Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Jackson, MS

January 3, 2023Clarke County, Jasper County, Lauderdale County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Jan 3, 2023, 11:18 AM CST for Clarke County, Jasper County, Lauderdale County, Mississippi. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2023, 11:18 AM CST (17:18 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2023, 2:30 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Clarke County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 3, 12:00 PM CSTFLASH FLOOD2 Nnw De Soto, MSFLASH FLOODING REPORTED IN CLARKE COUNTY, MAINLY IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL PARTS OF THE COUNTY.
Jan 3, 12:38 PM CSTFLASH FLOODQuitman, MSHOMES AND BUSINESSES INUNDATED WITH FLOODWATERS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 42 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2023-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 352 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2023-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 351 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
352 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
351 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
423 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

716 
WGUS54 KJAN 031718
FFWJAN
MSC023-061-075-032030-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0003.230103T1718Z-230103T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1118 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Clarke County in east central Mississippi...
  Jasper County in east central Mississippi...
  Southern Lauderdale County in east central Mississippi...

* Until 230 PM CST.

* At 1118 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. The expected rainfall rate is 2 
  inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Quitman, Stringer, Bay Springs, Stonewall, Heidelberg, Orange, 
  Barnett, Goodwater, Rose Hill, De Soto, Stafford Springs, 
  Paulding, Sable, Savoy, Middleton, Sykes, Zero, Vernon, Increase 
  and Turnerville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8932 3208 8923 3222 8897 3222 8891
      3224 8891 3242 8841 3210 8845 3184 8878
      3180 8932

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

CME
1 follow-up statement
052 
WGUS74 KJAN 031835
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1235 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSC023-061-075-032030-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230103T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Clarke MS-Jasper MS-Lauderdale MS-
1235 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CST THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR CLARKE, JASPER AND SOUTHERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...

At 1235 PM CST, Emergency Manager reported flash flooding in central 
portions of the county and around Quitman. Between 3 and 4 inches of 
rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Quitman, Stringer, Bay Springs, Stonewall, Heidelberg, Orange, 
  Barnett, Goodwater, Rose Hill, De Soto, Stafford Springs, 
  Paulding, Sable, Savoy, Middleton, Sykes, Zero, Vernon, Increase 
  and Turnerville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8932 3208 8923 3222 8897 3222 8891
      3224 8891 3242 8841 3210 8845 3184 8878
      3180 8932

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 3, 10:59 AM CST, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 10:59 AM CST, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1059 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 1053 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

Showers and thunderstorms are going to be the primary concern for
the remainder of the period as the system continues to track east
across our forecast region. Giving this ongoing system, we have
continued to advertise a "Slight" risk for severe weather across
most of the area for today. Areas located around the Pine Belt are
currently in a "Enhanced" threat for severe storms. Damaging wind
gusts up to 60 mph, large hail up to golf ball size, and a few
possible tornadoes are going to be the main concerns with this
storms.

Along with the threat for severe weather, some of these rain showers
could produce locally heavy rainfall at times especially for areas
across the Pine Belt. Because of this, we have continued to
advertise a "Elevated" threat for flash flooding for this area. The
rain has diminished somewhat as the system continues to track to the
east. For this reason, we have decided to allow for the Flash Flood
watch to expire for most of the Delta this morning. Overcast
conditions should help limit afternoon temperatures into the mid to
upper 70s. /CRJ/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 213 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

Today through Tonight:

With only relatively minor adjustments needed to the current
forecast, the focus today remains on the threat for severe
thunderstorms, heavy rain and flash flooding, and gusty gradient
winds in advance of severe storms. The Hazardous Weather Outlook
text and graphics have been updated based on current conditions and
expected evolution of this storm system today.

The current environment across the region remains supportive of a
severe weather threat. A low pressure system is lifting northeast
through the Midwest today, with a broad warm sector extending across
the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys. A Pacific cold front
crossed the Rocky Mountains yesterday and overtook a dryline in East
Texas, where there is a sharp 20 to 30-degree dewpoint difference
across this feature early this morning. A narrow line of showers and
thunderstorms has continued along it overnight. Across northern LA
and southern AR into the central Mississippi River Valley, ascent
and instability are supporting thunderstorm clusters and a
few bowing line segments. Mesoanalysis fields show adequate wind
shear through lower and deeper levels for organized severe
thunderstorms in this area, including the potential for tornadoes
with favorably aligned bowing segments. This activity should persist
near our northwestern zones through about mid-morning, with a round
of new development in the warm sector farther south and east during
the day. Some discreet supercells will be possible in addition to
storm clusters, with all modes of severe weather possible. Short-
term guidance is in decent agreement for an axis of training storms
to develop around the Pine Belt of southeast MS later this afternoon
and evening, so an "Elevated" threat for flash flooding and a Flash
Flood Watch were issued for those areas. Training storms could bring
2 to 4 inches or greater of rain over a short period of time. Then
thunderstorm potential and accompanying threats for severe weather
and flash flooding should decrease from west to east through the
evening as the Pacific cold front clears the area. Polar front will
catch up late night into tomorrow to bring more noticeably "cooler"
air. /NF/

Wednesday through next Monday:

The majority of the shower activity will be east and out of East
Central and Southeast Mississippi as day breaks on Wednesday.
Clouds will likewise follow suit, with clearing and quieter
conditions returning areawide through the course of the day. High
pressure will continue to build into the forecast area through
Thursday night, with quiet and cooler conditions expected to
prevail.

This same high pressure will shift east and across the forecast area
Friday. Flow across the area will quickly become more southerly
heading into Saturday.  Over the weekend, another shortwave passing
by to our north will send another cold front southeast into the CWA
Saturday night into Sunday, while eventually stalling across
southern portions of the area into Monday.  While there won't be
much moisture recovery over the CWA, rain chances will increase
across the area during this time as pockets of ascent embedded in
quasi-zonal flow aloft traverse the region. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

A broad MVFR stratus deck is streaming across the region with
southerly winds gusting as high as 30-35 kt at times in some area.
A broken line of TSRA extends from near MEM to MLU to LCH. Through
the day, these storms will spread/develop eastward across much of
the area. Some of the storms may be severe with gusts to 50 kt,
tornadoes, and large hail. Outside of the storms, southerly winds
will remain gusty at times through the daytime hours. Ceilings
will generally increase through the day outside of storms,
reaching VFR in many areas. Storms will end from west to east
overnight as a cold front slowly moves across the region. Low
ceilings will redevelop toward Wed morning in most areas along and
east of the MS River, and fog restrictions may develop in parts
of south MS toward daybreak. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       78  54  69  42 /  80  50  10   0
Meridian      76  58  70  44 /  80  80  10   0
Vicksburg     78  51  68  41 /  90  20  10   0
Hattiesburg   76  60  73  45 /  90  80  10   0
Natchez       77  53  69  42 /  90  40  10   0
Greenville    74  50  63  41 /  80  10  10   0
Greenwood     76  52  64  41 /  90  40  10   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch until 10 PM CST this evening for MSZ063>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

NF/19/DL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 2:29 AM CST, 8 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-019-034-040830-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Bolivar-Sunflower-
Washington-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening.
These thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Areas of flash flooding are likely today, and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to strong winds
today, with sustained wind speeds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts
around 30 to 40 mph. High profile vehicles could also be
affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ025>029-032-035>037-041>044-047>049-053-054-
059>061-040830-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Leflore-Grenada-
Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-
Copiah-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to strong winds
today, with sustained wind speeds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts
around 30 to 40 mph. High profile vehicles could also be
affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-045-046-050-051-055-040830-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-
Newton-Simpson-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to strong winds
today, with sustained wind speeds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts
around 30 to 40 mph. High profile vehicles could also be
affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ009-MSZ040-040830-
East Carroll-Issaquena-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 mph, tornadoes,
and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Areas of flash flooding are likely today, and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to strong winds
today, with sustained wind speeds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts
around 30 to 40 mph. High profile vehicles could also be
affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ052-056-062-040830-
Lauderdale-Smith-Lincoln-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Severe thunderstorms are likely through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds up to 70 mph,
tornadoes, and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to strong winds
today, with sustained wind speeds of up to 25 mph and wind gusts
around 30 to 40 mph. High profile vehicles could also be
affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ063>066-072>074-040830-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds up to 70 mph,
tornadoes, and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Areas of flash flooding are likely today, and some roads could be
flooded or closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened
by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ057-058-040830-
Jasper-Clarke-
229 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely through this evening. These
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds up to 70 mph,
tornadoes, and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Localized flash flooding is possible today, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

6

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 3, 6:57 AM CST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
657 AM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW SHELBY             33.93N 90.79W
01/03/2023  M69 MPH          BOLIVAR            MS   MESONET

            MEASURED AT A PRIVATE FARM WEATHER STATION.

&&

DL
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 8:55 AM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
855 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ040>042-047-031530-
Sharkey MS-Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Issaquena MS-
855 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Warren,
western Yazoo, southeastern Issaquena and southeastern Sharkey
Counties through 930 AM CST...

At 855 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Redwood, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Redwood around 900 AM CST.
  Valley Park and Oak Ridge around 905 AM CST.
  Phoenix around 915 AM CST.
  Tinsley and Little Yazoo around 930 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Satartia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 AM CST for northeastern
Louisiana...and central and west central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 9100 3249 9099 3252 9100 3292 9059
      3270 9033 3235 9088 3237 9087 3237 9089
      3236 9090 3243 9097 3244 9097 3245 9099
      3248 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 1455Z 230DEG 50KT 3248 9090

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

22
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 9:04 AM CST, 2 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
904 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ025-027-036-031530-
Carroll MS-Leflore MS-Holmes MS-
904 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Holmes,
southwestern Carroll and southeastern Leflore Counties through 930 AM
CST...

At 904 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tchula, or 10 miles southwest of Black Hawk, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Seven Pines around 915 AM CST.
  Black Hawk around 920 AM CST.
  Coila around 925 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Cruger.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 AM CST for central and
north central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3333 9032 3348 9008 3332 8981 3309 9031
      3311 9033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 236DEG 37KT 3326 9018

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AJ
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 9:44 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
944 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ061-062-031615-
Lincoln MS-Franklin MS-
944 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Lincoln and eastern
Franklin Counties through 1015 AM CST...

At 943 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Center Point, or 13 miles southwest of Brookhaven, moving northeast
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bogue Chitto around 950 AM CST.
  Vaughn around 955 AM CST.
  Enterprise around 1000 AM CST.
  Brookhaven and East Lincoln around 1005 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for central, south
central and southwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 9077 3144 9074 3170 9060 3170 9042
      3169 9041 3169 9038 3170 9038 3170 9028
      3171 9025 3144 9025 3135 9056
TIME...MOT...LOC 1543Z 233DEG 39KT 3143 9058

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AJ
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 10:06 AM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1006 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAZ024-026-MSZ060-031630-
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-Adams MS-
1006 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Concordia,
southwestern Catahoula Parishes in northeastern Louisiana and
southwestern Adams Counties through 1030 AM CST...

At 1006 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Acme, or 7 miles southeast of Larto, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  New Era around 1010 AM CST.
  Slocum around 1020 AM CST.
  Monterey around 1025 AM CST.
  Deer Park around 1030 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 9200 3133 9201 3139 9199 3160 9171
      3136 9132 3131 9143 3132 9147 3130 9147
      3120 9169 3123 9179 3130 9191 3127 9195
      3123 9192 3122 9194 3124 9196 3122 9199
      3124 9200 3125 9199 3127 9199 3128 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1606Z 231DEG 40KT 3128 9184

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AJ
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 10:29 AM CST, 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1029 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

LAZ024-026-MSZ060-031700-
Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-Adams MS-
1029 AM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Concordia,
south central Catahoula Parishes in northeastern Louisiana and
central Adams Counties through 1100 AM CST...

At 1028 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Slocum, or near Monterey, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Deer Park around 1040 AM CST.
  Natchez and Vidalia around 1100 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9163 3140 9117 3137 9126 3137 9127
      3136 9128 3136 9131 3134 9135 3134 9136
      3131 9143 3132 9147 3129 9147 3129 9149
      3127 9149 3122 9163 3147 9188
TIME...MOT...LOC 1628Z 234DEG 28KT 3136 9167

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 10:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar51 min
Jan 3, 6:00 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar30 min
Jan 3, 6:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar67 min
Jan 3, 6:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJANBolivar, Sunflower48 min
Jan 3, 6:56 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower3 hr
Jan 3, 7:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena42 min
Jan 3, 7:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Washington63 min
Jan 3, 7:29 AM CSTTornado WarningJANBolivar, Washington22 min
Jan 3, 7:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams42 min
Jan 3, 7:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSharkey57 min
Jan 3, 8:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Jefferson54 min
Jan 3, 8:55 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo35 min
Jan 3, 9:04 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes26 min
Jan 3, 9:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Montgomery58 min
Jan 3, 9:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson23 min
Jan 3, 9:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Grenada, Montgomery, Webster63 min
Jan 3, 9:44 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLincoln31 min
Jan 3, 10:29 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams31 min
Jan 3, 10:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster44 min
Jan 3, 2:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJANAdams48 min
Jan 3, 3:40 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMarion35 min
Jan 3, 3:43 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams47 min
Jan 3, 4:19 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJefferson56 min
Jan 3, 4:27 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams63 min
Jan 3, 4:27 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMarion33 min
Jan 3, 4:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion67 min
Jan 3, 4:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson63 min
Jan 3, 5:25 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin65 min
Jan 3, 5:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones53 min
Jan 3, 5:35 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake55 min
Jan 3, 5:43 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJefferson62 min
Jan 3, 5:43 PM CSTTornado WarningJANMarion47 min
Jan 3, 5:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.