Northern lights in New York tonight
The aurora reaches New York at about Kp 6.2 in the far north of the state and Kp 7.1 at its southern edge. SWPC's highest forecast Kp over the next three days is 2, in the 03-06 UTC block on Mon, Sep 21. Not tonight. The forecast Kp of 2 is well below what it takes for the aurora to reach this far south.
From NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center, read Sep 20, 17:00 UTC.
The oval right now
NOAA’s OVATION model: the chance of aurora overhead 30 to 90 minutes from now, valid Sep 20, 17:58 UTC. Green is a low chance, red a high one.
Rain and snow mean cloud, and cloud is the last thing between a forecast aurora and the sky you are standing under. Each town page carries that town’s own sky cover forecast for the dark hours.
Open the live map with the aurora forecast
Aurora forecast from NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. Original at SWPC
Tonight at Rouses Point
The most poleward town in New York with a page, and the first place in the state an aurora reaches. Cloud cover is on each town’s own page.
No tonight
Not tonight. The forecast Kp of 2 is well below what it takes for the aurora to reach this far south.
- The aurora reaches this place at about Kp 6.2, which is 54 degrees geomagnetic latitude on NOAA's storm scales.
- SWPC forecasts a highest Kp of 2 (2.00) during tonight's dark hours: quiet.
- The moon is waxing gibbous, 70% lit, and up for part of the dark hours.
Towns best placed in New York
The 24 most poleward of the 1,264 towns in New York with a page. Each page gives tonight’s chance there, the darkness, the moon and that town’s own cloud forecast.
- Rouses PointClinton County · population 2,169 · 54.2° geomagneticKp 6.2
- ChamplainClinton County · population 1,074 · 54.2° geomagneticKp 6.2
- Fort Covington HamletFranklin County · population 1,308 · 54.2° geomagneticKp 6.2
- ChateaugayFranklin County · population 820 · 54.1° geomagneticKp 6.2
- MassenaSt. Lawrence County · population 10,629 · 54.1° geomagneticKp 6.2
- ChazyClinton County · population 565 · 54.1° geomagneticKp 6.2
- AltonaClinton County · population 730 · 54.1° geomagneticKp 6.2
- WaddingtonSt. Lawrence County · population 968 · 54.1° geomagneticKp 6.2
- MaloneFranklin County · population 5,756 · 54.0° geomagneticKp 6.2
- West ChazyClinton County · population 529 · 54.0° geomagneticKp 6.2
- Brasher FallsSt. Lawrence County · population 669 · 54.0° geomagneticKp 6.2
- NorfolkSt. Lawrence County · population 1,327 · 54.0° geomagneticKp 6.2
- WinthropSt. Lawrence County · population 510 · 54.0° geomagneticKp 6.2
- NorwoodSt. Lawrence County · population 1,614 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- MadridSt. Lawrence County · population 757 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- DannemoraClinton County · population 3,629 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- Cumberland HeadClinton County · population 1,627 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- PlattsburghClinton County · population 19,806 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- MorrisonvilleClinton County · population 1,545 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- Plattsburgh WestClinton County · population 1,364 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- OgdensburgSt. Lawrence County · population 10,883 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- PotsdamSt. Lawrence County · population 9,688 · 53.9° geomagneticKp 6.2
- ParishvilleSt. Lawrence County · population 647 · 53.8° geomagneticKp 6.2
- HeuveltonSt. Lawrence County · population 729 · 53.8° geomagneticKp 6.2
Every town in New York with a page
1,264 towns at 48 degrees geomagnetic latitude or higher, which a strong storm reaches. The figure after each is the Kp it takes there.
A
- Accord Kp 6.8
- Adams Kp 6.4
- Adams Center Kp 6.4
- Addison Kp 6.7
- Afton Kp 6.7
- Airmont Kp 6.9
- Akron Kp 6.6
- Alabama Kp 6.6
- Albany Kp 6.6
- Albertson Kp 7
- Albion Kp 6.5
- Alden Kp 6.6
- Alexandria Bay Kp 6.3
- Alfred Kp 6.7
- Allegany Kp 6.8
- Alma Kp 6.8
- Altamont Kp 6.6
- Altona Kp 6.2
- Amagansett Kp 7
- Amenia Kp 6.8
- Amherst Kp 6.6
- Amityville Kp 7
- Amsterdam Kp 6.6
- Andover Kp 6.7
- Angelica Kp 6.7
- Angola Kp 6.6
- Angola on the Lake Kp 6.6
- Antwerp Kp 6.3
- Apalachin Kp 6.7
- Aquebogue Kp 7
- Arcade Kp 6.7
- Ardsley Kp 7
- Arkport Kp 6.7
- Arlington Kp 6.8
- Armonk Kp 6.9
- Arrochar Kp 7
- Arverne Kp 7
- Asharoken Kp 7
- Astoria Kp 7
- Athens Kp 6.7
- Athol Kp 6.5
- Atlantic Beach Kp 7
- Attica Kp 6.6
- Au Sable Forks Kp 6.3
- Auburn Kp 6.6
- Augusta Kp 6.6
- Aurora Kp 6.6
- Averill Park Kp 6.6
- Avoca Kp 6.7
- Avon Kp 6.6
B
- Babylon Kp 7
- Bainbridge Kp 6.7
- Baiting Hollow Kp 7
- Baldwin Kp 7
- Baldwin Harbor Kp 7
- Baldwinsville Kp 6.5
- Ballston Lake Kp 6.6
- Ballston Spa Kp 6.6
- Balmville Kp 6.9
- Bardonia Kp 6.9
- Barker Kp 6.5
- Barnum Island Kp 7
- Barryville Kp 6.9
- Batavia Kp 6.6
- Bath Kp 6.7
- Bath Beach Kp 7
- Battery Park City Kp 7
- Baxter Estates Kp 7
- Bay Park Kp 7
- Bay Shore Kp 7
- Bay Wood Kp 7
- Baychester Kp 7
- Bayport Kp 7
- Bayside Kp 7
- Bayville Kp 7
- Beacon Kp 6.9
- Beaver Dam Lake Kp 6.9
- Beaver Falls Kp 6.4
- Beaverdam Lake-Salisbury Mills Kp 6.9
- Bedford Kp 6.9
- Bedford Hills Kp 6.9
- Belfast Kp 6.7
- Bellaire Kp 7
- Belle Harbor Kp 7
- Belle Terre Kp 7
- Bellerose Kp 7
- Bellerose Terrace Kp 7
- Bellmore Kp 7
- Bellport Kp 7
- Belmont Kp 6.7
- Bensonhurst Kp 7
- Bergen Kp 6.6
- Bergen Beach Kp 7
- Berne Kp 6.6
- Bernhards Bay Kp 6.5
- Bethpage Kp 7
- Big Flats Kp 6.7
- Big Flats Airport Kp 6.7
- Billington Heights Kp 6.6
- Binghamton Kp 6.7
- Black River Kp 6.4
- Blasdell Kp 6.6
- Blauvelt Kp 6.9
- Bliss Kp 6.7
- Bloomfield Kp 7
- Blossvale Kp 6.5
- Blue Point Kp 7
- Bohemia Kp 7
- Bolivar Kp 6.5
- Bolivar Kp 6.8
- Bolton Landing Kp 6.4
- Boonville Kp 6.5
- Borough Park Kp 7
- Boston Kp 6.6
- Bowmansville Kp 6.6
- Braman Corners Kp 6.6
- Branchport Kp 6.6
- Brasher Falls Kp 6.2
- Breesport Kp 6.7
- Brentwood Kp 7
- Brewerton Kp 6.5
- Brewster Kp 6.9
- Brewster Hill Kp 6.9
- Briarcliff Manor Kp 6.9
- Briarwood Kp 7
- Bridgehampton Kp 7
- Bridgeport Kp 6.5
- Bridgeport Kp 6.6
- Brighton Kp 6.5
- Brighton Beach Kp 7
- Brightwaters Kp 7
- Brinckerhoff Kp 6.9
- Broad Channel Kp 7
- Broadalbin Kp 6.5
- Brockport Kp 6.5
- Brocton Kp 6.7
- Bronxville Kp 7
- Brookhaven Kp 7
- Brooklyn Kp 7
- Brooklyn Heights Kp 7
- Brookville Kp 7
- Brownsville Kp 7
- Brownville Kp 6.4
- Brownville Kp 6.8
- Buchanan Kp 6.9
- Buffalo Kp 6.6
- Bushwick Kp 7
- Byron Kp 6.6
C
- Cairo Kp 6.7
- Calcium Kp 6.4
- Caledonia Kp 6.6
- Calverton Kp 7
- Cambria Heights Kp 7
- Cambridge Kp 6.6
- Camden Kp 6.5
- Camillus Kp 6.6
- Campbell Kp 6.7
- Canajoharie Kp 6.6
- Canandaigua Kp 6.6
- Canarsie Kp 7
- Canaseraga Kp 6.7
- Canastota Kp 6.5
- Candor Kp 6.7
- Canisteo Kp 6.7
- Canton Kp 6.2
- Cape Vincent Kp 6.3
- Carle Place Kp 7
- Carmel Kp 6.9
- Carmel Hamlet Kp 6.9
- Caroga Lake Kp 6.5
- Carthage Kp 6.4
- Cassadaga Kp 6.7
- Cassville Kp 6.6
- Castile Kp 6.6
- Castleton-on-Hudson Kp 6.7
- Cato Kp 6.5
- Catskill Kp 6.7
- Cattaraugus Kp 6.7
- Cayuga Kp 6.6
- Cayuga Heights Kp 6.7
- Cazenovia Kp 6.6
- Cedarhurst Kp 7
- Celoron Kp 6.8
- Center Moriches Kp 7
- Centereach Kp 7
- Centerport Kp 6.6
- Centerport Kp 7
- Central Bridge Kp 6.6
- Central Islip Kp 7
- Central Square Kp 6.5
- Central Valley Kp 6.9
- Chadwicks Kp 6.6
- Champlain Kp 6.2
- Chappaqua Kp 6.9
- Charleston Kp 7.1
- Chateaugay Kp 6.2
- Chatham Kp 6.7
- Chaumont Kp 6.4
- Chazy Kp 6.2
- Cheektowaga Kp 6.6
- Chelsea Kp 7
- Chenango Bridge Kp 6.7
- Cherry Valley Kp 6.6
- Chester Kp 6.9
- Chestertown Kp 6.4
- Chestnut Ridge Kp 6.9
- Chinatown Kp 7
- Chittenango Kp 6.6
- Churchville Kp 6.5
- Cicero Kp 6.5
- Cincinnatus Kp 6.7
- City Island Kp 7
- Clarence Kp 6.6
- Clarence Center Kp 6.6
- Clark Mills Kp 6.5
- Clarkson Kp 6.5
- Claverack-Red Mills Kp 6.7
- Clay Kp 6.5
- Clayton Kp 6.3
- Cleveland Kp 6.5
- Clifton Kp 7
- Clifton Park Kp 6.6
- Clifton Springs Kp 6.6
- Clinton Kp 6.6
- Clinton Corners Kp 6.8
- Clintondale Kp 6.8
- Clyde Kp 6.5
- Clymer Kp 6.8
- Cobleskill Kp 6.6
- Coeymans Kp 6.7
- Cohocton Kp 6.7
- Cohoes Kp 6.6
- Cold Spring Kp 6.9
- Cold Spring Harbor Kp 7
- College Point Kp 7
- Colonie Kp 6.6
- Columbus Kp 6.6
- Commack Kp 7
- Concord Kp 7
- Coney Island Kp 7
- Congers Kp 6.9
- Conklin Kp 6.8
- Constantia Kp 6.5
- Coopers Plains Kp 6.7
- Cooperstown Kp 6.6
- Copake Lake Kp 6.7
- Copenhagen Kp 6.4
- Copiague Kp 7
- Coram Kp 7
- Corfu Kp 6.6
- Corinth Kp 6.5
- Corning Kp 6.7
- Cornwall Kp 6.9
- Corona Kp 7
- Cortland Kp 6.6
- Cortland West Kp 6.6
- Cortlandt Manor Kp 6.9
- Country Knolls Kp 6.6
- Coxsackie Kp 6.7
- Croghan Kp 6.4
- Crompond Kp 6.9
- Cropseyville Kp 6.6
- Croton-on-Hudson Kp 6.9
- Crown Heights Kp 6.8
- Crown Point Kp 6.4
- Crugers Kp 6.9
- Crystal Beach Kp 6.6
- Cuba Kp 6.7
- Cumberland Head Kp 6.2
- Cutchogue Kp 7
- Cypress Hills Kp 7
D
- Dannemora Kp 6.2
- Dansville Kp 6.7
- Davis Park Kp 7
- De Kalb Junction Kp 6.3
- Deansboro Kp 6.6
- Deer Park Kp 7
- Delevan Kp 6.7
- Delhi Kp 6.7
- Delmar Kp 6.6
- Depauville Kp 6.3
- Depew Kp 6.6
- Deposit Kp 6.8
- DeRuyter Kp 6.6
- Dexter Kp 6.4
- Dix Hills Kp 7
- Dobbs Ferry Kp 7
- Dolgeville Kp 6.5
- Dongan Hills Kp 7
- Douglaston Kp 7
- Dover Plains Kp 6.8
- Downsville Kp 6.7
- Downtown Brooklyn Kp 7
- Dryden Kp 6.7
- Dundee Kp 6.7
- Dunkirk Kp 6.7
- Durham Kp 6.7
- Durhamville Kp 6.5
- Dyker Heights Kp 7
E
- Earlville Kp 6.6
- East Amherst Kp 6.6
- East Atlantic Beach Kp 7
- East Aurora Kp 6.6
- East Avon Kp 6.6
- East Elmhurst Kp 7
- East Farmingdale Kp 7
- East Flatbush Kp 7
- East Garden City Kp 7
- East Glenville Kp 6.6
- East Greenbush Kp 6.6
- East Hampton Kp 7
- East Hampton North Kp 7
- East Harlem Kp 7
- East Hills Kp 7
- East Islip Kp 7
- East Ithaca Kp 6.7
- East Marion Kp 6.9
- East Massapequa Kp 7
- East Meadow Kp 7
- East Moriches Kp 7
- East Nassau Kp 6.7
- East New York Kp 7
- East Northport Kp 7
- East Norwich Kp 7
- East Patchogue Kp 7
- East Quogue Kp 7
- East Randolph Kp 6.7
- East Rochester Kp 6.5
- East Rockaway Kp 7
- East Setauket Kp 7
- East Shoreham Kp 7
- East Syracuse Kp 6.6
- East Tremont Kp 7
- East Village Kp 7
- East Williston Kp 7
- Eastchester Kp 7
- Eastchester Kp 7
- Eastport Kp 7
- Eatons Neck Kp 7
- Eden Kp 6.6
- Eden Kp 6.9
- Edgemere Kp 7
- Edinburg Kp 6.5
- Edmeston Kp 6.6
- Eggertsville Kp 6.6
- Elba Kp 6.6
- Elbridge Kp 6.6
- Elizabethtown Kp 6.3
- Ellenville Kp 6.8
- Elma Center Kp 6.6
- Elmhurst Kp 7
- Elmira Kp 6.7
- Elmira Heights Kp 6.7
- Elmont Kp 7
- Elmsford Kp 6.9
- Eltingville Kp 7.1
- Elwood Kp 7
- Emerson Hill Kp 7
- Endicott Kp 6.7
- Endwell Kp 6.7
- Evans Mills Kp 6.3
F
- Fair Haven Kp 6.5
- Fair Haven Kp 6.6
- Fairmount Kp 6.6
- Fairport Kp 6.5
- Fairview Kp 6.8
- Fairview Kp 7
- Falconer Kp 6.8
- Fallsburg Kp 6.8
- Far Rockaway Kp 7
- Farmingdale Kp 7
- Farmingville Kp 7
- Fayetteville Kp 6.6
- Fillmore Kp 6.7
- Financial District Kp 7
- Firthcliffe Kp 6.9
- Fishkill Kp 6.9
- Flanders Kp 7
- Flatbush Kp 7
- Flatlands Kp 7
- Floral Park Kp 7
- Florida Kp 6.9
- Flower Hill Kp 7
- Fonda Kp 6.6
- Fordham Kp 7
- Forest Hills Kp 7
- Forest Home Kp 6.7
- Forestville Kp 6.7
- Fort Covington Hamlet Kp 6.2
- Fort Drum Kp 6.4
- Fort Edward Kp 6.5
- Fort Hamilton Kp 7
- Fort Montgomery Kp 6.9
- Fort Plain Kp 6.6
- Fort Salonga Kp 7
- Fort Wadsworth Kp 7
- Frankfort Kp 6.6
- Franklin Square Kp 7
- Franklinville Kp 6.7
- Fredonia Kp 6.7
- Freeport Kp 7
- Freeville Kp 6.7
- Fresh Meadows Kp 7
- Frewsburg Kp 6.8
- Friendship Kp 6.7
- Fulton Kp 6.5
- Fultonville Kp 6.6
G
- Galeville Kp 6.5
- Gang Mills Kp 6.7
- Garden City Kp 7
- Garden City Park Kp 7
- Garden City South Kp 7
- Gardiner Kp 6.8
- Gardnertown Kp 6.9
- Gasport Kp 6.5
- Gates-North Gates Kp 6.5
- Geneseo Kp 6.6
- Geneva Kp 6.6
- Georgetown Kp 6.6
- Germantown Kp 6.7
- Ghent Kp 6.7
- Glasco Kp 6.8
- Glen Cove Kp 7
- Glen Head Kp 7
- Glen Oaks Kp 7
- Glen Park Kp 6.4
- Glendale Kp 7
- Glens Falls Kp 6.5
- Glens Falls North Kp 6.5
- Glenville Kp 6.6
- Glenwood Landing Kp 7
- Gloversville Kp 6.6
- Goldens Bridge Kp 6.9
- Gordon Heights Kp 7
- Gorham Kp 6.6
- Goshen Kp 6.9
- Gouverneur Kp 6.3
- Gowanda Kp 6.7
- Gramercy Park Kp 7
- Grand Island Kp 6.6
- Grandyle Village Kp 6.6
- Graniteville Kp 7
- Grant City Kp 7
- Granville Kp 6.5
- Gravesend Kp 7
- Great Bend Kp 6.4
- Great Kills Kp 7
- Great Neck Kp 7
- Great Neck Estates Kp 7
- Great Neck Gardens Kp 7
- Great Neck Plaza Kp 7
- Great River Kp 7
- Greece Kp 6.5
- Green Island Kp 6.6
- Greenburgh Kp 7
- Greene Kp 6.7
- Greenlawn Kp 7
- Greenpoint Kp 7
- Greenport Kp 6.9
- Greenport West Kp 6.9
- Greenvale Kp 7
- Greenville Kp 6.7
- Greenville Kp 7
- Greenwich Kp 6.5
- Greenwood Lake Kp 6.9
- Groton Kp 6.6
- Grymes Hill Kp 7
H
- Hadley Kp 6.5
- Hagaman Kp 6.6
- Hailesboro Kp 6.3
- Halesite Kp 7
- Hamburg Kp 6.6
- Hamilton Kp 6.6
- Hamlin Kp 6.5
- Hammondsport Kp 6.7
- Hampton Kp 6.5
- Hampton Bays Kp 7
- Hampton Manor Kp 6.6
- Hancock Kp 6.8
- Hannawa Falls Kp 6.2
- Hannibal Kp 6.5
- Harbor Hills Kp 7
- Harbor Isle Kp 7
- Harlem Kp 7
- Harriman Kp 6.9
- Harris Hill Kp 6.6
- Harrison Kp 7
- Harrisville Kp 6.3
- Harrisville Kp 6.6
- Hartford Kp 6.5
- Hartsdale Kp 7
- Hartwick Kp 6.6
- Hastings-on-Hudson Kp 7
- Hauppauge Kp 7
- Haverstraw Kp 6.9
- Haviland Kp 6.8
- Hawthorne Kp 6.9
- Head of the Harbor Kp 7
- Hell's Kitchen Kp 7
- Hemlock Kp 6.6
- Hempstead Kp 7
- Henrietta Kp 6.6
- Heritage Hills Kp 6.9
- Herkimer Kp 6.6
- Herricks Kp 7
- Heuvelton Kp 6.2
- Hewlett Kp 7
- Hewlett Harbor Kp 7
- Hicksville Kp 7
- High Falls Kp 6.8
- Highland Kp 6.8
- Highland Falls Kp 6.9
- Highland Mills Kp 6.9
- Hillburn Kp 6.9
- Hillcrest Kp 6.9
- Hillside Kp 6.8
- Hillside Kp 7
- Hillside Lake Kp 6.8
- Hilton Kp 6.5
- Holbrook Kp 7
- Holcomb Kp 6.6
- Holland Kp 6.6
- Holley Kp 6.5
- Hollis Kp 7
- Holtsville Kp 7
- Homer Kp 6.6
- Honeoye Kp 6.6
- Honeoye Falls Kp 6.6
- Hoosick Falls Kp 6.6
- Hornell Kp 6.7
- Horseheads Kp 6.7
- Horseheads North Kp 6.7
- Houghton Kp 6.7
- Howard Beach Kp 7
- Hudson Kp 6.7
- Hudson Falls Kp 6.5
- Huguenot Kp 7.1
- Huntington Kp 7
- Huntington Bay Kp 7
- Huntington Station Kp 7
- Hunts Point Kp 7
- Hurley Kp 6.8
- Hyde Park Kp 6.8
I
- Ilion Kp 6.6
- Interlaken Kp 6.6
- Inwood Kp 7
- Inwood Kp 7
- Ira Kp 6.5
- Irondequoit Kp 6.5
- Irvington Kp 7
- Island Park Kp 7
- Islandia Kp 7
- Islip Kp 7
- Islip Terrace Kp 7
- Ithaca Kp 6.7
J
- Jackson Heights Kp 7
- Jamaica Kp 7
- Jamesport Kp 7
- Jamestown Kp 6.8
- Jamestown West Kp 6.8
- Jefferson Heights Kp 6.7
- Jefferson Valley-Yorktown Kp 6.9
- Jericho Kp 7
- Johnson City Kp 6.7
- Johnstown Kp 6.6
- Jordan Kp 6.6
K
- Kaser Kp 6.9
- Katonah Kp 6.9
- Keeseville Kp 6.3
- Kenmore Kp 6.6
- Kensington Kp 7
- Kensington Kp 7
- Kerhonkson Kp 6.8
- Keuka Park Kp 6.6
- Kew Gardens Kp 7
- Kew Gardens Hills Kp 7
- Kiantone Kp 6.8
- Kinderhook Kp 6.7
- Kings Bridge Kp 7
- Kings Park Kp 7
- Kings Point Kp 7
- Kingston Kp 6.8
- Kirkville Kp 6.5
- Kiryas Joel Kp 6.9
L
- La Fargeville Kp 6.3
- Lackawanna Kp 6.6
- Lacona Kp 6.4
- Lake Carmel Kp 6.9
- Lake Erie Beach Kp 6.6
- Lake George Kp 6.5
- Lake Grove Kp 7
- Lake Katrine Kp 6.8
- Lake Luzerne Kp 6.5
- Lake Mohegan Kp 6.9
- Lake Placid Kp 6.3
- Lake Pleasant Kp 6.5
- Lake Ronkonkoma Kp 7
- Lake Success Kp 7
- Lakeland Kp 6.5
- Lakeview Kp 6.7
- Lakeview Kp 7
- Lakeville Kp 6.6
- Lakewood Kp 6.8
- Lancaster Kp 6.6
- Lansing Kp 6.7
- Larchmont Kp 7
- Latham Kp 6.6
- Lattingtown Kp 7
- Laurel Kp 7
- Laurel Hollow Kp 7
- Laurelton Kp 7
- Lawrence Kp 7
- Le Roy Kp 6.6
- Levittown Kp 7
- Lewiston Kp 6.5
- Liberty Kp 6.8
- Lido Beach Kp 7
- Lima Kp 6.6
- Lime Lake Kp 6.7
- Lincoln Park Kp 6.8
- Lincolndale Kp 6.9
- Lindenhurst Kp 7
- Lindley Kp 6.8
- Little Falls Kp 6.6
- Little Neck Kp 7
- Little Valley Kp 6.7
- Liverpool Kp 6.5
- Livingston Manor Kp 6.8
- Livonia Kp 6.6
- Lloyd Harbor Kp 7
- Lockport Kp 6.5
- Locust Valley Kp 7
- Long Beach Kp 7
- Long Island City Kp 7
- Long Lake Kp 6.4
- Lorenz Park Kp 6.7
- Lowville Kp 6.4
- Lynbrook Kp 7
- Lyncourt Kp 6.5
- Lyndon Kp 6.7
- Lyndonville Kp 6.5
- Lyons Kp 6.6
- Lyons Falls Kp 6.4
M
- Macedon Kp 6.6
- Madrid Kp 6.2
- Mahopac Kp 6.9
- Malone Kp 6.2
- Malverne Kp 7
- Malverne Park Oaks Kp 7
- Mamaroneck Kp 7
- Manchester Kp 6.6
- Manhasset Kp 7
- Manhasset Hills Kp 7
- Manhattan Kp 7
- Manhattan Valley Kp 7
- Manlius Kp 6.6
- Manorhaven Kp 7
- Manorville Kp 7
- Marathon Kp 6.7
- Marbletown Kp 6.8
- Marcellus Kp 6.6
- Margaretville Kp 6.7
- Mariaville Lake Kp 6.6
- Mariners Harbor Kp 7
- Marion Kp 6.5
- Marlboro Kp 6.8
- Maspeth Kp 7
- Massapequa Kp 7
- Massapequa Park Kp 7
- Massena Kp 6.2
- Mastic Kp 7
- Mastic Beach Kp 7
- Matinecock Kp 7
- Mattituck Kp 7
- Mattydale Kp 6.5
- Maybrook Kp 6.9
- Mayfield Kp 6.5
- Mayville Kp 6.7
- McGraw Kp 6.6
- McKownville Kp 6.6
- Mechanicstown Kp 6.9
- Mechanicville Kp 6.6
- Medford Kp 7
- Medina Kp 6.5
- Melrose Kp 7
- Melrose Park Kp 6.6
- Melville Kp 7
- Menands Kp 6.6
- Merrick Kp 7
- Merritt Park Kp 6.9
- Mexico Kp 6.5
- Middle Island Kp 7
- Middle Village Kp 7
- Middleburgh Kp 6.6
- Middleport Kp 6.5
- Middleport Kp 6.6
- Middletown Kp 6.9
- Middleville Kp 6.5
- Midland Beach Kp 7
- Mill Neck Kp 7
- Millbrook Kp 6.8
- Miller Place Kp 7
- Millerton Kp 6.8
- Milton Kp 6.6
- Milton Kp 6.8
- Mineola Kp 7
- Minetto Kp 6.5
- Mineville Kp 6.3
- Minoa Kp 6.5
- Mohawk Kp 6.6
- Monroe Kp 6.9
- Monsey Kp 6.9
- Montauk Kp 7
- Montebello Kp 6.9
- Montgomery Kp 6.9
- Monticello Kp 6.8
- Montour Falls Kp 6.7
- Montrose Kp 6.9
- Moravia Kp 6.6
- Moriches Kp 7
- Morningside Heights Kp 7
- Morris Kp 6.7
- Morris Heights Kp 7
- Morris Park Kp 7
- Morrisania Kp 7
- Morrisonville Kp 6.2
- Morrisville Kp 6.6
- Mott Haven Kp 7
- Mount Ivy Kp 6.9
- Mount Kisco Kp 6.9
- Mount Morris Kp 6.6
- Mount Sinai Kp 7
- Mount Vernon Kp 7
- Mountain Lodge Park Kp 6.9
- Munsey Park Kp 7
- Munsons Corners Kp 6.6
- Muttontown Kp 7
- Myers Corner Kp 6.8
N
- Nanuet Kp 6.9
- Napanoch Kp 6.8
- Naples Kp 6.6
- Nassau Kp 6.7
- Nedrow Kp 6.6
- Nelliston Kp 6.6
- Nelsonville Kp 6.9
- Neponsit Kp 7
- Nesconset Kp 7
- New Berlin Kp 6.6
- New Brighton Kp 7
- New Cassel Kp 7
- New City Kp 6.9
- New Dorp Kp 7
- New Dorp Beach Kp 7
- New Hartford Kp 6.5
- New Hempstead Kp 6.9
- New Hyde Park Kp 7
- New Paltz Kp 6.8
- New Rochelle Kp 7
- New Springville Kp 7
- New Square Kp 6.9
- New Windsor Kp 6.9
- New York City Kp 7
- New York Mills Kp 6.5
- Newark Kp 6.6
- Newark Valley Kp 6.7
- Newburgh Kp 6.9
- Newfane Kp 6.5
- Newfield Hamlet Kp 6.7
- Newport Kp 6.5
- Niagara Falls Kp 6.6
- Niskayuna Kp 6.6
- Nissequogue Kp 7
- Niverville Kp 6.7
- Norfolk Kp 6.2
- North Amityville Kp 7
- North Babylon Kp 7
- North Ballston Spa Kp 6.6
- North Bay Shore Kp 7
- North Bellmore Kp 7
- North Bellport Kp 7
- North Boston Kp 6.6
- North Castle Kp 6.9
- North Collins Kp 6.7
- North Creek Kp 6.4
- North Elba Kp 6.3
- North Gates Kp 6.5
- North Great River Kp 7
- North Haven Kp 7
- North Hills Kp 7
- North Hornell Kp 6.7
- North Lindenhurst Kp 7
- North Lynbrook Kp 7
- North Massapequa Kp 7
- North Merrick Kp 7
- North New Hyde Park Kp 7
- North Patchogue Kp 7
- North Rose Kp 6.5
- North Sea Kp 7
- North Syracuse Kp 6.5
- North Tonawanda Kp 6.6
- North Valley Stream Kp 7
- North Wantagh Kp 7
- Northampton Kp 7
- Northeast Ithaca Kp 6.7
- Northport Kp 7
- Northumberland Kp 6.5
- Northville Kp 6.5
- Northville Kp 7
- Northwest Harbor Kp 7
- Northwest Ithaca Kp 6.7
- Norwich Kp 6.7
- Norwood Kp 6.2
- Noyack Kp 7
- Nunda Kp 6.7
- Nyack Kp 6.9
O
- Oakdale Kp 6.7
- Oakdale Kp 7
- Oakfield Kp 6.6
- Oakwood Kp 7
- Oceanside Kp 7
- Odessa Kp 6.7
- Ogdensburg Kp 6.2
- Olcott Kp 6.5
- Old Bethpage Kp 7
- Old Brookville Kp 7
- Old Field Kp 7
- Old Forge Kp 6.4
- Old Westbury Kp 7
- Olean Kp 6.8
- Oneida Kp 6.5
- Oneida Castle Kp 6.5
- Oneonta Kp 6.7
- Ontario Kp 6.5
- Orange Lake Kp 6.9
- Orangeburg Kp 7
- Orchard Park Kp 6.6
- Orient Kp 6.9
- Oriskany Kp 6.5
- Oriskany Falls Kp 6.6
- Ossining Kp 6.9
- Oswego Kp 6.5
- Otego Kp 6.7
- Otisville Kp 6.9
- Ovid Kp 6.6
- Owego Kp 6.7
- Oxford Kp 6.7
- Oyster Bay Kp 7
- Oyster Bay Cove Kp 7
- Ozone Park Kp 7
P
- Painted Post Kp 6.7
- Palatine Bridge Kp 6.6
- Palenville Kp 6.7
- Palmyra Kp 6.6
- Parishville Kp 6.2
- Park Slope Kp 7
- Parkchester Kp 7
- Patchogue Kp 7
- Paul Smiths Kp 6.3
- Pavilion Kp 6.6
- Pawling Kp 6.8
- Peach Lake Kp 6.9
- Pearl River Kp 6.9
- Peconic Kp 7
- Peekskill Kp 6.9
- Pelham Kp 7
- Pelham Manor Kp 7
- Penn Yan Kp 6.6
- Perry Kp 6.6
- Perth Kp 6.6
- Peru Kp 6.2
- Peru Kp 6.5
- Phelps Kp 6.6
- Philadelphia Kp 6.3
- Philmont Kp 6.7
- Phoenix Kp 6.5
- Piermont Kp 7
- Pine Bush Kp 6.8
- Pine Plains Kp 6.8
- Pine Valley Kp 6.7
- Pittsford Kp 6.5
- Plainedge Kp 7
- Plainview Kp 7
- Plandome Kp 7
- Plandome Heights Kp 7
- Plandome Manor Kp 7
- Plattekill Kp 6.8
- Plattsburgh Kp 6.2
- Plattsburgh West Kp 6.2
- Pleasant Plains Kp 7.1
- Pleasant Valley Kp 6.8
- Pleasantville Kp 6.9
- Poestenkill Kp 6.6
- Point Lookout Kp 7
- Poland Kp 6.5
- Pomona Kp 6.9
- Poquott Kp 7
- Port Byron Kp 6.6
- Port Chester Kp 7
- Port Dickinson Kp 6.7
- Port Ewen Kp 6.8
- Port Henry Kp 6.4
- Port Jefferson Kp 7
- Port Jefferson Station Kp 7
- Port Jervis Kp 6.9
- Port Leyden Kp 6.4
- Port Morris Kp 7
- Port Richmond Kp 7
- Port Washington Kp 7
- Port Washington North Kp 7
- Portland Kp 6.7
- Portville Kp 6.8
- Potsdam Kp 6.2
- Poughkeepsie Kp 6.8
- Pound Ridge Kp 6.9
- Prattsburgh Kp 6.7
- Pulaski Kp 6.5
- Pultneyville Kp 6.5
- Purchase Kp 7
- Putnam Lake Kp 6.9
Q
- Queens Kp 7
- Queens Village Kp 7
- Queensbury Kp 6.5
- Quiogue Kp 7
- Quogue Kp 7
R
- Randolph Kp 6.7
- Ransomville Kp 6.5
- Rapids Kp 6.6
- Ravena Kp 6.7
- Red Creek Kp 6.5
- Red Hook Kp 6.8
- Red Oaks Mill Kp 6.8
- Redfield Kp 6.5
- Redwood Kp 6.3
- Rego Park Kp 7
- Remsenburg-Speonk Kp 7
- Rensselaer Kp 6.6
- Rhinebeck Kp 6.8
- Richfield Springs Kp 6.6
- Richland Kp 6.4
- Richmond Hill Kp 7
- Richmondville Kp 6.6
- Ridge Kp 7
- Ridgewood Kp 7
- Ripley Kp 6.7
- Riverdale Kp 7
- Riverhead Kp 7
- Riverside Kp 7
- Rochester Kp 6.5
- Rock Hill Kp 6.8
- Rockaway Point Kp 7
- Rockville Centre Kp 7
- Rocky Point Kp 7
- Roessleville Kp 6.6
- Rome Kp 6.5
- Ronkonkoma Kp 7
- Roosevelt Kp 7
- Roosevelt Island Kp 7
- Roscoe Kp 6.8
- Rosebank Kp 7
- Rosedale Kp 7
- Rosendale Village Kp 6.8
- Roslyn Kp 7
- Roslyn Estates Kp 7
- Roslyn Harbor Kp 7
- Roslyn Heights Kp 7
- Rossville Kp 7.1
- Rotterdam Kp 6.6
- Round Lake Kp 6.6
- Rouses Point Kp 6.2
- Rush Kp 6.6
- Rushville Kp 6.6
- Russell Gardens Kp 7
- Rye Kp 7
- Rye Brook Kp 7
S
- Sackets Harbor Kp 6.4
- Saddle Rock Kp 7
- Sag Harbor Kp 7
- Saint Bonaventure Kp 6.8
- Saint James Kp 7
- Saint Johnsville Kp 6.6
- Salamanca Kp 6.7
- Salem Kp 6.5
- Salisbury Kp 7
- Salisbury Mills Kp 6.9
- Sanborn Kp 6.5
- Sand Ridge Kp 6.5
- Sands Point Kp 7
- Sandy Creek Kp 6.4
- Saranac Lake Kp 6.3
- Saratoga Springs Kp 6.5
- Saugerties Kp 6.7
- Saugerties South Kp 6.7
- Savannah Kp 6.6
- Savona Kp 6.7
- Sayville Kp 7
- Scarsdale Kp 7
- Schaghticoke Kp 6.6
- Schenectady Kp 6.6
- Schenevus Kp 6.7
- Schoharie Kp 6.6
- Schroon Lake Kp 6.4
- Schuylerville Kp 6.5
- Scio Kp 6.7
- Scotchtown Kp 6.9
- Scotia Kp 6.6
- Scotts Corners Kp 6.9
- Scottsville Kp 6.6
- Sea Cliff Kp 7
- Seaford Kp 7
- Searingtown Kp 7
- Seaside Kp 7
- Selden Kp 7
- Seneca Falls Kp 6.6
- Seneca Knolls Kp 6.5
- Setauket-East Setauket Kp 7
- Sharon Springs Kp 6.6
- Sheepshead Bay Kp 7
- Shelter Island Kp 6.9
- Shelter Island Heights Kp 6.9
- Shenorock Kp 6.9
- Sherburne Kp 6.6
- Sherman Kp 6.7
- Sherrill Kp 6.5
- Shinnecock Hills Kp 7
- Shirley Kp 7
- Shokan Kp 6.8
- Shoreham Kp 7
- Shortsville Kp 6.6
- Shrub Oak Kp 6.9
- Sidney Kp 6.7
- Silver Creek Kp 6.7
- Silver Springs Kp 6.6
- Sinclairville Kp 6.7
- Skaneateles Kp 6.6
- Sleepy Hollow Kp 6.9
- Sloan Kp 6.6
- Sloatsburg Kp 6.9
- Smallwood Kp 6.8
- Smithtown Kp 7
- Sodus Kp 6.5
- Sodus Point Kp 6.5
- Solvay Kp 6.6
- Sound Beach Kp 7
- South Beach Kp 7
- South Blooming Grove Kp 6.9
- South Corning Kp 6.7
- South Dayton Kp 6.7
- South Fallsburg Kp 6.8
- South Farmingdale Kp 7
- South Floral Park Kp 7
- South Glens Falls Kp 6.5
- South Hempstead Kp 7
- South Hill Kp 6.7
- South Huntington Kp 7
- South Lockport Kp 6.5
- South Nyack Kp 6.9
- South Ozone Park Kp 7
- South Valley Stream Kp 7
- Southampton Kp 7
- Southold Kp 6.9
- Southport Kp 6.8
- Spackenkill Kp 6.8
- Sparkill Kp 7
- Sparrow Bush Kp 6.9
- Spencer Kp 6.7
- Spencerport Kp 6.5
- Spring Valley Kp 6.9
- Springfield Kp 6.6
- Springfield Gardens Kp 7
- Springs Kp 7
- Springville Kp 6.7
- Springwater Hamlet Kp 6.6
- Spuyten Duyvil Kp 7
- Stamford Kp 6.7
- Stannards Kp 6.8
- Stapleton Kp 7
- Star Lake Kp 6.3
- Staten Island Kp 7
- Steinway Kp 7
- Stewart Manor Kp 7
- Stillwater Kp 6.6
- Stone Ridge Kp 6.8
- Stony Brook Kp 7
- Stony Point Kp 6.9
- Stottville Kp 6.7
- Strykersville Kp 6.6
- Suffern Kp 6.9
- Sunnyside Kp 7
- Sunset Bay Kp 6.7
- Sunset Park Kp 7
- Sylvan Beach Kp 6.5
- Sylvan Beach Kp 6.7
- Syosset Kp 7
- Syracuse Kp 6.6
T
- Tannersville Kp 6.7
- Tappan Kp 7
- Tarrytown Kp 6.9
- Terrace Heights Kp 7
- Terryville Kp 7
- The Bronx Kp 7
- Theresa Kp 6.3
- Thiells Kp 6.9
- Thomaston Kp 7
- Thornwood Kp 6.9
- Throgs Neck Kp 7
- Ticonderoga Kp 6.4
- Tillson Kp 6.8
- Times Square Kp 7
- Titusville Kp 6.8
- Tivoli Kp 6.7
- Tompkinsville Kp 7
- Tonawanda Kp 6.6
- Town Line Kp 6.6
- Tremont Kp 7
- Tribeca Kp 7
- Tribes Hill Kp 6.6
- Troy Kp 6.6
- Trumansburg Kp 6.7
- Tuckahoe Kp 7
- Tuckahoe Kp 7
- Tully Kp 6.6
- Tupper Lake Kp 6.3
- Tuxedo Park Kp 6.9
U
- Unadilla Kp 6.7
- Union Springs Kp 6.6
- Uniondale Kp 7
- Unionport Kp 7
- Unionville Kp 6.9
- University Gardens Kp 7
- University Heights Kp 7
- Upper Brookville Kp 7
- Upper Nyack Kp 6.9
- Upper West Side Kp 7
- Utica Kp 6.5
V
- Vails Gate Kp 6.9
- Valatie Kp 6.7
- Valhalla Kp 6.9
- Valley Cottage Kp 6.9
- Valley Stream Kp 7
- Van Etten Kp 6.7
- Van Nest Kp 7
- Vernon Kp 6.5
- Verona Kp 6.5
- Verplanck Kp 6.9
- Vestal Kp 6.7
- Victor Kp 6.6
- Victory Kp 6.5
- Victory Mills Kp 6.5
- Village Green Kp 6.5
- Village of the Branch Kp 7
- Viola Kp 6.9
- Volney Kp 6.5
- Voorheesville Kp 6.6
W
- Waddington Kp 6.2
- Wading River Kp 7
- Wainscott Kp 7
- Wakefield Kp 7
- Walden Kp 6.8
- Walker Valley Kp 6.8
- Wallkill Kp 6.8
- Walton Kp 6.7
- Walton Park Kp 6.9
- Wampsville Kp 6.5
- Wanakah Kp 6.6
- Wantagh Kp 7
- Wappingers Falls Kp 6.8
- Warrensburg Kp 6.5
- Warsaw Kp 6.6
- Warwick Kp 6.9
- Washington Heights Kp 6.9
- Washington Heights Kp 7
- Washington Mills Kp 6.6
- Washingtonville Kp 6.9
- Watchtower Kp 6.8
- Water Mill Kp 7
- Waterford Kp 6.6
- Waterloo Kp 6.6
- Watertown Kp 6.4
- Waterville Kp 6.6
- Watervliet Kp 6.6
- Watkins Glen Kp 6.7
- Waverly Kp 6.8
- Wawarsing Kp 6.8
- Wayland Kp 6.7
- Webster Kp 6.5
- Weedsport Kp 6.6
- Wellsburg Kp 6.8
- Wellsville Kp 6.6
- Wellsville Kp 6.7
- Wesley Hills Kp 6.9
- West Albany Kp 6.6
- West Babylon Kp 7
- West Bay Shore Kp 7
- West Carthage Kp 6.4
- West Chazy Kp 6.2
- West Elmira Kp 6.8
- West End Kp 6.7
- West Farms Kp 7
- West Glens Falls Kp 6.5
- West Haverstraw Kp 6.9
- West Hempstead Kp 7
- West Henrietta Kp 6.6
- West Hills Kp 7
- West Hurley Kp 6.8
- West Islip Kp 7
- West Nyack Kp 6.9
- West Point Kp 6.9
- West Sand Lake Kp 6.6
- West Sayville Kp 7
- West Seneca Kp 6.6
- West Valley Kp 6.7
- West Village Kp 7
- West Winfield Kp 6.6
- Westbury Kp 7
- Westerleigh Kp 7
- Westfield Kp 6.7
- Westhampton Kp 7
- Westhampton Beach Kp 7
- Westmere Kp 6.6
- Weston Mills Kp 6.8
- Westons Mills Kp 6.8
- Westport Kp 6.3
- Westvale Kp 6.6
- Wheatley Heights Kp 7
- White Plains Kp 7
- Whitehall Kp 6.4
- Whitesboro Kp 6.5
- Whitestone Kp 7
- Whitney Point Kp 6.7
- Williamsburg Kp 7
- Williamson Kp 6.5
- Williamsville Kp 6.6
- Williston Park Kp 7
- Willowbrook Kp 7
- Willsboro Kp 6.3
- Wilmington Kp 6.3
- Wilson Kp 6.5
- Wilton Kp 6.5
- Windsor Kp 6.7
- Winthrop Kp 6.2
- Wolcott Kp 6.5
- Woodbury Kp 6.9
- Woodbury Kp 7
- Woodhaven Kp 7
- Woodlawn Kp 7
- Woodmere Kp 7
- Woodridge Kp 6.8
- Woodrow Kp 7.1
- Woodsburgh Kp 7
- Woodside Kp 7
- Woodstock Kp 6.8
- Worcester Kp 6.6
- Wurtsboro Kp 6.8
- Wyandanch Kp 7
- Wykagyl Kp 7
- Wynantskill Kp 6.6
Y
- Yaphank Kp 7
- Yonkers Kp 7
- York Hamlet Kp 6.6
- Yorkshire Kp 6.7
- Yorktown Heights Kp 6.9
- Yorkville Kp 6.5
- Youngstown Kp 6.5
Z
- Zena Kp 6.8
How far south each storm level reaches
NOAA’s space weather scales state the geomagnetic latitude each level of geomagnetic storm reaches, and the places its aurora has been seen from. The geographic latitudes are those lines converted with the geomagnetic dipole; the aurora sits low on the northern horizon there, and overhead far poleward of it.
| Storm | Geomagnetic | Central US | Eastern US | Northern Europe | NOAA says the aurora |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G1 MinorKp 5 | 60° | 52°N | 51°N | 61°N | commonly visible at high latitudes: northern Michigan and Maine |
| G2 ModerateKp 6 | 55° | 47°N | 46°N | 56°N | has been seen as low as New York and Idaho |
| G3 StrongKp 7 | 50° | 42°N | 41°N | 51°N | has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon |
| G4 SevereKp 8 | 45° | 37°N | 36°N | 45°N | has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California |
| G5 ExtremeKp 9 | 40° | 32°N | 31°N | 40°N | has been seen as low as Florida and southern Texas |
Source: NOAA space weather scales, swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation. Below Kp 5 the oval contracts more slowly; this section runs the line from 66 degrees geomagnetic at Kp 0 to the scale’s 60 degrees at Kp 5.
Kp by 3-hour block
SWPC’s planetary K index forecast, three days ahead. Kp is a single number for the whole planet, from magnetometers around the world, on a scale of 0 to 9 in thirds.
| Block (UTC) | Kp | Level | Seen from | Central US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Quiet | 65° geomag. | 57°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 2.00 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 55°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 0.67 | Quiet | 65° geomag. | 57°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.33 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N | |
| 1.67 | Quiet | 64° geomag. | 56°N |
The forecast is for the planet, not for your sky. A block at Kp 5 means the field is disturbed enough for the aurora to reach 60 degrees geomagnetic somewhere along the night side; whether you see it depends on being on the night side, on darkness, and on the clouds.
Other states with aurora pages
- Alaska
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- District of Columbia
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- Montana
- Nebraska
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- North Dakota
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Dakota
- Utah
- Vermont
- Virginia
- Washington
- West Virginia
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming
What this means
Each place is placed by its geomagnetic latitude, measured from the geomagnetic dipole pole, and compared with the reach NOAA states for each storm level on its space weather scales: G1 (Kp 5) about 60 degrees geomagnetic, G2 55, G3 50, G4 45, G5 (Kp 9) 40. Reading that backwards gives the Kp a place needs. Below Kp 5 the oval contracts more slowly and the line runs from 66 degrees at Kp 0 to 60 at Kp 5.
The forecasts have different horizons and the pages keep them apart: OVATION is the only thing that knows whether an aurora is out now, and it reaches 30 to 90 minutes ahead; the planetary Kp forecast runs three days; the 27-day outlook names likely active days and is not a forecast of any one night. None of them knows the clouds, which is why a town page reads its own forecast for those.
Sources
From NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center: the OVATION aurora forecast, the planetary K index forecast, the 3-day forecast, the 27-day outlook, its watches, warnings and alerts, and the real-time solar wind. Read Sep 20, 17:00 UTC.