Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 240

April 27, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2011, 6:15 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2011, 6:15 PM EDT (22:15 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2011, 12:42 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 142 counties

Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Alamance County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Giles County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, Highland County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

72 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 6:15 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Powhatan, Prince Edward45 min
Apr 27, 6:17 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHForsyth43 min
Apr 27, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Prince William43 min
Apr 27, 6:19 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford41 min
Apr 27, 6:30 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKRockingham30 min
Apr 27, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham60 min
Apr 27, 6:33 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Prince Edward42 min
Apr 27, 6:38 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's37 min
Apr 27, 6:39 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKPittsylvania51 min
Apr 27, 6:45 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQAmelia, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, Louisa, Powhatan45 min
Apr 27, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXNelson14 min
Apr 27, 6:55 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKRockingham50 min
Apr 27, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham29 min
Apr 27, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville33 min
Apr 27, 6:59 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHenry, Pittsylvania46 min
Apr 27, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, Prince William32 min
Apr 27, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCumberland, Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa58 min
Apr 27, 7:08 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Prince George's37 min
Apr 27, 7:08 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes37 min
Apr 27, 7:08 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Goochland, Louisa, Powhatan, Prince Edward52 min
Apr 27, 7:21 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Charles, Prince George's69 min
Apr 27, 7:24 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's36 min
Apr 27, 7:24 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania51 min
Apr 27, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXGreene, Madison, Orange25 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham46 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, Louisa46 min
Apr 27, 7:31 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Howard29 min
Apr 27, 7:34 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Prince George's26 min
Apr 27, 7:35 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKRockingham40 min
Apr 27, 7:35 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, Louisa40 min
Apr 27, 7:41 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQFluvanna, Goochland, Louisa49 min
Apr 27, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Rappahannock21 min
Apr 27, 7:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania46 min
Apr 27, 7:56 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Goochland, Hanover, Louisa, Powhatan49 min
Apr 27, 8:01 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville44 min
Apr 27, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham, Campbell66 min
Apr 27, 8:12 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover33 min
Apr 27, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXOrange, Spotsylvania28 min
Apr 27, 8:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Montgomery, Washington36 min
Apr 27, 8:20 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville25 min
Apr 27, 8:27 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQLouisa18 min
Apr 27, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington19 min
Apr 27, 8:30 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXOrange, Spotsylvania30 min
Apr 27, 8:32 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania43 min
Apr 27, 8:42 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover48 min
Apr 27, 8:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell45 min
Apr 27, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQFluvanna58 min
Apr 27, 9:11 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax34 min
Apr 27, 9:15 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline30 min
Apr 27, 9:24 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCumberland, Prince Edward30 min
Apr 27, 9:24 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Spotsylvania, Stafford18 min
Apr 27, 9:40 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCulpeper, Madison, Orange35 min
Apr 27, 10:00 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier30 min
Apr 27, 10:12 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell48 min
Apr 27, 10:26 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe49 min
Apr 27, 10:28 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXFauquier, Prince William, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park47 min
Apr 27, 10:32 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKGreenbrier43 min
Apr 27, 10:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell6 hr
Apr 27, 10:57 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKGreenbrier, Mercer, Summers48 min
Apr 27, 11:09 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBland, Giles, Tazewell51 min
Apr 27, 11:12 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBland, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe48 min
Apr 27, 11:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Wilkes6 hr
Apr 27, 11:43 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKGreenbrier, Summers36 min
Apr 27, 11:53 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBland, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Tazewell, Wythe52 min
Apr 27, 11:56 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKAlleghany, City of Covington49 min
Apr 28, 12:01 AM EDTTornado WarningRNKAshe44 min
Apr 28, 12:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXHighland71 min
Apr 28, 12:05 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXHighland5 hr
Apr 28, 12:35 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAllegany5 hr
Apr 28, 12:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAllegany70 min
Apr 28, 12:40 AM EDTTornado WarningRNKBath35 min
Apr 28, 12:42 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXGrant, Hampshire, Hardy, Mineral28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 190 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 203 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
190 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
678 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
275 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

557 
WWUS20 KWNS 272213
SEL0
SPC WW 272213
DCZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-280600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
       MARYLAND
       NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
       EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MARTINSBURG WEST VIRGINIA TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF RALEIGH
NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 233. WATCH NUMBER 233 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
615 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 232...WW 234...WW 235...WW 236...WW
237...WW 238...WW 239...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING WITHIN A
MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-2000 J/KG.  DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS ALREADY SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS...AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING WITH EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES APPROACHING
250-300 M2/S2.  AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST IN
ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 1:23 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 8 more5 hr
Apr 27, 1:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett96 min
Apr 27, 3:10 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCGarrett7 hr
Apr 27, 3:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Harford, Kent, Queen Anne's and 3 more65 min
Apr 27, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 10 more66 min
Apr 27, 6:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 9 more60 min
Apr 27, 6:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Harford, Washington55 min
Apr 27, 7:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Harford and 8 more65 min
Apr 27, 8:34 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Clay4 hr
Apr 27, 11:27 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Clay6 hr
Apr 27, 12:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee66 min
Apr 27, 12:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Bertie, Bladen, Cabarrus, Caswell and 47 more84 min
Apr 27, 2:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham57 min
Apr 27, 3:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Caldwell, Haywood and 6 more83 min
Apr 27, 4:36 PM EDTTornado Watch PDSSPCCherokee, Clay8 hr
Apr 27, 6:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 16 more34 min
Apr 27, 6:52 PM EDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 19 more9 hr
Apr 27, 5:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Wise and 1 more37 min
Apr 27, 5:44 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Smyth and 5 more7 hr
Apr 27, 9:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabell, Calhoun, Jackson, Kanawha, Lincoln, Mason and 7 more66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.