Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 258

June 11, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 11, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT (13:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2021, 3:54 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 27 counties

Fremont County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Washington County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Cass County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 10:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe39 min
Jun 11, 11:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Richardson49 min
Jun 11, 11:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPawnee, Richardson45 min
Jun 11, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt21 min
Jun 11, 12:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXNemaha, Richardson34 min
Jun 11, 12:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Marshall, Nemaha41 min
Jun 11, 12:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPawnee, Richardson41 min
Jun 11, 12:25 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXRichardson16 min
Jun 11, 12:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Nemaha49 min
Jun 11, 1:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan29 min
Jun 11, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Jefferson47 min
Jun 11, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan34 min
Jun 11, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan, Leavenworth63 min
Jun 11, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson19 min
Jun 11, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte46 min
Jun 11, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Jefferson25 min
Jun 11, 3:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2135 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-160 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1019 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

090 
WWUS20 KWNS 111327
SEL8  
SPC WW 111327
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-112000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 258
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
830 AM CDT Fri Jun 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Iowa
  Northeast Kansas
  Northwest Missouri
  Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 830 AM until
  300 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...An MCS over eastern Nebraska should progress southeast
through early to mid-afternoon. Severe potential may remain isolated
this morning, but should increase in coverage and intensity by
midday. Damaging winds will be the primary hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles east southeast
of Shenandoah IA to 50 miles southwest of Beatrice NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 257...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 5:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby5 hr
Jun 11, 7:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Mills, Monona, Pottawattamie92 min
Jun 11, 9:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bremer, Butler, Calhoun, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 19 more115 min
Jun 11, 10:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 1 more2 hr
Jun 11, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 17 more6 hr
Jun 11, 1:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Miami and 3 more95 min
Jun 11, 2:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 31 more113 min
Jun 11, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Franklin, Johnson, Linn, Miami92 min
Jun 11, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
Jun 11, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford and 13 more2 hr
Jun 11, 6:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 10 more117 min
Jun 11, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk and 10 more7 hr
Jun 10, 8:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 12 more92 min
Jun 10, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 12 more6 hr
Jun 10, 11:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Sheridan, Sioux83 min
Jun 11, 12:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Cedar, Holt, Keya Paha, Knox and 4 more53 min
Jun 11, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDakota, Dixon5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.