Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 25
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 27, 2011, 9:40 PM CST for 33 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 27, 2011, 9:40 PM CST (03:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2011, 3:44 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 61 counties
Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 9:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Hamilton, Wayne | 28 min |
| Feb 27, 9:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Cole, Gasconade, Osage | 36 min |
| Feb 27, 10:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade, Warren | 41 min |
| Feb 27, 10:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade | 50 min |
| Feb 27, 10:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe, Saint Clair | 43 min |
| Feb 27, 11:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair | 42 min |
| Feb 27, 11:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Saint Clair, Washington | 47 min |
| Feb 27, 11:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 21 min |
| Feb 28, 12:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Washington | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 12:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Fayette, Marion, Washington | 38 min |
| Feb 28, 12:14 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Jefferson | 46 min |
| Feb 28, 12:18 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Reynolds | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 12:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Randolph | 52 min |
| Feb 28, 12:38 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Franklin, Jefferson, Perry | 37 min |
| Feb 28, 12:44 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois | 46 min |
| Feb 28, 12:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hamilton, Wayne, White | 44 min |
| Feb 28, 12:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Wayne | 37 min |
| Feb 28, 1:02 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry | 43 min |
| Feb 28, 1:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Edwards, Wabash | 33 min |
| Feb 28, 1:32 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Jackson, Union | 43 min |
| Feb 28, 1:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Wabash | 40 min |
| Feb 28, 1:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carter, Ripley, Wayne | 34 min |
| Feb 28, 2:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Jackson, Johnson, Union, Williamson | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 276 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 124 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -220 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 494 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 210 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
079
WWUS20 KWNS 280341
SEL5
SPC WW 280341
ILZ000-MOZ000-281000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM UNTIL
400 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI TO 45 MILES EAST OF MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24...
DISCUSSION...LINES/CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS ARE ORGANIZING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MO. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK
RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES /INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES/
ARE A CONCERN. AN EVENTUAL EVOLUTION INTO BOWING SEGMENTS COULD
ALSO INCREASE THE RISK OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 8:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 39 more | 65 min |
| Feb 27, 8:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 27, 10:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Clinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Jersey and 9 more | 94 min |
| Feb 27, 11:46 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Massac, Pope, Pulaski | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 12:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 4 more | 32 min |
| Feb 28, 12:40 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 6 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:33 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Bourbon and 65 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Campbell, Kenton | 58 min |
| Feb 28, 3:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bourbon, Bracken, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Carroll and 28 more | 65 min |
| Feb 28, 4:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 31 more | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 4:47 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 27, 7:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 17 more | 87 min |
| Feb 27, 7:24 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.