Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 236
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2011, 3:10 PM EDT for 20 counties in New York; 49 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2011, 3:10 PM EDT (19:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 27, 2011, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 73 counties
Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Marion County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Preston County, WV, Tucker County, WV
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 3:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion, Forest, Jefferson, Mercer and 1 more | 65 min |
| Apr 27, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Indiana | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 4:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Armstrong, Fayette, Indiana, Westmoreland | 58 min |
| Apr 27, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 25 min |
| Apr 27, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Clearfield, Elk, McKean, Potter | 50 min |
| Apr 27, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 54 min |
| Apr 27, 5:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 5:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk, McKean, Warren | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 5:43 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 5:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton and 5 more | 62 min |
| Apr 27, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin and 1 more | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 5:57 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 5:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cameron, Potter | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 6:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston | 43 min |
| Apr 27, 6:29 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin, Perry | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 6:30 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 6:40 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Mifflin, Union | 35 min |
| Apr 27, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton and 6 more | 60 min |
| Apr 27, 6:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Steuben, Yates | 56 min |
| Apr 27, 6:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Livingston, Ontario, Wayne | 49 min |
| Apr 27, 7:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Steuben | 60 min |
| Apr 27, 7:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder | 63 min |
| Apr 27, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Ontario | 13 min |
| Apr 27, 7:40 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Steuben, Yates | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Ontario, Wayne | 48 min |
| Apr 27, 7:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Onondaga, Seneca | 62 min |
| Apr 27, 7:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland and 5 more | 57 min |
| Apr 27, 7:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Tioga, Tompkins | 55 min |
| Apr 27, 7:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Chemung, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Tompkins, Yates | 64 min |
| Apr 27, 8:09 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 8:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca, Yates | 65 min |
| Apr 27, 8:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 8:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Montour, Northumberland | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 8:33 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Bradford | 2 hr |
| Apr 27, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Onondaga and 4 more | 61 min |
| Apr 27, 8:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 9:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Tioga | 43 min |
| Apr 27, 9:11 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca, Yates | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 9:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Tioga | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -127 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 987 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 139 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
924
WWUS20 KWNS 271909
SEL6
SPC WW 271909
MDZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-LOZ000-280200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 236
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME WESTERN MARYLAND
WESTERN NEW YORK
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
EXTREME NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
LAKE ERIE
LAKE ONTARIO
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF ROCHESTER
NEW YORK TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ALTOONA PENNSYLVANIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 231...WW 232...WW
233...WW 234...WW 235...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOON
OVER WESTERN PA AND SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODERATE
INSTABILITY...COUPLED WITH STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
PROMOTE ORGANIZED STORMS WITH SUPERCELLS/BOWS POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT LOW
LEVEL SHEAR IS PRESENT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 1:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Steuben and 1 more | 96 min |
| Apr 27, 3:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Putnam and 3 more | 65 min |
| Apr 27, 6:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland and 16 more | 55 min |
| Apr 27, 9:39 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cabell, Calhoun, Jackson, Kanawha, Lincoln, Mason and 7 more | 66 min |
| Apr 27, 1:23 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Berkeley, Grant, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Mineral and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Apr 27, 3:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McDowell, Mingo | 83 min |
| Apr 27, 4:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkeley, Grant, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Mineral and 2 more | 66 min |
| Apr 27, 5:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Cabell, Jackson, Lincoln, Logan, Mason and 3 more | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 5:44 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barbour, Boone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay and 28 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 27, 6:15 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Berkeley, Grant, Greenbrier, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson and 6 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Tornado Watches in New York, 2011Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.