Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Lubbock, TX

366 
WWUS54 KLUB 172244
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
544 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXC345-172315-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-210517T2315Z/
Motley TX-
544 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL MOTLEY COUNTY...

At 543 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Matador, moving
north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Law enforcement.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Matador.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Lubbock Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3393 10070 3396 10092 3424 10093 3421 10055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 186DEG 19KT 3403 10083 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SINCAVAGE

399 
WWUS54 KLUB 172258
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
558 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXC345-172315-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-210517T2315Z/
Motley TX-
558 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL MOTLEY COUNTY...

At 558 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Matador, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Law enforcement.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Matador.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
Texas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Lubbock Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 10068 3401 10085 3423 10085 3421 10055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 224DEG 24KT 3405 10070 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SINCAVAGE

609 
WWUS54 KLUB 172308
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
608 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXC345-172317-
/O.EXP.KLUB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-210517T2315Z/
Motley TX-
608 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MOTLEY COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 615 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small
hail, gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this
thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
Texas.

LAT...LON 3396 10068 3401 10085 3423 10085 3421 10055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 186DEG 19KT 3410 10069 

$$

SINCAVAGE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
236 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

.SHORT TERM...
Relatively cool and somewhat surprisingly dry airmass (with dewpoints
dropping into the upper 40s) much of the day so far, following the
early morning outflows. By mid afternoon, however, we were seeing
rapid recovery of higher dewpoints and gradually warmer temperatures
as a surface low pressure center was deepening over eastern New
Mexico. Anticipation is the surface low will shift into southeast
New Mexico and increase the moist, low level inflow across our area
in advance of the strong upper level low pressure system over
eastern Arizona. Solutions consistent breaking out scattered strong
or severe thunderstorms by 4 or 5 pm near the New Mexico-Texas
border with storms moving to the east. Combination of instability
and shear support rapidly rotation supercells and a valid tornado
threat, so a Tornado Watch will be in effect this evening at least
areas on the Caprock if not all areas. We also issued a Flash Flood
Watch this evening the entire area over concern for slower moving
right-splitting supercells. Forecast hodographs exhibit straight-
lines initially late this afternoon and early evening, favoring
splitting storms, before stronger flow leads to a more coalesced
system into the eastern part of the area later this evening.

Another impulse appears will stream across the area later tonight.
So following a break in activity on the Caprock later this evening,
we expect a renewal of storm chances early Tuesday mainly from the
southern South Plains to the Rolling Plains. But rain coverage from
this next impulse remains uncertain and largely dependent on the
early evening storms. None-the-less, slightly cooler and moist low
level conditions likely to blanket the area again early Tuesday
after this next impulse departs to the east.

Focus Tuesday afternoon once again will likely turn west to to the
dryline, which probably will be in eastern New Mexico once again.
The large upper level storm system still will be just west of the
area. We retained a chance mention for storms much of the area
Tuesday afternoon, but perhaps better chances will be later Tuesday
or Tuesday night; see discussion below. RMcQueen

.LONG TERM...
The upper level closed low currently to our west, helping to drive
recent severe convection will begin to lift north out of northeast
New Mexico tomorrow night into early Wednesday morning. As the low
evolves into an open wave, a sharp trough will linger over our
general longitude with high pressure amplifying across eastern
CONUS. The lingering trough and surface pressure falls in eastern
New Mexico will keep chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms
in the forecast late Tuesday night and Wednesday, along and east
of a dryline currently progged to position in vicinity of the I27
corridor. The SPC currently has most of our area in a Day 3
Marginal for more severe storms on Wednesday. The upper level low
turned open wave and associated trough will get absorbed by the
polar jet back into the next Pacific low over NOCAL Thursday, as
the broad ridging across the east serves to block eastern
progression. There will be a break in convective activity on
Thursday as the upper trough gets absorbed, followed by deep
boundary layer Gulf moisture return beginning early Friday as the
blocking ridge expands west. The expected moisture return and
westward expansion of the ridge coupled with the deepening of the
next Pacific Low to our west may lead to another round of severe
weather over multiple days next weekend.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until midnight CDT tonight for TXZ021>044.

&&

05/55

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1151 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ021>044-181700-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1151 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms for the South
Plains and Rolling Plains this afternoon into tonight, with an
enhanced risk of severe weather for the southern Texas Panhandle.

Isolated to scattered supercell thunderstorms are expected to
develop near a dryline across the southwest Texas Panhandle and
western and central South Plains this afternoon. These storms will
become more enhanced where the dryline intersects an east-west
boundary crossing the southern and central South Plains and southern
Rolling Plains. These storms will quickly become severe and be
capable of producing baseball size hail, wind gusts to 75 mph,
torrential rainfall and tornadoes. This activity will move eastward
through the evening, likely growing into a larger complex of
thunderstorms as it moves off the Caprock. A hail, wind and heavy
rain threat will continue with the complex of thunderstorm through
the evening as well as still a risk for a few tornadoes.

Another round of severe thunderstorms capable of generating golf
ball size hail, wind gusts to 65 mph and intense rainfall and flash
flooding may develop over the southern South Plains and the Rolling
Plains late tonight, after midnight, and persist into Tuesday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

More opportunities for thunderstorms will exist late Tuesday,
Wednesday and then again from Friday into next weekend. Some of
these storms could be strong to severe and produce heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed. Please relay any information
about severe weather to the NWS while following local, state, and CDC
guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
505 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             2 S SPUR                33.45N 100.85W
05/17/2021  M1.00 INCH       DICKENS            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB2100298

KENDRICK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
512 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             9 SW GIRARD             33.27N 100.77W
05/17/2021  E1.00 INCH       KENT               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB2100299

KENDRICK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
524 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             9 SW GIRARD             33.27N 100.77W
05/17/2021  E1.75 INCH       KENT               TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB2100300

KENDRICK