Severe Thunderstorm Warning 546, NWS Springfield, MO

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
326 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
326 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  FLOODING...TORNADOES...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND HAIL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN
  KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AHEAD OF AN
  APPROACHING COLD FRONT...SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY AND
  OUT OF THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

  DISCUSSION:

  THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVEMENT WAS SLOWER THAN EXPECTED FRIDAY
  INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...A CAPPING INVERSION REMAINED
  OVER THE AREA...AND SUPPRESSED STORM DEVELOPMENT. ELEVATED
  CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL
  MISSOURI EAST OF HIGHWAY 65. THE CAP IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER
  THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT WITH THIS ACTIVITY
  NOT EXPECTED TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
  EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN IOWA SOUTHWEST TO TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS
  ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES
  EAST...WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO BE JUST OFF TO THE WEST OF THE
  OUTLOOK AREA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
  CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST THIS MORNING...COOLING IN THE MID LEVELS
  OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BREAK THE CAP. AS THIS OCCURS
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT BETWEEN
  6 AM AND 9 AM...THEN CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT
  PUSHES EAST. DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT...STORMS THAT
  DEVELOP WILL LIKELY TAKE ON A SUPER-CELLULAR CHARACTER THEN
  EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS OF STORMS OR A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS AS
  THEY PUSH TO THE EAST. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
  POSSIBLE INCLUDING...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL. THE BEST INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL OCCUR
  ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI SOUTHWARD...WHERE AN INCREASED POTENTIAL
  FOR TORNADOES WILL OCCUR.

  OF CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING OF
  STORMS...LEADING TO HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH SUB SURFACE SOILS
  REMAINING FROZEN...RAPID RUNOFF MAKES FLOODING A CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER FAR SOUTHWEST
  MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE THEN
  EXPANDING EASTWARD INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE