Flash Flood Warning 189, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 271834
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1234 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

MOC009-043-077-105-109-209-225-229-272300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0189.000000T0000Z-081227T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-STONE MO-LACLEDE MO-
CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
1234 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR
BARRY...CHRISTIAN...LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN
GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...STONE AND WEBSTER COUNTIES...

AT 1226 PM CST...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN GREENE COUNTY 
REPORTED THAT CREEKS AROUND SPRINGFIELD...INCLUDING JORDAN CREEK 
...CONTINUED TO RISE. FLOOD PRONE AREAS...ESPECIALLY LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS THROUGHOUT THE WARNED AREA SHOULD ALSO ANTICIPATE RISING 
FLOOD LEVELS INTO THE MID AFTERNOON. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN 
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3651 9404 3694 9402 3695 9365 3725 9334
      3749 9286 3788 9285 3786 9261 3780 9255
      3784 9249 3784 9241 3771 9241 3766 9229
      3760 9225 3748 9227 3708 9271 3707 9290
      3683 9291 3681 9332 3651 9333

$$

RUNNELS

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 271951
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
151 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

MOC009-043-077-105-109-209-225-229-272300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0189.000000T0000Z-081227T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-STONE MO-LACLEDE MO-
CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
151 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR
BARRY...CHRISTIAN...LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN
GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...STONE AND WEBSTER COUNTIES...

AT 145 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE BACK EDGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAD PRODUCED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL 
THIS MORNING HAD CLEARED ARES WEST OF A BUFFALO TO BRANSON LINE.  

RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE HOWEVER THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...LEADING TO 
FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. 

IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3651 9404 3694 9402 3695 9365 3725 9334
      3749 9286 3788 9285 3786 9261 3780 9255
      3784 9249 3784 9241 3771 9241 3766 9229
      3760 9225 3748 9227 3708 9271 3707 9290
      3683 9291 3681 9332 3651 9333

$$

RUNNELS

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 272150
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

MOC009-043-077-105-109-209-225-229-272300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0189.000000T0000Z-081227T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-STONE MO-LACLEDE MO-
CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
350 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR
BARRY...CHRISTIAN...LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN
GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...STONE AND WEBSTER COUNTIES...

AT 341 PM CST...THE BAND OF STORMS THAT PRODUCED TWO TO THREE INCHES 
OF RAIN DURING THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HAS ENDED. 
RUNOFF FROM THIS RAIN IS DIMINISHING AND THE WARNING IS EXPECTED TO 
EXPIRE AT 5 PM. 

IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. 

LAT...LON 3651 9404 3694 9402 3695 9365 3725 9334
      3749 9286 3788 9285 3786 9261 3780 9255
      3784 9249 3784 9241 3771 9241 3766 9229
      3760 9225 3748 9227 3708 9271 3707 9290
      3683 9291 3681 9332 3651 9333

$$

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 272302
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
502 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

MOC009-043-077-105-109-209-225-229-272311-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0189.000000T0000Z-081227T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-STONE MO-LACLEDE MO-
CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
502 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR BARRY...CHRISTIAN...
LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...STONE AND WEBSTER COUNTIES...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY AN AREAL FLOOD 
WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

LAT...LON 3651 9404 3694 9402 3695 9365 3725 9334
      3749 9286 3788 9285 3786 9261 3780 9255
      3784 9249 3784 9241 3771 9241 3766 9229
      3760 9225 3748 9227 3708 9271 3707 9290
      3683 9291 3681 9332 3651 9333

$$

SCHAUMANN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
736 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING FAVORABLE FOR AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SUPERCELLS
AND TORNADOES ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.  THE COMBINATION OF LOW LCL
HEIGHTS...STRONG WIND SHEAR...AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY
WILL PROVIDE A PRIME ENVIRONMENT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND TORNADOES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SATELLITE ALSO SHOWS AN AREA OF CLEARING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES COULD BE DIURNALLY IMPACTED BY THIS CLEARING...ONLY TO
INCREASE INSTABILITY EVEN FURTHER.  12Z RAOB MEASURED 773J/KG OF ML
CAPE...WITH 120J/KG OF 0-3KM CAPE.  SURFACE WINDS REMAIN BACKED AT
THE SURFACE...CREATING 0-1KM HELICITIES OF AROUND 400.  NEARLY ALL
INGREDIENTS EXIST ACROSS SW MISSOURI FOR TORNADIC STORMS.  ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

CRAMER

&&

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WHICH IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS THOUGHT. AS A
RESULT HEIGHT FALLS HAVE NOT MOVED INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI
WHICH HAS LEFT THE AREA CAPPED. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI EAST OF HIGHWAY 65. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 AND SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED AND SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME.

FARTHER NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO ILLINOIS WHERE THE CAP
WEAKENED...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED WITH SEVERAL BECOMING SEVERE.
BACK TO THE WEST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO SOUTHERN IOWA
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHERN IOWA INTO NORTHERN TEXAS...WITH THE MAJORITY OF THIS AREA
UNDER TORNADO WARNINGS. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PUSH
EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MARCHES
EAST.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE
EAST TODAY...WITH THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BE ON THE DOOR STEP
OF THE WESTERN CWA AROUND SUNRISE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES THE AREA...HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD WEAKEN THE CAP...ALLOWING
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH STORMS ALSO
EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH EAST THROUGH THE
AREA...AND SHOULD EXIT THE EASTERN CWA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL REMAIN QUITE WARM AND MOIST
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND TEMPERATURES WELL IN THE 60S
EXPECTED. ENOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD RETURN TO THE AREA TO MAKE ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE WITH THE ACTIVITY THE DEVELOPS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS STORM SYSTEM...SO TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA...HOWEVER THE BETTER INSTABILITY WILL BE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CWA SOUTHWARD WHERE THE BETTER TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL
RESIDE. THE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION IS VERY MOIST FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR...SO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY WITH ONE TO
THREE INCHES STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

COLDER AIR WILL QUICKLY FILTER INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE
FRONT...AND CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN CWA TOMORROW EVENING...HOWEVER AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THE FRONT WILL BE PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH THAT ALL THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD HAVE PUSHED OFF TO THE EAST BEFORE THE
TEMPERATURES COOL ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE FRONT.

A COOLER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO START THE WORK
WEEK AS A ZONAL PATTERN WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION. AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. THE ENERGY AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE AREA...HOWEVER THIS
TROUGH SHOULD BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z KJLN/KSGF TAFS...MAIN AVIATION CONCERNS WITH THIS TAF
PACKAGE WILL CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND ASSOCIATED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. CURRENTLY COLD FRONT IS PUSHING INTO EXTREME
EASTERN KANSAS EXTENDING TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO TEXAS...WITH A
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ALONG THE FRONT. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THIS MORNING...WITH THEM
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE JOPLIN AREA BETWEEN 12 AND 14Z AND INTO
SPRINGFIELD BETWEEN 14 AND 16Z. VERY STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT...WITH GUST AROUND 50KTS
POSSIBLE. BEHIND THE FRONT AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY. BEHIND THE
FRONT GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
952 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281600-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
952 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  FLOODING...TORNADOES...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND HAIL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND
 EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI SHORTLY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
 EARLY AFTERNOON.

  DISCUSSION:

  A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM ELDON TO
  SPRINGFIELD TO CASSVILLE IS MOVING STEADILY EASTWARD AT 15 TO 20
  MPH. AHEAD OF THIS LINE...INSTABILITY REMAINS HIGH WITH
  TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S AND DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 60S.

  DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT...STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY
  TAKE ON A SUPER-CELLULAR CHARACTER THEN EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS OF
  STORMS OR A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS AS THEY PUSH TO THE EAST. ALL
  MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE INCLUDING...DAMAGING
  WINDS...TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE BEST
  INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI
  SOUTHWARD...WHERE AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL
  OCCUR.

  OF CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING OF
  STORMS...LEADING TO HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH SUB SURFACE SOILS
  REMAINING FROZEN...RAPID RUNOFF MAKES FLOODING A CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EAST OF AN OSAGE BEACH
 TO SPRINGFIELD TO CASSVILLE THROUGH LATE MORNING AS THE LINE
 CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THE LINE MOVES
 THROUGH YOUR AREA...SEVERE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
 RAPIDLY IN THE COLDER NORTHWEST FLOW.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
959 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N POWELL              36.67N  94.18W
12/27/2008  E60 MPH          MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES REPORTED DOWN NORTH OF POWELL

&&

LD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1004 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 AM     TSTM WND GST     SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
12/27/2008  E58 MPH          GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1006 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 AM     TSTM WND GST     GOODMAN                 36.74N  94.40W
12/27/2008  M68 MPH          MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED 68 MPH WIND.

&&

LD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1012 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S ASH GROVE           37.26N 93.58W
12/27/2008  E0.00 INCH       GREENE             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.11 INCHES IN 40 MINUTES

1012 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S ASH GROVE           37.26N 93.58W
12/27/2008  M1.11 INCH       GREENE             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAINFALL IN 40 MINUTES

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1033 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW MONETT             36.87N 93.99W
12/27/2008  E60 MPH          BARRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREE DOWN AND BARN SIDING DAMAGED NEAR PULASKIFIELD

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1035 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E MONETT              36.92N 93.91W
12/27/2008                   BARRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS DOWN AND SHINGLES LIFETD OFF ROOF

&&

SRUNNELS