Alert archive / Arkansas / Conway County

Weather alerts in Conway County, Arkansas, 2015

172 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Conway County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts: 172
Warnings: 62
Watches: 31
Advisories: 32
Busiest month: May39 alerts
Busiest day: June 26, 20158 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

1 of 3 tornado warnings covering Conway County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them; 1 of 1 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 2 minutes after it went out.

Conway County, 2015

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
Tornado warnings	3	1	67%	1	100%	2 min
Severe thunderstorm warnings	35	17	51%	7	100%	13 min
Flash flood warnings	8	4	50%	0

Each office's whole area, 2015

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: tornado warnings	40	6	85%	14	71%	17 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings	380	120	68%	248	88%	24 min
NWS Little Rock, AR: flash flood warnings	138	49	64%	76	83%	108 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 3, 2:16 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	28 hr
Jan 6, 2:39 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	27 hr
Jan 10, 2:54 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	LZK	24 hr
Jan 25, 2:17 AM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	19 hr
Feb 1, 3:59 AM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	26 hr
Feb 4, 2:40 AM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	26 hr
Feb 14, 4:16 AM CST	Winter Storm Watch	LZK	25 hr
Feb 15, 5:36 AM CST	Winter Storm Warning	LZK	31 hr
Feb 16, 2:57 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	6 hr
Feb 18, 1:52 PM CST	Winter Storm Watch	LZK	24 hr
Feb 19, 1:37 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	LZK	40 hr
Feb 22, 4:41 AM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	LZK	41 hr
Feb 27, 11:18 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	LZK	34 hr
Feb 28, 7:59 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	6 hr
Mar 2, 4:00 AM CST	Winter Storm Watch	LZK	23 hr
Mar 3, 3:22 AM CST	Winter Storm Warning	LZK	53 hr
Mar 11, 3:04 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	60 hr
Mar 13, 9:51 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	LZK	3 hr
Mar 24, 3:57 AM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	15 hr
Mar 24, 5:30 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	90 min
Mar 25, 1:30 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Mar 25, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Mar 25, 5:33 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	87 min
Mar 25, 7:54 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	66 min
Mar 25, 9:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Mar 25, 11:39 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	96 min
Mar 26, 2:47 AM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	13 hr
Mar 31, 2:25 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Mar 31, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	31 min
Apr 1, 5:14 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	91 min
Apr 8, 2:35 PM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	28 hr
Apr 9, 2:15 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Apr 9, 3:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Apr 9, 5:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	49 min
Apr 9, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	25 min
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Apr 9, 7:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	33 min
Apr 16, 5:01 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	LZK	4 hr
Apr 19, 1:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Apr 19, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	44 min
Apr 19, 5:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	62 min
Apr 19, 5:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	43 min
Apr 19, 5:46 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Apr 19, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	46 min
Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Apr 19, 9:41 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Apr 25, 3:25 AM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	16 hr
May 9, 4:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	53 hr
May 9, 1:58 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
May 10, 2:39 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	66 min
May 10, 11:25 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
May 10, 5:05 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	115 min
May 10, 5:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	46 min
May 10, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	38 min
May 10, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	25 min
May 10, 9:26 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	5 days
May 10, 11:31 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr
May 15, 2:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	30 min
May 15, 2:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	20 min
May 16, 1:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	24 min
May 17, 1:43 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
May 17, 2:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
May 17, 2:23 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	32 hr
May 17, 4:27 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	93 min
May 17, 6:25 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	65 min
May 20, 8:19 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	8 days
May 21, 3:02 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	5 days
May 24, 3:52 AM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	15 hr
May 24, 11:09 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	13 days
May 24, 12:34 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
May 24, 3:31 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	89 min
May 24, 4:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	43 min
May 25, 5:15 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	90 min
May 25, 5:51 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
May 25, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	55 min
May 25, 7:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	56 min
May 25, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	61 min
May 25, 9:13 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	6 hr
May 25, 9:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	6 hr
May 29, 3:40 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	39 hr
May 29, 12:33 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	87 min
May 29, 6:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	40 min
May 29, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	3 hr
May 29, 7:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	39 min
May 29, 7:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	47 min
May 29, 8:39 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	66 min
Jun 5, 9:17 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	58 min
Jun 6, 12:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	31 min
Jun 6, 12:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	52 min
Jun 11, 1:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	33 min
Jun 14, 6:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	44 min
Jun 16, 3:35 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	3 days
Jun 17, 2:47 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	10 days
Jun 26, 3:16 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	89 min
Jun 26, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	36 min
Jun 26, 3:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
Jun 26, 4:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	39 min
Jun 26, 5:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	49 min
Jun 26, 6:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	65 min
Jun 26, 6:28 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
Jun 26, 6:47 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	3 hr
Jul 2, 2:37 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 3, 7:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	44 min
Jul 3, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	36 min
Jul 8, 1:58 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
Jul 8, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	45 min
Jul 8, 7:00 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 12, 2:41 AM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	9 days
Jul 15, 2:53 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 20, 10:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	39 min
Jul 23, 2:50 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	23 hr
Jul 23, 2:50 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	6 days
Jul 28, 2:21 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	29 hr
Aug 5, 1:06 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	114 min
Aug 5, 1:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	36 min
Aug 5, 1:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	52 min
Aug 5, 1:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	44 min
Aug 5, 2:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	42 min
Aug 5, 2:41 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	3 days
Aug 5, 9:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	44 min
Aug 5, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	32 min
Aug 6, 2:44 PM CDT	Excessive Heat Warning	LZK	53 hr
Aug 6, 2:44 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	3 days
Aug 7, 5:41 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	3 hr
Aug 8, 3:18 AM CDT	Excessive Heat Warning	LZK	41 hr
Aug 8, 2:17 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LZK	54 hr
Aug 22, 12:53 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Aug 23, 4:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	3 hr
Aug 31, 3:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	26 min
Oct 15, 2:19 PM CDT	Fire Weather Watch	LZK	38 hr
Oct 17, 4:36 AM CDT	Fire Weather Watch	LZK	23 hr
Oct 18, 8:47 AM CDT	Fire Weather Watch	LZK	34 hr
Nov 5, 3:32 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	88 min
Nov 5, 4:00 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr
Nov 5, 8:14 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	61 min
Nov 8, 2:45 PM CST	Frost Advisory	LZK	17 hr
Nov 10, 1:54 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	31 hr
Nov 13, 3:33 AM CST	Frost Advisory	LZK	29 hr
Nov 15, 2:27 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	59 hr
Nov 16, 9:39 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	14 hr
Nov 17, 6:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr
Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Nov 17, 11:07 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Nov 17, 12:39 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	36 min
Nov 17, 2:48 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	3 hr
Nov 17, 6:01 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	2 hr
Nov 20, 2:26 PM CST	Freeze Warning	LZK	43 hr
Nov 20, 2:26 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	28 hr
Nov 25, 2:09 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	4 days
Nov 26, 9:05 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LZK	5 days
Dec 2, 3:20 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	LZK	5 hr
Dec 11, 3:42 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	LZK	6 hr
Dec 13, 3:21 AM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	16 hr
Dec 14, 3:45 AM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	8 hr
Dec 14, 4:47 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LZK	70 hr
Dec 23, 4:39 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Dec 23, 4:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	34 min
Dec 23, 5:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	46 min
Dec 23, 5:43 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	32 min
Dec 23, 6:20 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr
Dec 23, 7:17 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	28 min
Dec 23, 7:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	51 min
Dec 23, 8:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	35 min
Dec 24, 4:00 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	4 days
Dec 25, 1:13 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LZK	12 days
Dec 27, 5:42 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	6 hr
Dec 27, 6:29 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	9 hr
Dec 27, 11:34 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	6 hr
Dec 28, 3:12 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LZK	24 hr
Dec 28, 3:38 AM CST	Wind Advisory	LZK	14 hr
Dec 28, 5:05 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LZK	24 hr
Dec 29, 5:04 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LZK	12 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

Product	Alerts
Severe storms
Severe Thunderstorm Warning	35
Tornado Warning	3
Severe Thunderstorm Watch	9
Tornado Watch	7
Mesoscale Discussion	38
Special Weather Statement	9
Flooding
Areal Flood Warning	4
Flash Flood Warning	8
River Flood Warning	7
Flash Flood Watch	9
Winter
Winter Storm Warning	2
Winter Storm Watch	3
Winter Weather Advisory	4
Heat
Excessive Heat Warning	2
Heat Advisory	7
Cold
Freeze Warning	1
Frost Advisory	2
Wind and dust
Lake Wind Advisory	15
Wind Advisory	1
Fire
Fire Weather Watch	3
Fog and smoke
Dense Fog Advisory	3

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive 2014 2016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.