Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 21, NWS Jackson, MS

January 3, 2023Catahoula Parish, Concordia Parish, Louisiana; Adams County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 3, 2023, 2:51 PM CST for Catahoula Parish, Concordia Parish, Louisiana; Adams County, Mississippi. It was in force for 48 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 3, 2023, 2:51 PM CST (20:51 UTC)
Expired: Jan 3, 2023, 3:39 PM CST
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Damage threat: Considerable
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, Adams County, MS

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 3, 2:58 PM CST	HAIL 1	1 Sse Larto, LA	DIME TO QUARTER HAIL.
Jan 3, 3:15 PM CST	HAIL 1	3 Sw Monterey, LA	OCCURRED NEAR MONTEREY, REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 3, 9:14 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1642 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 616 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 250 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 266 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.0
Supercell composite: 13.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

456 
WUUS54 KJAN 032051
SVRJAN
LAC025-029-MSC001-032200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0021.230103T2051Z-230103T2200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
251 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Concordia Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Southern Catahoula Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Northwestern Adams County in southwestern Mississippi...

* Until 400 PM CST.

* At 250 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Larto, moving
  northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Larto around 255 PM CST.
  New Era around 300 PM CST.
  Mayna around 305 PM CST.
  Monterey around 320 PM CST.
  Deer Park and Frogmore around 330 PM CST.
  Ferriday around 340 PM CST.
  West Ferriday around 345 PM CST.
  Natchez around 350 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3145 9201 3176 9162 3147 9139 3127 9186
      3129 9189 3130 9193 3127 9195 3124 9193
      3123 9195 3124 9196 3123 9197 3123 9199
      3124 9201 3125 9199 3126 9201 3127 9199
      3128 9201 3130 9201 3130 9200 3133 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 238DEG 29KT 3135 9194 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AJ

4 follow-up statements

080 
WWUS54 KJAN 032101
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
301 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAC025-029-MSC001-032200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-230103T2200Z/
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-Adams MS-
301 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR NORTHERN CONCORDIA...SOUTHERN CATAHOULA PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

At 301 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mayna, or over
Larto, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Monterey around 320 PM CST.
  Deer Park around 330 PM CST.
  Frogmore around 335 PM CST.
  Ferriday and West Ferriday around 345 PM CST.
  Natchez around 355 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3145 9201 3176 9162 3147 9139 3129 9186
      3129 9188 3131 9193 3133 9196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 237DEG 28KT 3139 9186 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AJ

668 
WWUS54 KJAN 032113
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
313 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAC025-029-MSC001-032200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-230103T2200Z/
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-Adams MS-
313 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR NORTHERN CONCORDIA...CENTRAL CATAHOULA PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

At 313 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Monterey,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Deer Park around 325 PM CST.
  Frogmore around 330 PM CST.
  Ferriday and West Ferriday around 340 PM CST.
  Natchez around 350 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 9188 3151 9193 3176 9162 3147 9139
      3132 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 237DEG 30KT 3145 9174 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AJ

530 
WWUS54 KJAN 032130
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
330 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAC025-032138-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-230103T2200Z/
Catahoula LA-
330 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CATAHOULA PARISH IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3173 9164 3175 9161 3147 9139 3139 9170
      3144 9173 3145 9172 3146 9173 3147 9175
      3152 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 238DEG 29KT 3151 9162 

$$

LAC029-MSC001-032200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-230103T2200Z/
Concordia LA-Adams MS-
330 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR NORTHERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL
ADAMS COUNTIES...

At 328 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Frogmore, or 7
miles northeast of Monterey, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated. Dime to quarter size hail was reported 
         east of Lake Larto.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Ferriday and West Ferriday around 340 PM CST.
  Natchez around 350 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9164 3175 9161 3147 9139 3139 9170
      3144 9173 3145 9172 3146 9173 3147 9175
      3152 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 238DEG 29KT 3151 9162 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AJ

128 
WWUS54 KJAN 032139
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
339 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAC029-MSC001-032149-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-230103T2200Z/
Concordia LA-Adams MS-
339 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL ADAMS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3173 9164 3175 9161 3147 9139 3139 9170
      3144 9173 3145 9172 3146 9173 3147 9175
      3152 9178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 238DEG 29KT 3156 9153 

$$

AJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 3, 12:13 PM CST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 12:13 PM CST, 2 hours 38 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1213 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...New AVIATION...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 1053 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

Showers and thunderstorms are going to be the primary concern for
the remainder of the period as the system continues to track east
across our forecast region. Giving this ongoing system, we have
continued to advertise a "Slight" risk for severe weather across
most of the area for today. Areas located around the Pine Belt are
currently in a "Enhanced" threat for severe storms. Damaging wind
gusts up to 60 mph, large hail up to golf ball size, and a few
possible tornadoes are going to be the main concerns with this
storms.

Along with the threat for severe weather, some of these rain showers
could produce locally heavy rainfall at times especially for areas
across the Pine Belt. Because of this, we have continued to
advertise a "Elevated" threat for flash flooding for this area. The
rain has diminished somewhat as the system continues to track to the
east. For this reason, we have decided to allow for the Flash Flood
watch to expire for most of the Delta this morning. Overcast
conditions should help limit afternoon temperatures into the mid to
upper 70s. /CRJ/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 213 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

Today through Tonight:

With only relatively minor adjustments needed to the current
forecast, the focus today remains on the threat for severe
thunderstorms, heavy rain and flash flooding, and gusty gradient
winds in advance of severe storms. The Hazardous Weather Outlook
text and graphics have been updated based on current conditions and
expected evolution of this storm system today.

The current environment across the region remains supportive of a
severe weather threat. A low pressure system is lifting northeast
through the Midwest today, with a broad warm sector extending across
the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys. A Pacific cold front
crossed the Rocky Mountains yesterday and overtook a dryline in East
Texas, where there is a sharp 20 to 30-degree dewpoint difference
across this feature early this morning. A narrow line of showers and
thunderstorms has continued along it overnight. Across northern LA
and southern AR into the central Mississippi River Valley, ascent
and instability are supporting thunderstorm clusters and a
few bowing line segments. Mesoanalysis fields show adequate wind
shear through lower and deeper levels for organized severe
thunderstorms in this area, including the potential for tornadoes
with favorably aligned bowing segments. This activity should persist
near our northwestern zones through about mid-morning, with a round
of new development in the warm sector farther south and east during
the day. Some discreet supercells will be possible in addition to
storm clusters, with all modes of severe weather possible. Short-
term guidance is in decent agreement for an axis of training storms
to develop around the Pine Belt of southeast MS later this afternoon
and evening, so an "Elevated" threat for flash flooding and a Flash
Flood Watch were issued for those areas. Training storms could bring
2 to 4 inches or greater of rain over a short period of time. Then
thunderstorm potential and accompanying threats for severe weather
and flash flooding should decrease from west to east through the
evening as the Pacific cold front clears the area. Polar front will
catch up late night into tomorrow to bring more noticeably "cooler"
air. /NF/

Wednesday through next Monday:

The majority of the shower activity will be east and out of East
Central and Southeast Mississippi as day breaks on Wednesday.
Clouds will likewise follow suit, with clearing and quieter
conditions returning areawide through the course of the day. High
pressure will continue to build into the forecast area through
Thursday night, with quiet and cooler conditions expected to
prevail.

This same high pressure will shift east and across the forecast area
Friday. Flow across the area will quickly become more southerly
heading into Saturday.  Over the weekend, another shortwave passing
by to our north will send another cold front southeast into the CWA
Saturday night into Sunday, while eventually stalling across
southern portions of the area into Monday.  While there won't be
much moisture recovery over the CWA, rain chances will increase
across the area during this time as pockets of ascent embedded in
quasi-zonal flow aloft traverse the region. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MVFR/VFR ceilings should prevail across most of the region as the
main bulk of the convection continues to move east out of our CWA
through the TAF period. Winds should remain somewhat southerly with
gusts between 20-25 kts before gusting down to 15 kts by 10Z
Wednesday. A brief period of low to moderate low-level wind shear
will be possible between 21Z-09Z this evening mainly across KHBG and
KMEI. /CRJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       54  69  43  61 /  70   0   0   0
Meridian      58  69  44  62 /  90  10   0   0
Vicksburg     51  69  41  62 /  30   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   60  73  46  66 /  90  10   0   0
Natchez       53  69  43  63 /  40   0   0   0
Greenville    50  62  40  58 /  10   0   0   0
Greenwood     52  64  40  58 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch until 10 PM CST this evening for MSZ063>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

NF/19/CR

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 1:13 PM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-019-034-041915-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Bolivar-Sunflower-
Washington-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ028-029-032-037-042-047-041915-
Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-Attala-Yazoo-Warren-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe storms are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 60
mph and large hail up to golf ball size. A brief tornado or two
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ030-031-033-038-039-043>046-048>062-041915-
Concordia-Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-
Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe storms are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 60
mph and large hail up to golf ball size. A brief tornado or two
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, additional heavy rain
fall in a short amount of time will make localized flash flooding
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ009-016-023-MSZ025>027-035-036-040-041-041915-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-025-041915-
Catahoula-Tensas-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, additional heavy rain
fall in a short amount of time will make localized flash flooding
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ063>065-041915-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe thunderstorms
and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall of several inches in a short amount of
time this afternoon through this evening will likely lead to
areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ066-072>074-041915-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through this evening, severe
thunderstorms are likely. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds to 60 mph and hail up to golf balls. A brief
tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall of several inches in a short amount of
time this afternoon through this evening will likely lead to
areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 3, 12:53 PM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1253 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N MCMILLAN CORNER     33.45N 91.31W
01/03/2023                   CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE AREA.

&&

LCP

Local storm report, Jan 3, 12:56 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1256 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW EUDORA            33.16N 91.28W
01/03/2023                   CHICOT             AR   PUBLIC

            TREES AND POWERLINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN
            THE AREA.

&&

LCP

Local storm report, Jan 3, 1:07 PM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
107 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N MER ROUGE           32.82N 91.80W
01/02/2023                   MOREHOUSE          LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FEW BUILDINGS WITH WIND DAMAGE AND TREES
            WERE REPORTED DOWN.

&&

LCP

Local storm report, Jan 3, 1:54 PM CST, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
154 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1238 PM     FLASH FLOOD      QUITMAN                 32.04N 88.73W
01/03/2023                   CLARKE             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOMES AND BUSINESSES INUNDATED WITH
            FLOODWATERS.

&&

AJ

Local storm report, Jan 3, 2:18 PM CST, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
218 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW CHICKASAW          33.00N 91.38W
01/02/2023                   WEST CARROLL       LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PICTURES WERE SENT IN FROM EM SHOWING DOWN
            TREES AND ALSO A SHED DESTROYED.

&&

LCP

Special weather statement, Jan 3, 2:41 PM CST, 10 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
241 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAZ024-026-032115-
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-
241 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Concordia and southwestern Catahoula Parishes through 315 PM CST...

At 240 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Larto, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Larto and Acme around 250 PM CST.
  New Era and Mayna around 255 PM CST.
  Monterey around 310 PM CST.
  Deer Park around 315 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 9200 3144 9201 3164 9178 3144 9151
      3137 9151 3143 9154 3142 9157 3141 9158
      3138 9155 3135 9155 3132 9151 3129 9151
      3125 9181 3130 9193 3127 9195 3123 9192
      3124 9196 3123 9199 3127 9199 3128 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 240DEG 32KT 3132 9197

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 2, 6:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Morehouse	64 min
Jan 2, 6:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Morehouse	63 min
Jan 2, 7:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Morehouse	58 min
Jan 2, 7:46 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Morehouse	4 hr
Jan 2, 8:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Morehouse, West Carroll	50 min
Jan 2, 9:12 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Morehouse	63 min
Jan 3, 6:05 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Morehouse	29 min
Jan 3, 6:56 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Morehouse	3 hr
Jan 3, 6:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Morehouse	49 min
Jan 3, 7:18 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	East Carroll, West Carroll	42 min
Jan 3, 7:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison	53 min
Jan 3, 7:33 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Catahoula, Concordia	42 min
Jan 3, 10:06 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Concordia	24 min
Jan 3, 10:29 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Concordia	31 min
Jan 3, 2:41 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Concordia	34 min
Jan 3, 4:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Concordia	63 min
Jan 3, 4:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Concordia	63 min
Jan 2, 10:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar	51 min
Jan 3, 6:00 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Bolivar	30 min
Jan 3, 6:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar	67 min
Jan 3, 6:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	JAN	Bolivar, Sunflower	48 min
Jan 3, 7:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	63 min
Jan 3, 7:29 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	22 min
Jan 3, 7:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Sharkey	57 min
Jan 3, 8:52 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Jefferson	54 min
Jan 3, 8:55 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Yazoo	35 min
Jan 3, 9:04 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Holmes	26 min
Jan 3, 9:17 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery	58 min
Jan 3, 9:36 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson	23 min
Jan 3, 9:42 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster	63 min
Jan 3, 9:44 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lincoln	31 min
Jan 3, 10:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster	44 min
Jan 3, 11:18 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Lauderdale	3 hr
Jan 3, 3:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Marion	35 min
Jan 3, 3:43 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Adams	47 min
Jan 3, 4:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jefferson	56 min
Jan 3, 4:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Marion	33 min
Jan 3, 4:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion	67 min
Jan 3, 5:25 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Rankin	65 min
Jan 3, 5:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	53 min
Jan 3, 5:35 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Leake	55 min
Jan 3, 5:43 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jefferson	62 min
Jan 3, 5:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Marion	47 min
Jan 3, 5:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Rankin	35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2023 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.