Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 3
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 2, 2023, 6:29 PM CST for 8 counties in Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; Bolivar County, Washington County, Mississippi. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 2, 2023, 6:29 PM CST (00:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 3, 2023, 3:00 AM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Washington County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 173 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 6:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 63 min |
| Jan 2, 7:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 42 min |
| Jan 2, 7:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 58 min |
| Jan 2, 7:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 28 min |
| Jan 2, 7:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 4 hr |
| Jan 2, 8:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 50 min |
| Jan 2, 9:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln | 50 min |
| Jan 2, 9:39 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 36 min |
| Jan 2, 9:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 48 min |
| Jan 2, 9:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln | 34 min |
| Jan 2, 10:12 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln | 7 hr |
| Jan 2, 10:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Monroe | 37 min |
| Jan 2, 10:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 51 min |
| Jan 2, 10:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 46 min |
| Jan 2, 10:36 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Desha | 12 min |
| Jan 2, 10:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe | 23 min |
| Jan 2, 10:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln and 2 more | 48 min |
| Jan 2, 10:59 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita | 3 hr |
| Jan 2, 11:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe | 37 min |
| Jan 3, 12:09 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe | 5 hr |
| Jan 3, 12:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln | 44 min |
| Jan 3, 1:52 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita | 5 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1091 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 716 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 3.5
The text
As transmitted.
058 WWUS20 KWNS 030023 SEL3 SPC WW 030023 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-030900- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 625 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Northeast Louisiana A small part of west central Mississippi * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 625 PM until 300 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms with embedded supercell/bow structures will likely persist while spreading northeastward within the warm sector through much of the overnight hours. A strong tornado or two will be possible with the most intense storms, along with damaging gusts and isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter. Additional storms could spread into this watch area from the west during the early morning hours. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Greenville MS to 25 miles southeast of Monroe LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 21040. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 6:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 23 more | 89 min |
| Jan 2, 7:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Greene | 96 min |
| Jan 2, 8:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha and 5 more | 89 min |
| Jan 2, 8:59 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 2, 10:11 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, St. Francis | 5 hr |
| Jan 2, 11:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 15 more | 118 min |
| Jan 3, 1:36 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips and 1 more | 114 min |
| Jan 3, 2:56 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips, Union | 8 hr |
| Jan 3, 7:56 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Evangeline and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 3, 9:14 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 6 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 3, 5:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Concordia, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, Washington, West Feliciana | 9 hr |
| Jan 3, 11:38 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Jones, Wayne | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.