
Feb 27, 7:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 17 more87 min
Feb 27, 7:24 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.