Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 5

January 2, 20235 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Mississippi; 10 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 2, 2023, 10:11 PM CST for 5 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Mississippi; 10 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2023, 10:11 PM CST (04:11 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2023, 2:59 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 10:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips40 min
Jan 2, 10:41 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGPhillips19 min
Jan 3, 1:16 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis8 hr
Jan 3, 2:56 AM CSTTornado WarningMEGGibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2023-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 858 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2023-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 374 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
858 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
623 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
374 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
10.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 6:01 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 23 more89 min
Jan 2, 6:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 2 more9 hr
Jan 2, 7:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreene96 min
Jan 2, 8:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha and 5 more89 min
Jan 2, 8:59 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 12 more6 hr
Jan 2, 11:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 15 more118 min
Jan 3, 1:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips and 1 more114 min
Jan 3, 2:56 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips, Union8 hr
Jan 3, 7:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alcorn, Attala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 31 more2 hr
Jan 3, 9:14 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clarke and 37 more8 hr
Jan 3, 11:38 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, Jones, Wayne97 min
Jan 3, 5:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clarke and 38 more9 hr
Jan 3, 2:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, Dickson, Henry and 14 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2023Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.