Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 6

January 3, 20235 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 3, 2023, 2:56 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 3, 2023, 2:56 AM CST (08:56 UTC)
Expired: Jan 3, 2023, 11:00 AM CST
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 115 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Union County, AR, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Butler County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, Marion County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 50%

Warnings issued inside it

74 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 3, 2:56 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley	34 min
Jan 3, 3:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Caddo, De Soto	50 min
Jan 3, 3:11 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Anderson, Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Marion, Nelson and 1 more	7 hr
Jan 3, 3:13 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Calloway, Marshall, Trigg	6 hr
Jan 3, 3:15 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian	30 min
Jan 3, 3:17 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue, Nelson	28 min
Jan 3, 3:25 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian, Hopkins	11 min
Jan 3, 3:28 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	DeSoto, Tunica	6 hr
Jan 3, 3:29 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg, Todd, Trigg	6 hr
Jan 3, 3:33 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian, Muhlenberg, Todd	27 min
Jan 3, 3:44 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Benton, Carroll, Henry	46 min
Jan 3, 3:52 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bossier, Caddo, De Soto	38 min
Jan 3, 3:53 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	16 min
Jan 3, 3:55 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Lee, Phillips, St. Francis	35 min
Jan 3, 3:56 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Carroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley	5 hr
Jan 3, 4:01 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Crockett, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale, Madison and 1 more	5 hr
Jan 3, 4:04 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Houston, Montgomery, Stewart	41 min
Jan 3, 4:12 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Trigg	48 min
Jan 3, 4:21 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Grayson, Hardin, Meade, Ohio	6 hr
Jan 3, 4:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Grayson, Ohio	34 min
Jan 3, 4:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Todd	25 min
Jan 3, 5:00 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Desha, Drew and 4 more	3 hr
Jan 3, 5:02 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Hardin, Nelson, Spencer	6 hr
Jan 3, 5:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler, Logan	20 min
Jan 3, 5:23 AM CST	Tornado Warning	LMK	Butler, Logan, Warren	37 min
Jan 3, 5:32 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	DeSoto	43 min
Jan 3, 5:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Todd	17 min
Jan 3, 5:41 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Christian, Todd	3 hr
Jan 3, 5:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Benton, DeSoto, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tate and 1 more	48 min
Jan 3, 5:44 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Hardin	5 hr
Jan 3, 5:50 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	DeSoto	25 min
Jan 3, 5:52 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Barren, Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Hardin, Hart and 1 more	38 min
Jan 3, 5:55 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Union	10 min
Jan 3, 6:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Morehouse	29 min
Jan 3, 6:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar	67 min
Jan 3, 6:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Robertson	19 min
Jan 3, 6:09 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	DeSoto, Marshall	21 min
Jan 3, 6:24 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Ashley	51 min
Jan 3, 6:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Benton, Marshall, Tippah	18 min
Jan 3, 6:34 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green, Hardin, Hart, Larue, Nelson, Taylor	26 min
Jan 3, 6:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Chester, Hardeman, Madison	13 min
Jan 3, 6:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Simpson, Warren	33 min
Jan 3, 6:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower	48 min
Jan 3, 6:45 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MEG	Coahoma, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie	30 min
Jan 3, 6:56 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Ashley, Chicot	3 hr
Jan 3, 6:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Ashley	49 min
Jan 3, 7:09 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	36 min
Jan 3, 7:13 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Chicot	18 min
Jan 3, 7:18 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll, West Carroll	42 min
Jan 3, 7:21 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Desha	99 min
Jan 3, 7:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison	53 min
Jan 3, 7:23 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie	37 min
Jan 3, 7:26 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	Phillips	3 hr
Jan 3, 7:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	63 min
Jan 3, 7:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	LMK	Barren, Metcalfe	33 min
Jan 3, 7:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Barren, Monroe	31 min
Jan 3, 7:29 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	22 min
Jan 3, 7:34 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	32 min
Jan 3, 7:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Sharkey	57 min
Jan 3, 7:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Calhoun, Lafayette, Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha	49 min
Jan 3, 8:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Pontotoc, Tippah, Union	38 min
Jan 3, 8:30 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Lafayette, Marshall, Union	30 min
Jan 3, 8:35 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Butler, Grayson, Hardin, Ohio	3 hr
Jan 3, 8:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union, Yalobusha	50 min
Jan 3, 9:00 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Alcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more	45 min
Jan 3, 9:01 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Alcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more	44 min
Jan 3, 9:02 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair, Clinton, Cumberland, Russell	28 min
Jan 3, 9:17 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery	58 min
Jan 3, 9:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Union	47 min
Jan 3, 9:37 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Alcorn, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo, Union	38 min
Jan 3, 9:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster	63 min
Jan 3, 9:59 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo	38 min
Jan 3, 10:21 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Tishomingo	11 min
Jan 3, 10:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster	44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 858 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 623 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 374 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 381 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.8
Supercell composite: 10.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 2, 6:01 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 23 more	89 min
Jan 2, 6:29 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 2 more	9 hr
Jan 2, 7:09 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Greene	96 min
Jan 2, 8:31 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha and 5 more	89 min
Jan 2, 8:59 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 12 more	6 hr
Jan 2, 10:11 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Crittenden, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, St. Francis	5 hr
Jan 2, 11:17 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 15 more	118 min
Jan 3, 1:36 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips and 1 more	114 min
Jan 3, 2:08 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Adair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway and 24 more	3 hr
Jan 3, 7:56 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Evangeline and 8 more	2 hr
Jan 3, 9:14 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Ascension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 6 more	8 hr
Jan 3, 5:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Concordia, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, Washington, West Feliciana	9 hr
Jan 3, 11:38 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clarke, Jones, Wayne	97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023 Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2023 Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2023 Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.