Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 7

January 3, 20234 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 3, 2023, 9:14 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2023, 9:14 AM CST (15:14 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2023, 5:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 111 counties

Autauga County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dallas County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Shelby County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 9:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson23 min
Jan 3, 9:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster63 min
Jan 3, 9:45 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBWayne45 min
Jan 3, 10:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale46 min
Jan 3, 10:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster44 min
Jan 3, 10:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence27 min
Jan 3, 11:15 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXHale, Marengo, Perry31 min
Jan 3, 11:18 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale3 hr
Jan 3, 11:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Cumberland, DeKalb, Putnam, Van Buren, Warren and 1 more43 min
Jan 3, 11:55 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningHUNLawrence, Limestone, Morgan115 min
Jan 3, 12:03 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBibb, Perry42 min
Jan 3, 12:07 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXHale, Marengo, Perry38 min
Jan 3, 12:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Fentress, Overton, Putnam, White29 min
Jan 3, 12:40 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBibb, Chilton25 min
Jan 3, 1:00 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXChilton45 min
Jan 3, 1:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNDeKalb, Jackson24 min
Jan 3, 1:10 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXAutauga38 min
Jan 3, 2:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke, Monroe, Wilcox47 min
Jan 3, 2:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJANAdams48 min
Jan 3, 3:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Monroe, Wilcox42 min
Jan 3, 3:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMonroe, Wilcox46 min
Jan 3, 3:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Helena47 min
Jan 3, 4:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion67 min
Jan 3, 4:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2023-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 352 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2023-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 351 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
352 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
351 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
423 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

880 
WWUS20 KWNS 031512
SEL7  
SPC WW 031512
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-032300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 7
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
915 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western Alabama
  Southeast Louisiana
  Central and Southern Mississippi
  Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 915 AM until
  500 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms extending from parts of Middle
Tennessee southwestward into Mississippi and Louisiana will continue
tracking eastward today across the watch area.  Other isolated
thunderstorms will develop ahead of the line throughout the day. 
Parameters are favorable for a risk of damaging winds and a few
tornadoes in the more intense storms through the afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 75 miles southwest of Mc Comb MS to
50 miles northeast of Huntsville AL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 7:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Marion2 hr
Jan 3, 11:38 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene, Hale and 7 more97 min
Jan 3, 12:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 15 more91 min
Jan 3, 12:56 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay and 13 more7 hr
Jan 3, 2:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Calhoun, Chambers, Chilton, Clarke, Clay and 13 more113 min
Jan 3, 2:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington and 8 more2 hr
Jan 3, 3:20 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCButler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more5 hr
Jan 2, 6:01 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Grant and 11 more89 min
Jan 2, 6:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCEast Carroll, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll9 hr
Jan 2, 8:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, East Carroll, Franklin and 10 more89 min
Jan 2, 8:59 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson and 8 more6 hr
Jan 2, 11:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 14 more118 min
Jan 3, 1:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne, De Soto, East Carroll and 15 more114 min
Jan 3, 2:56 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, East Carroll and 10 more8 hr
Jan 3, 5:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCConcordia, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, Washington, West Feliciana9 hr
Jan 2, 10:11 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoahoma, DeSoto, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tate and 1 more5 hr
Jan 2, 7:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDyer, Lake, Obion, Weakley96 min
Jan 3, 2:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, Dickson, Henry and 14 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2023Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.