Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 959

December 27, 200817 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Kansas; 75 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 27, 2008, 4:30 AM CST for 17 counties in Illinois; 10 counties in Kansas; 75 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2008, 4:30 AM CST (10:30 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2008, 12:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 102 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Macon County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 4:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTWilson, Woodson43 min
Dec 27, 4:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Miami40 min
Dec 27, 4:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray32 min
Dec 27, 5:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen40 min
Dec 27, 5:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon51 min
Dec 27, 5:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Cass, Johnson, Lafayette, Ray, Saline30 min
Dec 27, 5:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Linn, Miami39 min
Dec 27, 7:46 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington16 min
Dec 27, 7:47 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFCherokee4 hr
Dec 27, 8:06 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFBenton, St. Clair32 min
Dec 27, 8:46 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXShelby29 min
Dec 27, 8:51 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFNewton3 hr
Dec 27, 8:57 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFMcDonald24 min
Dec 27, 9:01 AM CSTTornado WarningSGFBarry, Newton38 min
Dec 27, 9:05 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Shelby25 min
Dec 27, 9:14 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby31 min
Dec 27, 9:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence34 min
Dec 27, 9:26 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe37 min
Dec 27, 9:49 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Ralls41 min
Dec 27, 9:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene29 min
Dec 27, 10:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls44 min
Dec 27, 10:10 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Pike, Ralls35 min
Dec 27, 10:27 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Warren33 min
Dec 27, 10:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike43 min
Dec 27, 10:46 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Pike44 min
Dec 27, 10:58 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun47 min
Dec 27, 11:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun43 min
Dec 27, 11:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Greene, Laclede, Lawrence, Stone and 2 more6 hr
Dec 27, 11:34 AM CSTTornado WarningLSXGreene, Jersey, Macoupin41 min
Dec 27, 11:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas, Wright77 min
Dec 27, 11:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2008-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 153 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2008-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 452 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
153 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-108 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
808 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
452 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
585 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

824 
WWUS20 KWNS 271035
SEL9  
SPC WW 271035
ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-271800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 959
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
       SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       MUCH OF MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 430 AM UNTIL NOON CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 130 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ALTON ILLINOIS TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONETT MISSOURI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 955...WW 956...WW
957...WW 958...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ALONG COLD FRONT IN ERN KS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
STRONG AND POSSIBLY INCREASE AS FRONT CONTINUES ESE INTO MO BENEATH
STRENGTHENING UPR DIFFLUENCE/ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH PROGRESSIVE SRN
HI PLNS UPR VORT.  ACTIVITY MAY ALSO BE ENHANCED BY LOW LVL
CONVERGENCE DOWNSTREAM FROM CNTRL OK SFC WAVE.  OTHER STORMS MAY
SLOWLY INCREASE FROM NRN AR NNE INTO CNTRL MO...ALONG ERN SIDE OF
SSWLY LLJ.  WITH SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES THROUGHOUT
WW...COMBINATION OF CONTINUED MOIST INFLOW...MODEST SFC HEATING
...AND INCREASING UVV SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR SCTD SUSTAINED STORMS
WITH A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLY
SVR HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 11:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Knox and 6 more90 min
Dec 27, 1:35 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 26 more7 hr
Dec 27, 8:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey and 8 more117 min
Dec 27, 8:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Christian, DeWitt, Fulton, Knox, Logan and 9 more27 min
Dec 27, 9:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Jackson, Jersey and 8 more56 min
Dec 27, 10:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 45 more94 min
Dec 27, 10:58 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBrown, Bureau, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 43 more8 hr
Dec 27, 11:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, DeKalb, DeWitt and 32 more89 min
Dec 27, 12:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois and 6 more4 hr
Dec 27, 12:45 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBond, Clinton, Fayette, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison and 6 more5 hr
Dec 27, 1:52 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more5 hr
Dec 27, 1:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 29 more2 hr
Dec 27, 3:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford and 27 more89 min
Dec 27, 5:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Edwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson and 10 more84 min
Dec 26, 6:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 28 more58 min
Dec 26, 9:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 25 more7 hr
Dec 27, 3:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford and 6 more88 min
Dec 26, 9:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald, Newton85 min
Dec 27, 12:03 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barry, Barton, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 40 more7 hr
Dec 27, 9:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 12 more3 hr
Dec 27, 1:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot25 min
Dec 27, 12:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 22 more83 min
Dec 27, 2:02 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 41 more7 hr
Dec 27, 6:35 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 12 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2008Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2008Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.