Tornado Watch 182

Issued

May 17, 2021, 2:04 PM MDT (20:04 UTC)

Expired

May 17, 2021, 10:00 PM MDT

In force

8 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

4 in

Strongest gust expected

65 kt

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

50%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

80%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

80%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

95%

• Mesoscale Discussion 650 Severe potential...watch likelyMay 17, 12:39 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 651 Severe potential...tornado watch likelyMay 17, 1:11 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 654 Severe thunderstorm watch 181May 17, 4:10 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 655 Tornado watch 182May 17, 4:36 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 659 Severe thunderstorm watch 181May 17, 6:23 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 660 Tornado watch 182...183...185May 17, 6:37 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 663 Tornado watch 182...183May 17, 8:44 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 665 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likelyMay 17, 9:35 PM MDT

732 
WWUS20 KWNS 172001
SEL2  
SPC WW 172001
NMZ000-TXZ000-180400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far Eastern New Mexico
  West/Southwest Texas

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible

SUMMARY...Intense supercells are expected to develop by late
afternoon within an environment characterized by strong instability
and moderate-strength winds through a deep layer. This development
is initially expected along the New Mexico/Texas border, and
southward into the Trans Pecos/Rio Grande vicinity on a more
isolated basis. Very large hail should be the most common hazard,
but a couple of tornadoes are also possible, particularly near a
residual boundary that influences the New Mexico/Texas border
vicinity of the south Texas Plains. Damaging wind potential may also
increase by around mid-evening as storms congeal/organize.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Cannon Afb
NM to 60 miles east of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24020.

...Guyer

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.