Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 960

December 27, 200840 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 27, 2008, 6:35 AM CST for 40 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2008, 6:35 AM CST (12:35 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2008, 2:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 7:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more40 min
Dec 27, 7:23 AM CSTTornado WarningTSAMuskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner37 min
Dec 27, 8:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa41 min
Dec 27, 9:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg43 min
Dec 27, 9:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Sequoyah50 min
Dec 27, 10:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha56 min
Dec 27, 10:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian53 min
Dec 27, 11:53 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Madison37 min
Dec 27, 11:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin47 min
Dec 27, 1:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Conway, Logan, Marion, Perry, Pope and 4 more61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2008-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 627 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2008-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 428 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
555 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
428 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.7
Supercell composite
7.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

014 
WWUS20 KWNS 271244
SEL0  
SPC WW 271244
ARZ000-OKZ000-272000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 960
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 635 AM UNTIL
200 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
HARRISON ARKANSAS TO 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DE QUEEN
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 956. WATCH NUMBER 956 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
635 AM CST. CONTINUE...WW 957...WW 958...WW 959...

DISCUSSION...BAND OF SUSTAINED TSTMS ALONG CNTRL OK COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE E INTO WRN AR BY LATE MORNING...AND INTO CNTRL
AR BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT NOW ENTERING W TX
CONTINUES STEADILY EWD.  STRENGTHENING UVV/WIND FIELD AHEAD OF
VORT...AND MODEST SFC HEATING...SHOULD MAINTAIN/ENHANCE ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS.  WEAKLY CONFLUENT LOW LVL
FLOW MAY ALSO SPAWN SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS E OF THE FRONTAL BAND. 
STRENGTH OF LOW LVL SHEAR AND QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW WILL
SUPPORT TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SMALL BOWS WITH HIGH
WIND/HAIL...GIVEN FAVORABLE STORM MODE AND EVEN MODEST SFC HEATING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 9:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Johnson and 10 more85 min
Dec 27, 12:03 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more7 hr
Dec 27, 3:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 37 more88 min
Dec 27, 7:41 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCLafayette, Miller6 hr
Dec 27, 8:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 61 more117 min
Dec 27, 9:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Fulton, Greene, Independence, Izard and 4 more56 min
Dec 27, 1:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot and 52 more25 min
Dec 27, 1:52 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 26 more5 hr
Dec 27, 3:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Cross, Greene, Independence, Jackson and 10 more89 min
Dec 27, 5:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrittenden4 hr
Dec 26, 6:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Buchanan, Cass, Clay, Jackson and 5 more58 min
Dec 26, 9:51 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton and 13 more7 hr
Dec 26, 11:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Clark, Grundy, Knox, Lewis, Macon and 8 more90 min
Dec 27, 1:35 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby7 hr
Dec 27, 4:30 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 69 more8 hr
Dec 27, 9:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 12 more3 hr
Dec 27, 10:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 38 more94 min
Dec 27, 10:58 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCChristian, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, Lincoln and 14 more8 hr
Dec 27, 11:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dent, Douglas, Franklin, Howell, Iron and 10 more89 min
Dec 27, 12:45 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson, Madison and 8 more5 hr
Dec 27, 5:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi84 min
Dec 27, 12:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 22 more83 min
Dec 27, 2:02 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 41 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2008Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.